NASCAR At Watkins Glen Odds & Picks For Go Bowling At The Glen
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The craziness that fans of NASCAR betting witnessed in the first few months of NASCAR’s 2021 season has returned in full force. One week after +3500 bet Kurt Busch surprised the field at Atlanta, a rain-shortened finish at New Hampshire produced a +8000 shocker in Aric Almirola - the biggest NASCAR odds underdog to win this season, surpassing even Daytona 500 champ Michael McDowell, who was +6000 at sportsbooks and betting sites.
Almirola was completely off the radar, given that he’d managed just a pair of single-digit finishes all season prior to Loudon. Now, after a two-week break that allowed television partner NBC to broadcast the Olympics, it would seem we’d be in for a return to normal with the first of two straight road course events coming Sunday at Watkins Glen International. That means all eyes are on Chase Elliott, who has seven career road course victories, most recently last month at Road America.
Elliott isn’t perfect on road courses; he finished second to teammate Kyle Larson at Sonoma, and 21st in a Daytona road course event won by +5000 bet Christopher Bell. But Elliott has won two straight at the Glen, a super-fast road course with long straights, and where his average finish is seventh. For this week, it seems, the renewed reign of the underdog upstarts may be held at bay.
Go Bowling At The Glen Odds
|Driver||Win||Top 3||Top 10|
|Martin Truex Jr.||+600||+165||-450|
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Go Bowling At The Glen Expert Pick
Chase Elliott to Win
Odds: +200 at DraftKings
There’s not much value to this bet, but it makes the most sense given Elliott’s position as a prohibitive favorite. (For example, just check out that outlandish -2000 number for a top-10.) Elliott has finished first, second and first in his last three road course events, and he has led 132 of 180 laps in winning two straight at Watkins Glen.
The big question here is rust, given that a two-week, in-season break is something we don’t typically see in NASCAR. But Elliott spent the break racing on short tracks, and his history on road courses suggests it won’t take him long to get up to speed this weekend.
And bettors can make up for the lack of value here by taking some bigger swings on their betting apps with the rest of their wagering portfolio for Watkins Glen.
For more great expert NASCAR picks from Go Bowling At The Glen from our team of handicappers, check out bookiesEDGE:
Go Bowling At The Glen Betting Tips
A lot of drivers needed the break, and remain questionable wagers entering this weekend. Despite his continued position atop the standings, winless Denny Hamlin has placed 10th or worse in four of his previous six. Kyle Larson has cooled with double-digit results in two of his last three, and William Byron fell off the map with four straight finishes of 12th or worse.
Martin Truex Jr. holds the No. 3 odds position this week behind Elliott and Larson, but finished ninth in his most recent road course start, and has placed 11th or worse in four of six.
Conversely, Kyle Busch had finished third or better for four straight weeks until crashing at New Hampshire. Kurt Busch’s Atlanta victory followed a fourth-place result at Road America. Ryan Blaney heads to upstate New York after finishing sixth or better in four of his last five. And Daytona road course winner Bell has been eighth or better in three straight, including runner-up finishes at Loudon and Road America.
Will any of that performance translate to Watkins Glen? In the case of Kyle Busch, it should; he has won there twice and has finished seventh or better in four of five. Blaney was fifth there his last time out. And then there are the sleepers like Daniel Suarez (fourth at the Glen in 2018), Matt DiBenedetto (sixth there in 2019), and Ross Chastain (seventh or better at Road America, Sonoma and COTA).
Go Bowling at the Glen Date, Time and TV
When: Sunday, 3 p.m.
Where: Watkins Glen (N.Y.) International
TV: NBC Sports Network