Thursday Night Football Betting Preview: Titans at Jaguars
We have another division game on Thursday night as the Tennessee Titans visit the winless but spunky Jacksonville Jaguars.
At most sportsbooks, the Titans are 1.5-point road favorite. The total is 40. Tennessee is -120 on the moneyline, while the Jaguars are -103. You can compare the latest Titans-Jaguars odds from top sportsbooks here.
In the first two Thursday night games of the season, the road teams both won and both were underdogs, two things fans of NFL betting should make note of. The Titans are trying to continue the road trend but as a slight favorite. The line has moved since Sunday morning. Tennessee opened as a 2.5-point favorite as some books.
Both of these AFC South teams have been interesting to start the season. Tennessee blasted Cleveland on the road by 30 points as a 5.5-point underdog then lost a division game to the visiting Indianapolis Colts as a 3-point favorite.
After losing starting quarterback Nick Foles in the first half in Week 1 in a home defeat to the Kansas City Chiefs, the Jaguars turned to rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew, and he gave them a spark. The Jaguars lost a heartbreaker in Houston on Sunday 13-12 in the final seconds.
Let’s take a look at the key betting lines of the game:
Betting Titans-Jaguars Against the Spread
It’s interesting that this line has moved toward Jacksonville. But the line makes sense. It is completely understandable that Tennessee is a small favorite. It has a better record and has played better than Jacksonville in the early going.
Additionally, the Titans have owned the Jaguars. They have won six of the past seven meetings against Jacksonville. One possible factor that may affect the line during the week is the injury status of Tennessee quarterback Marcus Mariota. On Monday’s injury report, Mariota was listed with a quad injury, and if the Titans would have practiced on Monday, he wouldn’t have. So, that is certainly something to monitor during the week.
Titans-Jaguars Moneyline Betting
Because of the tight point spread, both teams have similar moneyline prices. Tennessee is priced at -120 and Jacksonville is +103. So, there’s value for both teams if you feel strongly in either direction. Again, Mariota’s playing status could affect the moneyline. We should know more after Tuesday. If Mariota practices on Tuesday during a short week, he should be fine. If he doesn’t practice, though, the line will probably change.
Assuming Mariota plays – if not, backup Ryan Tannehill -- Tennessee is priced right because it has been better this season thus far and because of its recent ownership of Jacksonville. The Jaguars are an intriguing bet well because they’ve been competitive and are at home.
Titans-Jaguars Over/Under Betting
The total is a low 40 points. It’s predictable total. And, of course, it could drop to the 37.5-38-point range if Mariota doesn’t play. So, those leaning toward the under, should consider making the bet early because of potential value there.
However, even if Mariota is healthy, the low total is understandable. The Titans-Colts game totaled 26 points (a 19-17 win by the Colts). The Jaguars lost 13-12 in Houston. Minshew has grit and has produced, completing 45 of 58 passes as Foles’ replacement. But the Titans’ defense is well-coached.
Minshew will be challenged on a short week. So, points will likely be at a premium as have the first two Thursday night games this season. The under hit in both games.
Notable Titans-Jaguars Prop Bets
- Jaguars and over: +285
- Jaguars -7.5: +290
- Titans +1.5: -143
- Titans 1st to score 20: +118
- Total touchdowns over 3.5: -225