By Patrick Surlis | | 17 mins
Premier League 2021-22 Odds, Tips & Futures Bets To Back
Just over a month separates the final of Euro 2020 at Wembley, and the start of the 2021-22 Premier League season. For fans and for soccer betting sites, it’s great news. For the players? Well, expect tired legs and heavy rotation in the first few weeks.
Defending champions Manchester City won last year’s title with relative ease, finishing 12 points clear of second-place Manchester United. Most of the top sportsbooks and betting sites make City big favorites once again, but for many reasons we expect a tighter title race in 2022.
Virgil van Dijk’s return from injury makes Liverpool a significant threat, while Manchester United has spent big money to upgrade its lineup, signing Jadon Sancho for $104 million and World Cup winning defender Raphael Varane for $60 million.
Meanwhile, Thomas Tuchel seems to have Pep Guardiola’s number. Since Tuchel replaced Frank Lampard as Chelsea manager on Jan. 26, 2021, the London team has beaten City three times consecutively, including wins in the FA Cup semifinal and, most crucially, the Champions League final.
2021-22 Premier League Title Odds
|Team||To Win Premier League|
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Premier League Futures Bets To Back
Chelsea To Win Premier League
Odds: +500 at DraftKings
The Blues finished 19 points behind the champions last year, but Chelsea under Tuchel was a force to be reckoned with. It went unbeaten for 15 games after the German took charge, winning at Tottenham and Liverpool, and knocking La Liga champions Atletico Madrid out of the Champions League.
Chelsea stumbled slightly toward the finish, losing to Arsenal and Aston Villa in the league, and Leicester in the FA Cup final, but Tuchel capped an incredible five months by guiding Chelsea past Manchester City 1-0 in the Champions League final thanks to Kai Havertz’s first-half goal.
Tuchel is defensively solid as a manager – Chelsea kept 12 clean sheets in Tuchel’s first 14 matches – and the Blues possess good attacking options. Perhaps the one missing piece is the lack of a goal-grabbing No. 9, and with Olivier Giroud sold to AC Milan, Chelsea probably will strengthen in attack before the summer transfer window closes on Aug. 31.
This price is particularly appealing because Chelsea’s odds will shorten if they secure one of their top targets – either Inter Milan striker Romelu Lukaku or Borussia Dortmund forward Erling Haaland.
Harry Kane To Be Top Goalscorer
Odds: +350 at BetMGM
When Harry Kane plays at least 30 Premier League matches, he wins the Golden Boot. The only time since 2015 when this didn’t happen, Kane scored 30 goals in the 2017-18 season (his highest ever haul) but was beaten by a frankly ridiculous season from Mohamed Salah, who scored 32.
This is a bet on Kane's health, which admittedly is no sure thing as he struggles with troublesome ankle injuries. However, there is also the prospect of Kane’s reported move to Manchester City. His Golden Boot odds would surge should that happen, so this is a good price to get on board now.
If he stays at Tottenham, you have a good shot on someone who’s a three-time Golden Boot winner in north London. If he goes to City, you’re ahead of the market.
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Southampton, Under 43.5 Points
Odds: -130 at PointsBet
There are going to be some bad teams in the Premier League this year. Southampton might not end up being one of them, but it's hard to see how this team will improve on last season's tally of 43 points without top scorer and talisman Danny Ings.
Ings has left for Aston Villa, a club that Southampton fancies is on its level. But while the likes of Villa continue to invest heavily, Southampton is left taking gambles on talented-but-unproven youngsters like Romain Perraud and Tino Livramento.
The Saints do have money to invest with Ings departed, and the big question mark is who they sign to replace the England forward. But the club's recent track record of signings (see: Wesley Hoedt, Guido Carrillo, Mohamed Elyounoussi, Mario Lemina, etc) has not been good.
It's not too dramatic to say if they get it wrong, it'll likely be a tough relegation battle for Southampton all season. Even if they get it right, it's hard to imagine the Saints blowing past this total. Come the end of the season, expect Southampton to be down in the lower half of the table, so grab the under.
