Dan Kilbridge for Bookies.com

By Dan Kilbridge | | 3 mins

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Heisman Betting: Can Justin Fields Catch Joe Burrow in Final Week?

Heisman Betting: Can Justin Fields Catch Joe Burrow in Final Week?
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Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields had his “Heisman Moment” midway through Saturday’s blowout win in Ann Arbor, returning from what looked like a serious knee injury and dropping a 30-yard touchdown pass to Garrett Wilson on his very next play.

Heisman Trophy betting odds entering conference championship week suggest it’ll be his last.

LSU quarterback Joe Burrow is now -2000 to join the Heisman club coming off another dominant win for the 12-0 Tigers. Fields is next in line at +1200 at DraftKings, odds that don’t reflect how good the Georgia transfer has been all season.

Buckeye defensive end Chase Young (+1200) and running back J.K. Dobbins (+2000) round out the top four. Having two Heisman contenders on offense likely hurt Fields and Dobbins’ individual chances in the process. There’s only so many touches to go around and neither player was asked to handle the bulk of work on offense. Together they helped OSU go 12-0 with an average winning margin of 38.1 points.

Regardless of overwhelming odds, this still comes down to a vote. There’s no way to gauge the collective mindset right now. Burrow and Fields could be closer in some voters’ minds than the odds reflect, especially after what Fields did against rival Michigan Saturday. If LSU falls to Georgia in the SEC title game and Fields goes nuts in a Big Ten Championship blowout over Wisconsin, it could leave a significant lasting impression.

Here’s a look at how the remaining candidates stand and what it would take for one of them to surpass Burrow in the final week.

Latest Heisman Odds

PlayerNowPreviousTrendWeek 14
Joe Burrow-2000-1430Georgia
Justin Fields+1200+1000Wisconsin
Chase Young+1200+900Wisconsin
J.K. Dobbins+2000N/AWisconsin

QB Joe Burrow

Current odds: -2000

Up next: Georgia

Expected betting impact: Three more touchdowns against rival Texas A&M in a laugher to cap a 12-0 regular season led to even shorter odds for the senior Ohio State transfer. He has the signature win over Alabama, he has the numbers with more than 4,000 passing yards, and he has Baton Rouge in the palm of his hand. But Georgia has the best defense in the SEC, giving up just 257.3 yards per game. It’s the best Burrow has seen so far this season and gives him a chance to leave no doubt in voters’ minds with another win.

Not to take anything away from Burrow’s season, but his reputation continued to grow season in part because LSU hasn’t had a game-changing quarterback in years. He started the preseason with odds around +2500 but quickly worked his way up the board, moving to the front as soon as Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa went down with a dislocated hip.

Burrow has the clear upper-hand with 4,366 passing yards to 2,654 for Fields, but they’re even at 47 touchdowns apiece. Fields also took better care of the ball with 37 touchdown passes to just one interception.

QB Justin Fields

Justin Fields put on a strong showing against Michigan, which kept his long-shot chances alive in the Heisman Trophy chase.
Justin Fields put on a strong showing against Michigan, which kept his long-shot chances alive in the Heisman Trophy chase.

Current odds: +1200

Next up: Wisconsin

Expected betting impact: It’s not Fields’ fault that OSU is so much better than the rest of the Big Ten. The Buckeyes have already pounded Wisconsin, Penn State and Michigan, so another one over the Badgers in Indianapolis doesn’t really move the needle. But a dominant showing from Fields alongside an LSU loss might give him a shot to pull off the upset. That 37-1 touchdown-interception ratio is hard to ignore, as are 10 rushing scores on just 111 carries.

DE Chase Young

Current odds: +1200

Next up: Wisconsin

Expected betting impact: Young is still on pace to be the top-finishing defensive player since Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te’o was second behind Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel in 2012. A quiet game against the Wolverines probably ended his chances, but 16.5 sacks and seven forced fumbles while sitting out two games is still a career year. Keep an eye on his NFL Draft futures odds as those become available, as Young definitely now looks like a top-three pick and perhaps more.

RB J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins tore up Michigan with four touchdowns and 221 yards rushing on Saturday.
J.K. Dobbins tore up Michigan with four touchdowns and 221 yards rushing on Saturday.

Current odds: +2000

Next up: Wisconsin

Expected betting impact: Dobbins went hard with 211 rushing yards and four touchdowns against the Wolverines. He’s surpassed Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor and Oklahoma State’s Chuba Hubbard as the top running back in the country. His Heisman chances are slim to none, but again it’s fair to wonder what kind of numbers he could have put up if OSU didn’t have Fields to share the heavy lifting. Dobbins now looks like a first-round pick assuming he leaves early. He’ll be a preseason Heisman favorite in 2020 should he decide to stay for his senior year in Columbus.

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