NFL MVP Odds, Betting Picks and Award Prop Bets to Consider
When looking at NFL MVP betting and other NFL prop bets, fans of NFL betting this season are left to ponder: Will Patrick Mahomes repeat as NFL MVP in his second full season as the Kansas City Chiefs quarterback? Will Aaron Donald win the Defensive Player of the Year award a third straight year?
There’s plenty of intrigue, and keep in mind odds shift, so keep and eye on our NFL futures odds page for changes – and to make that bet.
NFL MVP Odds 2019
|Patrick Mahomes||+600||View All Odds|
|Andrew Luck||+900||View All Odds|
|Drew Brees||+1200||View All Odds|
|Aaron Rodgers||+1200||View All Odds|
|Tom Brady||+1400||View All Odds|
|Carson Wentz||+1400||View All Odds|
|Baker Mayfield||+1600||View All Odds|
|Russell Wilson||+2000||View All Odds|
|Philip Rivers||+2500||View All Odds|
|Matt Ryan||+2500||View All Odds|
Odds are via 888Sport and current as of publication but subject to change.
It’s not a surprise the 10 lowest odds on this list are held by quarterbacks. The last six league MVPs were quarterbacks and only two non-quarterbacks have won the award since 2006. The non-quarterback with the lowest odds is New York Giants running back Saquon Barkley at +4000.
We should find out early in the season if some of these quarterbacks are going to be ready to stay in the race. There is some expected regression by Mahomes, who threw for 50 touchdowns and 5,097 yards last season. Those are numbers that aren’t easily achieved in the NFL.
So, some slightly regression could happen. But Mahomes can easily threw 45 touchdown passes and for 4,500 yards and still be a strong MVP candidate in 2019. Mahomes is too talented, he has too many weapons and Andy Reid is too good of a passing coaching specialist for Mahomes to falter much.
Expect Mahomes to hang around in this race all season.
Tom Brady MVP Odds
Tom Brady’s MVP odds are +1400, making him fifth choice on the board. Brady will turn 42 in early August. At some point, he is going to fall off the career cliff. And when it happens it will likely come abruptly like Brett Favre and Peyton Manning’s demises.
Brady was fantastic in 2018, as he led the Patriots to their sixth Super Bowl ring. If he starts strong early in the season, it will likely be a sign he is ready to have another Brady-like year.
Drew Brees MVP Odds
Drew Brees’s MVP Odds are +1200, third-best entering the season. While Brady is an ageless marvel, New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees himself is 40. We may have seen a slight regression from Brees in 2018. He threw for 3,992 yards. It was the first time he threw for less than 4,000 yards since 2005, his final season with the Chargers.
Still, with his weapons, Brees should be able to put up big numbers again.
Other Notable NFL MVP betting Odds
Andrew Luck (+900) and Carson Wentz (+1400) are two players who have dealt with injuries. Wentz’s season ended for in 2018 early with a back injury and Luck dealt with a calf injury that kept him from working out this spring. If both players can avoid injury, they are both solid bets.
Russell Wilson(+2000) is an underrated player who will likely be extremely motivated, playing on a new contract that is paying him $35 million. However, do the Seahawks have enough around him on offense to help him put up the necessary numbers?
Aaron Rodgers could be a nice value bet at +1200. He will out to show he can succeed in new coach Matt LaFleur’s system. The Packers should be improved and Rodgers is still in his prime.
Best Bet: Andrew Luck at +800
Longshot to Back: Mitchell Trubisky at +5000
NFL Coach of the Year Odds 2019
|Freddie Kitchens||+900||View All Odds|
|Frank Reich||+1000||View All Odds|
|Bill Belichick||+1400||View All Odds|
|Sean McVay||+1400||View All Odds|
|Sean Payton||+1400||View All Odds|
|Doug Pederson||+1400||View All Odds|
|Andy Reid||+1400||View All Odds|
Freddie Kitchens is the most interesting name here. There is a lot of betting respect and expectations for his Cleveland Browns this year. So, there’s a reason why he is the favorite. The Browns are expected to be serious contenders.
If they do make the playoffs for the first time in 17 years, Kitchens will get a lot of support for Coach of the Year. He has also shown he is a good fit for the team.
The Browns went 5-3 under Kitchens as the interim head coach in 2018. If he can lead the Browns to 10 or 11 wins, he should be a major contender for this award. Others to consider include Reich, Matt LaFleur (+2000), Anthony Lynn (+2000) and Bill O’Brien (+2800).
NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds 2019
|Jimmy Garoppolo||+350||View All Odds|
|Le’Veon Bell||+400||View All Odds|
|DeVonta Freeman||+800||View All Odds|
|Carson Wentz||+800||View All Odds|
|Earl Thomas||+1200||View All Odds|
Garoppolo is the natural favorite here. He was the reasons why there was so much respect for San Francisco last season after being the difference-maker after his midseason trade in 2017. Jimmy G. tore his ACL in Week 3, ruining the 49ers’ season. If San Francisco makes a playoff run with a healthy Garoppolo, he will be a favorite.
I’m skeptical Bell will get a lot of voting support because he missed last season on his choice – in a contract dispute. The prop that sticks out is Thomas. He is still in his prime and he is part of a strong defense in Baltimore. If the former Seattle star safety regains his form after a 2018 leg injury, he will be a great value at +1200.
Chargers’ tight end Hunter Henry at +2000 is a bet to consider as well. He has been healthy since January after tearing his ACL in May 2018 and is a favorite target for Rivers.
AP Offensive Player of the Year Odds 2019
|Patrick Mahomes||+650||View All Odds|
|Andrew Luck||+1000||View All Odds|
|Drew Brees||+1400||View All Odds|
|Aaron Rodgers||+1400||View All Odds|
|Tom Brady||+1600||View All Odds|
This is a difficult award to handicap, because sometimes the same player who wins the MVP also wins this award, as Mahomes accomplished last season. So, there is a reason why the players with the lowest MVP odds have the lowest odds here.
But often, this award is given to the player who is has the second-best offensive season and or it goes to a running back. Four running backs have won this award in the past 10 years. Thus, tailbacks such as Barkley (+2800) Christian McCaffrey (+2800) and Ezekiel Elliott (+3000) are all worth considering as longshot bets.
AP Defensive Player of the Year Odds 2019
|Aaron Donald||+200||View All Odds|
|Khalil Mack||+400||View All Odds|
|JJ Watt||+700||View All Odds|
|Von Miller||+1000||View All Odds|
|Myles Garrett||+1400||View All Odds|
This is a powerful group. Donald has won the award the past two years, Mack won it in 2016 and Watt has won it three times (2012, 2014, 2015). If healthy, he has a chance to win it again as do, of course, the two favorites.
The name that sticks out on this list is Miller. He is still in his prime and he is now playing under defensive wizard Vic Fangio, who is now Denver’s head coach. Fangio has a long history of making special pass-rushers even better, with players such as Mack, Aldon Smith and Justin Smith in his time as a defensive coordinator.
If you’re looking for a modest longshot, Miller is worthy pick. This award is the one thing missing from his Hall of Fame resume.