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Leicester To Finish Top 6
Odds: +100 at PointsBet
Leicester’s excellent campaign in 2020-21 was undone by an ill-timed run of five defeats from the final nine matches, including losses to Manchester City, West Ham, Chelsea and Tottenham. It cost the Foxes a Champions League place. Despite that, Leicester still finished comfortably inside the top six, four points ahead of seventh-placed Spurs.
Leicester's transfer business this summer has won praise, and should help the Foxes maintain an upward trajectory. Jamie Vardy’s time as an elite Premier League striker appears to be over, so Leicester spent $33m on Patson Daka, who was a goal machine for Red Bull Salzburg in the Austrian Bundesliga and wasted no time in opening his Foxes account at QPR in a preseason friendly.
The competition in England will be a massive step up, but Kelechi Iheanacho’s fine goalscoring form for the Foxes last season eases the pressure on Daka to immediately contribute. Boss Brendan Rodgers has said as much too.
Leicester also added highly-rated midfielder Boubakary Soumare from Lille for $22m, and experienced left back Ryan Bertrand on a free transfer from Southampton. Both players improve the squad, a necessary step with Europa League soccer once again on Leicester’s agenda.
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Arsenal To Finish Outside Top 6
Odds: -180 at FanDuel
The top four favorites look formidable. Manchester City, Chelsea, Manchester United and Liverpool should lock up those spots. Which leaves Leicester, Arsenal, Tottenham, and possibly West Ham, Leeds, Everton and Aston Villa competing for two positions in the top six.
The bull case for Arsenal is that the absence of Europa League soccer – or Europa Conference League in Tottenham’s case – will boost the Gunners’ league chances. They will play fewer total games than Leicester, West Ham and Spurs, and as a result should be more rested for the Premier League. Arsenal also improved significantly after an awful start last season. Arsenal lost eight of its first 14 league matches in 2020-21, but lost just five over its remaining 24.
So what about the bear case? Arsenal has now finished eighth in back-to-back seasons. Its top scorer last season was Alexandre Lacazette with 13 goals. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang looked checked out at times. The club has a tremendous amount of money locked up in wages for players – including Lacazette and Aubameyang – on the wrong side of 30 years old. The jury remains out on manager Mikel Arteta.
All of the above should give you pause when considering a top-six finish for Arsenal. And when you factor in the fierce competition, it's an easy decision to fade the Gunners.
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Betting Without Manchester City, Manchester United top
Odds: +280 at FanDuel
Manchester City is the title favorite. If the club adds Jack Grealish and/or Kane before the transfer deadline, its odds will only shorten. That being said, Manchester United is a fantastic price at +280 with FanDuel to finish runner-up.
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s team finished second last season, five points clear of Liverpool and seven points ahead of Chelsea, and they’ve had an exceptional transfer window so far. Sancho will upgrade United’s attack and Varane’s arrival to partner Harry Maguire strengthens the defense. It looks like Paul Pogba is staying, too.
Then, you factor in both Liverpool (+170) and Chelsea (+175) being significantly shorter odds than United, and you have a solid value bet.
It's true that the return of van Dijk all but guarantees Liverpool will be better in 2021/22, and Chelsea under Tuchel is a problem (see our title winner bet above).
We like Chelsea this season, but if you think Manchester City will run away with it again, this is a good option. Manchester United has title aspirations of its own, so grab this price on your sports betting app while you can.
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Premier League 2021/22 FAQs
When does the Premier League start?
Newly-promoted Brentford hosts Arsenal in the opening game of the Premier League season on Aug. 13 at 3 p.m. ET.
Can I watch the Premier League in the USA?
NBC holds the rights to Premier League soccer in the USA, with games set to be broadcast on NBC, NBCSN, Peacock, CNBC, Telemundo, and Universo.
Who is the defending Premier League champion?
Manchester City won the 2020/21 Premier League title. It was the fifth time it has won the competition, and its seventh top-flight title.
Who is the favorite to win the 2021/22 Premier League?
Manchester City is the -165 favorite to win the Premier League at DraftKings.
Which new teams are in the Premier League this year?
Brentford, Watford and Norwich City are the three teams that were promoted from the Championship into the Premier League.