David Caraviello for Bookies.com

By David Caraviello | | 6 mins

NASCAR at Atlanta Odds, Tips & Picks for Quaker State 400

NASCAR at Atlanta Odds, Tips & Picks for Quaker State 400
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One remains the points leader, the other is tied for most top-10 finishes on NASCAR’s top circuit this season. Week after week, Denny Hamlin and Kevin Harvick continue to run well. But should fans of NASCAR betting back either of them to win?

That has been a losing proposition thus far at sports betting sites, given that Harvick and Hamlin – the two best drivers for most of last season, with 16 victories between them – amazingly continue to sit on goose eggs in Cup Series wins in 2021. Every other driver in the top 11 in the NASCAR standings has a race win, but Harvick and Hamlin still wait on their first trips to Victory Lane. That has led to some alluring, four-figure moneyline numbers on two of the best drivers in the sport. But are they worth the investment, given the domination of a Hendrick Motorsports stable that has won seven of the past eight events?

Clearly, there are some concerning signs: Since early May, Hamlin has led just 31 laps and Harvick only 10. Neither has run out front and stayed there. But Hamlin’s average finish this year is a very strong 8.4, while Harvick hasn’t finished worse than 10th on an oval track since April. Now here comes Atlanta, where they have four wins between them, and once again their NASCAR odds are hard to ignore. For bettors, is it time to take the plunge?

Quaker State 400 Race Odds

Driver WinTop 3Top 10
Kyle Larson +225 -155-910
Kyle Busch +750 +200 -286
Chase Elliott +900+230-265
Denny Hamlin +1000 +250 -240
Kevin Harvick +1000+250-240
Martin Truex Jr. +1000+250-240
Ryan Blaney +1200 +325 -210
William Byron +1200+325-210

Odds via DraftKings and current as of publication. Check out our DraftKings sportsbook review.

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Quaker State 400 Expert Pick

Alex Bowman to Win

Odds: +1600

Although both Hamlin and Harvick are tempting this week, we’re going with a driver who offers the potential of an even better payday and races for the best team in the sport. Within the Hendrick Motorsports stable, only Kyle Larson owns more race victories this season than steady Alex Bowman, who has been lights-out since mid-May with two wins and no finishes worse than seventh on ovals.

He also has shown consistent progress at Atlanta, where he broke through with a third-place run earlier this season. In a series that has become top-heavy almost overnight, Bowman presents a real value option with a proven track record of performance.


For more great expert NASCAR picks for the Quaker State 400 Presented By Walmart from our team of handicappers, check out bookiesEDGE:

Quaker State 400 Betting Tips

Harvick, though, still likely deserves a place in any bettor’s strategy for this weekend at sports betting apps, given that he has won two of the last four races at Atlanta and has finished worse than 10th just once in the past decade. On ovals, he’s riding a current streak of eight straight top-10s. It’s also easy to like Kyle Busch on Sunday, given that he has finished top-five in five of his last six overall, and has been seventh or better in four straight at Atlanta.

As for the Hendrick boys, Larson was runner-up earlier this season at Atlanta, where he has finished second twice since 2017. Chase Elliott has four career Atlanta top-10s, but has been 19th or worse there in two of his past three. William Byron was eighth at Atlanta in March, a serious improvement on his previous best of 17th, and has finished fourth or better in seven of his last 10 oval-track starts this year.

Ryan Blaney won the race earlier this season at Atlanta, but he has been scuffling lately with double-digit finishes in six of his past eight starts overall. Likewise, Penske Racing teammate Brad Keselowski has two recent Atlanta wins but has been 11th or worse in seven of his past nine this year.

A sleeper could be Chris Buescher, who has been top-10 in two of his last three Atlanta starts, and with many of the top sportsbooks, he's available at +280 to do it again. My three bets would be Bowman to win at +1600, Kyle Busch top-three at +200, and Harvick top Ford driver at +230.

Quaker State 400 Date, Time and TV

When: Sunday, 3:30 p.m.

Where: Atlanta Motor Speedway, Hampton, Ga.

TV: NBC Sports Network

About the Author

David Caraviello for Bookies.com
David Caraviello
Veteran sports journalist David Caraviello has covered college football, college basketball, motorsports and golf, covering all three US golf majors, the Daytona 500 and SEC football.