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Federated Auto Parts 400 NASCAR Betting Preview, Tips & Picks

Federated Auto Parts 400 NASCAR Betting Preview, Tips & Picks
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The playoffs for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series roll into Richmond Raceway for Saturday night’s Federated Auto Parts 400. Last week’s opener at Las Vegas Motor Speedway saw Martin Truex Jr. kick the postseason off with a win – his third in the last four playoff openers – and move on to the next round.

However, a number of others saw their championship hopes take a hit and will have some work to do to climb out of a hole in Richmond.

Here’s a quick rundown if you’re just here for the picks:

DriverMarketOdds
Martin Truex Jr.Winner+575
PointsBet
Kevin HarvickFinish 1-3+140
SugarHouse
Joey LoganoFinish 1-3+160
DraftKings
Denny HamlinFinish 1-3+170
888Sport

The odds listed are current at time of publication but are subject to change.

Here are the best bets to consider in the Federated Auto Parts 400:

This Week’s Best NASCAR Bets

PICK 1: Martin Truex Jr. To Win

The Richmond spring winner has nothing to lose Saturday night. His Las Vegas win a week ago already gives Truex Jr. a spot in the next round of the Playoffs so there’s no reason to hold anything back in Race 2.

He finished third in the Richmond fall race a year ago and has led a series-high 861 laps over the last 10 races at the track. Truex Jr. racked up those laps at the front of the field in just five of those. Bet Truex Jr. to win at +575 at PointsBet.

PICK 2: Kevin Harvick To Finish 1st Through 3rd

He continues to be one of the hottest drivers in the series and followed his Indianapolis win with a second place finish behind Truex at Las Vegas. Harvick has finished in the top five in six of the past seven Richmond races including his fourth-place April run.


RELATED: Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Best Bets for Championship


Over the past 10 races at the track, Harvick has the series’ second best average finish of 6.2 coming into the weekend. Bet Harvick at +140 to finish 1st through 3rd at SugarHouse.

PICK 3: Joey Logano To Finish 1st Through 3rd

The best average finish over the last 10 Richmond races belongs to the Team Penske driver at 5.5. Logano’s recent string of Richmond runs have been impressive with three top-five runs over the last four races, a stretch that includes a win and a pair of runnerup runs. Logano led a race-high 105 laps last week at Las Vegas but faded back to ninth.

He’s determined to not have next week’s final race of the round at Charlotte Motor Speedway’s hybrid road course determine his playoff fate and would rather take care of business in Richmond. Bet Logano at +160 to finish 1st through 3rd at DraftKings.

PICK 4: Denny Hamlin To Finish 1st Through 3rd

There was a time when Hamlin owned Richmond Raceway and the Virginia native enjoyed great success at one of his “home” tracks. He has tailed off some in recent years but is still a strong runner around the short track.

Seven top-10 finishes in the last eight Richmond races have included a win for Hamlin in the 2016 fall race when he led 189 laps on his way to the checkered flag. Bet Hamlin at +170 to finish 1st through 3rd at 888Sport.

Richmond Raceway Track Breakdown

The 0.75-mile Richmond Raceway is one of only three short tracks on the NASCAR schedule, which by definition are less than a mile around. The tight quarters bring the cars closer together and aggressiveness already enhanced by playoff implications is usually high.

Saturday is the second race of the year at Richmond. The first visit in April proved to be a difficult task for drivers to pass under long green-flag conditions, thanks in no small part to the 2019 rules package that has changed the aerodynamics of the cars. It put increased emphasis on maintaining track position and starting the race near the front of the field.

In fact, drivers who started in the first four spots have won 66 of the 125 races previously run at Richmond.


Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds

DriverWinner1-3
Kyle Busch+300-134
Kevin Harvick+550+140
Martin Truex Jr.+550+140
Joey Logano+600+160
Denny Hamlin+650+170
Brad Keselowski+800+215
Erik Jones+1400+350
Chase Elliott+1600+400
Kurt Busch+1800+450
Kyle Larson+1800+450

Odds are from SugarHouse and are current at time of publication but are subject to change.

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