Arab Spring to continue his rise through the ranks

Arab Spring continued his progress at Newbury last time

Arab Spring

Arab Spring

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Betting Tip: Arab Spring @ 15/8 with williamhill

It’s Brigadier Gerard evening at Sandown and the two Group races on the card, not to mention the National Stakes for juveniles, are extremely high quality renewals.

The ground is set to be good to firm and the fast conditions have already claimed one casualty in Tullius, with the withdrawal of this soft-ground lover reducing the field for the feature Brigadier Gerard Stakes (due off 7.45pm) down to five. I think we can discount 40/1 rag Niceofyoutotellme on all known form, which leaves us with just four to choose from, and I’m not convinced there is enough juice in the ground for Gordon Richards Stakes winner Western Hymn, so I’m putting a line through him too.

With Eagle Top seemingly using the race as a prep for Royal Ascot and likely to need the run after 306 days off, it looks a straight fight out between Arab Spring and Trysted. The bookies see it that way too with the pair disputing favouritism at around the 2/1 mark. At those prices, I’m quite happy to sit this one out betting-wise, though ARAB SPRING has to be the selection. He is better known as a 1m4f performer, but I reckon he’ll cope with the drop in trip as he’s not short of speed and travels strongly. Ryan Moore won’t be hanging around on him and will be wary of the finishing kick of Tryster, who is running over his ideal trip. Whether he can translate his smart all-weather form to turf is another matter, and the selection can give his trainer Sir Michael Stoute a remarkable eighth success in this race. If he edges out to 9/4 – Paddy Power’s 2/1 is the best currently – I’ll be jumping on.

Betting Tip: Arab Spring @ 15/8 with williamhill

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