Newmarket 3.35 (2000 Guineas) tips – Warrior won’t shirk a battle

Newmarket 3.35 (2000 Guineas) tips - Warrior won't shirk a battle

Saxon Warrior

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Betting Tip: @ Saxon Warrior @ 9/2 with paddypower

Aidan O’Brien has a typically strong team for the first Classic of the season with Gustav Klimpt and SAXON WARRIOR, who are 5/2 and 4/1 respectively with bet365 at the time of writing, joined by relative outsider Murillo. His last three winners of this race all went off favourite, which suggests that Gustav Klimpt is the one to concentrate on, but there seems to be plenty of confidence behind his stablemate and it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if they swapped places in the betting.

He’s certainly a strong second-string based on what we saw at two, culminating in his neck defeat of The Roaring Lion in the Racing Post Trophy to take his record to 3-3. The form of that Doncaster race has taken a few knocks since but it was the way he went about it that impressed, shrugging off a bump from the runner-up inside the final furlong to to get back up close home. On that evidence he’s going to need further than a mile this year and that will lead to some to conclude he won’t have the necessary speed to win this, but I’m not in that camp and a fast-run mile, which looks assured, should be just fine for him.

That’s not to say it won’t suit Gustav Klimpt either and he’s hugely respected of course, but his juvenile form is nothing special and that he’s already had a run this term can be seen as a negative, when you consider that O’Brien tends to win this with season debutants. Of the pair, I just feel that Saxon Farm could turn out to be a real superstar this year and I’m backing him to give teenager Donnacha OBrien his first Classic success, which in turn would cement his position as favourite for the Epsom Derby (a best-priced 7/2 with bet365).

As for the rest, I’ve not totally given up on Expert Eye following his Greenham defeat as I think he’ll come on a bundle for that and will relish stepping up to a mile. He’s actually my best result, having backed him for this after he destroyed his rivals at Goodwood last season, although my gut feeling is he’s going to need a bit more time.

Easy Craven Stakes winner Masar needs respecting too, although the domestic trials are rarely significant these days and he’d be the first Craven winner to follow up in this since 2004. Besides, he might not even be the pick of the home team with the unbeaten (2-2) Elarqam, who is the son of two Guineas winners in Frankel and Attraction, bidding to give Mark Johnston a first win in this since 1994.

It also has to be said this has been a great race for outsiders making the frame, so don’t let a big price put you off backing one each-way. And one who could be up to that task is William Haggas’ HEADWAY, a 33/1 shot with bet365. While he appeared to have his limitations exposed over 6f at two, he looked a much improved beast when showing blistering pace to score on his first try over 7f at Lingfield in March, and on that evidence he’s going to relish a mile.

SELECTIONS

Saxon Warrior @ 9/2 Paddy Power
Headway each-way @ 33/1 bet365 (1/5 odds, 1.2.3)

Betting Tip: @ Saxon Warrior @ 9/2 with paddypower

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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