Sunday Night Football Betting Preview: Bears At LA Rams
The Bears-Rams Sunday Night Football game is a collision between playoff teams from last year who aren’t where most expected them to be, but there’s still plenty hanging in the balance for the defending NFC champion Rams and defending NFC North champion Bears.
The Rams sunk to 5-4 after losing to the Steelers in Pittsburgh despite coming out of their bye. They had won two straight going in, but both wins were blowouts over the Falcons and Bengals, teams that have combined for two wins.
After starting the season 3-0 and averaging 26 points per game, the Rams have host four of six and have seen their offense and defense crumble at times. They lost 55-40 to the Buccaneers — who are 3-6 — and managed just 12 points on Sunday in their loss to the Steelers.
The Rams scored 30 or more points 12 times last year and 45 or more twice. This year, they’ve scored 30 or more just three times. Jared Goff’s passer rating has plummeted from 101.1 last year to 82.7 this season. The Rams’ offensive line struggled miserably against the Steelers’ edge rush, which doesn’t bode well for their matchup against the Bears and Khalil Mack.
Chicago salvaged its season for another week with a 20-13 win over the Lions that snapped their four-game losing streak and gave the Bears their first win since Sept. 29. But the Lions were starting Jeff Driskell at quarterback and held Chicago to just 226 total offensive yards.
The Bears’ inability to run the ball has led to an offense that can no longer cover for Mitchell Trubisky’s inaccuracy. Despite tossing three TDs against the Lions, Trubisky has thrown just eight for the season and averages just 174 passing yards per game. Defense has kept the Bears in most games, but Chicago’s offensive line is being asked to pass block too much for a line that lacks elite pass protectors. Trubisky was sacked just 24 times last year but has already been sacked 22 times.
Betting Bears-Rams Against the Spread
DraftKings, SugarHouse, FanDuel and William Hill each agree that the Bears are about a touchdown underdog to the Rams at the Coliseum. The Rams are favored by 6.5, an interesting line given the Rams’ loss to the Steelers, another team with an excellent defense and shaky offense.
The Rams made very few big plays against the Steelers — just two completions fo at least 20 yards — and wide receiver Cooper Kupp was held without a reception for just the second time of his career.
The Rams are 6-3 against the spread this year, but just 2-2 at home. They’ve been favored in all but one game and are 5-3 against the spread in those games. They’re 1-1 this year ATS when at home and favored by 6 or more.
Another noteworthy trend: The Rams are 3-1 against the spread this year when facing teams below .500.
The Bears are 3-7 against the spread this season, 1-3 on the road. They’ve only been underdogs twice and are 1-1 ATS when getting points. The most points they’ve received this year is 5 against the Eagles and they lost by eight. The average of their five losses this year is by 6 points, and 5.5 in their two road losses.
Bears-Rams Moneyline Betting
Those seeking an upset special can find the best value at FanDuel and William Hill, at +240. SugarHouse lists the Bears at +230 and DraftKings at +235. The Bears upset the Rams last year, 15-6, as 3-point home dogs at Soldier Field in a prime-time game on Thursday night.
The Bears are 1-1 outright as underdogs this year, with a 16-6 win over the Vikings and 22-14 loss to the Eagles. The Bears are 3-3 outright as underdogs since the start of last year – Matt Nagy’s first as head coach – but 1-2 as dogs of 5 or more points.
The Rams have been favored in 36 of the 41 games that Sean McVay has coached them and are an astounding 27-9 overall in those games, which illustrates the Bears’ uphill climb. The Rams are also 5-3 on prime time under McVay.
Bears-Rams Over/Under Betting
The Bears are one of the NFL’s lowest-scoring teams, averaging 18 points per game. The Rams average 25 points per game but have scored just 19 total points against both teams they’ve played that are currently ranked in the top 10 defensively, as the Bears are.
Hence, the extremely low over/under total of 40 on FanDuel and William Hill, or 40.5 on DraftKings and SugarHouse.
In both games the Rams played against a top-10 defense — against San Francisco and Pittsburgh — the combined score was under 30. Only three of the Bears’ games this year have exceeded 40 total points. Six Bears games this year have gone under 37 total points and three have failed to even reach 35 total points. Six of the Bears’ nine games have hit the under.
Six of the Rams’ nine games this year have also hit the under, although none of those games featured an over-under lower than 43. But the two lowest totals for Rams this year — 48 vs. the Browns and 43 vs. the Steelers — hit the under. Five Rams games this have combined for 36 or fewer points.
Bears-Rams Notable Prop Bets
- Home Team Win 1-6 (+320)
- First Score-Home Team FG (+270)
- Home Team Win/Under (+155)
- Away Team Win/Under (+390)
- Bears Score First/Lose (+260)
- Home Team Win 6-10 (+410)