Albany Stakes tips – Johnston filly solid each-way value against Cuff

Albany Stakes tips – Johnston filly solid each-way value against Cuff

Kilmah

Kilmah

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Betting Tip: Kilmah @ 10/1 with williamhill

The Albany Stakes is a relatively new race (since 2002) for two-year-old fillies and is run over the straight 6f.

Who’s favourite?
Aidan O’Brien’s Cuff looks a worthy favourite after taking her record to 2-3 with a smooth three-length success over Yulong Baobei (a far from disgraced seventh in Tuesday’s Windsor Castle) over 6f at Naas last time, after which connections mentioned this race as a possible target. A daughter of Galileo, her proven stamina and ability to handle soft conditions counts for plenty. Strangely, this is one Royal Ascot race to have eluded her trainer so far.

Who else is fancied?

There are plenty of less-exposed dangers amongst her rivals, though, and they include Wesley Ward’s Create A Dream, who made all to score over 5f here (good to soft) on her British debut, with The Last Lion (runner-up in the Norfolk Stakes yesterday) a neck away in second and Deningy (who looked unlucky) in third. She reportedly took a lot of time to get over her trans-Atlantic travel and can therefore be expected to come on plenty for that experience.

Richard Fahey’s Queen Kindly absolutely dotted up on her debut over 5f at Catterick (good to firm), with her jockey looking round for non-existent dangers even before picking up the leader inside the final furlong. She is superbly bred being the first daughter of Frankel to make the racecourse and she is also the first foal of the Princess Margaret, Lowther and Diadem Stakes winner Lady Of The Desert.

Grizzel represents Richard Hannon, who sent out last year’s winner Illuminate, and she lines up unbeaten after two starts, the latest coming over 5f at Beverley, where she relished the stiff uphill finish to lead near the line. The second, Clem Fandango, boosted the form when finishing third in Wednesday’s Queen Mary, albeit a long way behind the winner Lady Aurelia.

Any decent outsiders?
All bar two of the 16 runners have won a race and Mark Johnston’s Kilmah looks the most interesting of those priced at 10/1 or bigger having beaten Seafront by a comfortable two lengths on her Newmarket debut, despite dwelling at the start. That latter horse went on to finish a three-length third to Cuff in Ireland, so a strict interpretation of the form gives her a fighting chance of beating the favourite.

Best bookie offer?
Paddy Power are refunding losing stakes as a free bet (up to £25) if your horse finishes second to the SP favourite, most likely Cuff, while bet365 are going one quarter the odds instead of the standard fifth.

Who’s going to win?
Cuff is a worthy favourite but she’s not short of progressive, unexposed rivals and there’s some value to be had in KILMAH at Paddy Power’s 11/1 (especially given their concession). She’s got an entry in the Group 1 Moyglare Stud Stakes in September so she’s clearly highly regarded and should do a lot better with that Newmarket experience under her belt.

SELECTION

Kilmah each-way @ 11/1 Paddy Power (1/5 odds, 1.2.3 – money back on the win part if she’s second to the favourite)

Betting Tip: Kilmah @ 10/1 with williamhill

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