Heisman Betting: Justin Fields Favorite With Big Ten Playing
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The Big Ten plans to play football in 2020 after all. The conference announced it has reversed course and will play a shortened season beginning in October. This, of course, comes with serious college football betting implications.
The Heisman Trophy futures betting odds look vastly different this week as Big Ten players are now included in the discussion. And it starts at the top with Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields.
The Ohio State senior surpassed Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence as the betting favorite with +310 odds at FOX Bet. Lawrence, listed at +150 last week, saw his odds decline to +500. Miami quarterback D’Eriq King also made a big move to third in the standings at +600 after leading the Hurricanes to a primetime win over Louisville.
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Latest Heisman Odds
|D’Eriq King||+600||+700||↑||Florida State|
|Spencer Rattler||+1100||+500||↓||Kansas State|
|Sam Ehlinger||+1100||+700||↓||@ Texas Tech|
|JT Daniels||+1500||N/A||↑||@ Arkansas|
|Micale Cunningham||+1600||N/A||↑||@ Louisville|
|Bryce Young||+2000||+2000||-||@ Missouri|
College football futures odds current as of publication
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Ohio State QB Justin Fields
Current odds: +310
Up next: Nebraska (Oct. 24)
Expected betting impact: The star Ohio State quarterback is back in the mix and expected to help the Buckeyes compete for a shot at a national championship. The Big Ten will begin its shortened season October 24 with OSU opening at home against Nebraska, then traveling for an Oct. 31 showdown at Penn State.
Fields finished third in 2019 Heisman voting behind LSU’s Joe Burrow and Oklahoma’s Jalen Hurts. The Buckeye signal-caller had 3,273 passing yards and 51 total touchdowns before a 29-23 semifinal loss to Clemson ended OSU’s title chances. Now Fields is back and may be called to do even more with the departure of running back J.K. Dobbins, who handled a ton of the offensive workload.
The statistics will be skewed with a shortened season and no nonconference games. But if Fields and Ohio State run the table and go 8-0 in the regular season, the Buckeyes will certainly return to the College Football Playoff. And Fields will certainly be in the center of the Heisman conversation.
Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence
Current odds: +500
Up next: Virginia (Oct. 3)
Expected betting impact: Lawrence was the unquestioned favorite a week ago, but Fields’ addition to the betting board changes everything. There’s now real value on Lawrence at +500 and a chance for the believers to hop on before many contenders have even taken a single snap.
Lawrence saw extremely limited work in a 49-0 win over The Citadel, completing 8 of 9 pass attempts for 168 yards and three touchdowns. Bettors and voters haven’t seen anything new from Lawrence in two limited appearances. His odds should stay roughly the same until an Oct. 10 home game against Miami and fellow Heisman contender D’Eriq King.
Miami QB D’Eriq King
Current odds: +600
Up next: Florida State
Expected betting impact: King had a strong showing in a win over Louisville, the only top-25 matchup in college football so far this season. King was 18 of 30 for 325 yards and three touchdowns and torched the Cardinals’ secondary for much of the 47-34 win.
King will be a hot name in the coming weeks as more and more casual fans catch on. He should be able to do some more damage Saturday against Florida State. Then it’s on to No. 1 Clemson, where King will be looking to pull off a massive road upset Oct. 10. Even if the Hurricanes lose, King could establish himself as a legit top-three contender with a good statistical showing.
Oklahoma QB Spencer Rattler
Current odds: +1100
Up next: Kansas State
Expected betting impact: Rattler’s odds dropped significantly over the past week thanks to Fields’ addition and King’s performance on the road. That makes for some enticing +1100 odds on Rattler coming off a bye week.
The freshman Sooners quarterback threw four touchdowns in the opener against Missouri State and returns Saturday against Kansas State. The Wildcats gave up the second-fewest points in the Big 12 last season and could make Rattler uncomfortable in the early-going. Same goes for an Oct. 3 road trip to Iowa State. These won’t be cupcake games, so we should get a solid handle on Rattler’s ability and Heisman outlook before the big one Oct. 10 against Texas.
Texas QB Sam Ehlinger
Current odds: +1100
Up next:at Texas Tech
Expected betting impact: Ehlinger looked great in the opener with 426 passing yards and five touchdowns in a blowout win over UTEP. His odds still decreased during the off week, from +700 to +1100, with a trip to Texas Tech on deck.
Ehlinger’s odds will likely improve again as he should carve up a bad Red Raiders secondary. He’ll also get to square off against Rattler on Oct. 10 and could see his odds shorten up extensively with a standout performance and potential upset of the Sooners. If you like Ehlinger’s chances, now certainly seems like the time to buy.