Ascot 4.00 (Victoria Cup) tips – Gilgamesh is epic each-way value

Ascot 4.00 (Victoria Cup) tips - Gilgamesh is epic each-way value

Gilgamesh

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Betting Tip: @ Gilgamesh each-way @ 25/1 with bet365

Bookmakers are taking no chances with Louie De Palma on his first start for nearly four years and, while it’s interesting that connections have persevered with him, it will be some feat by his trainer Clive Cox to have him cherry ripe for this. I simply can’t back him at just 7/1 for what is a hugely competitive renewal and especially as he might be drawn on the wrong side of the track in stall six based on recent results. In the last four years it has paid to be drawn high – the winners have come from boxes 25, 23, 29 and 18 – while six of the placed horses emerged from 21 or higher.

The draw is also a potential negative for the other market leader, Keyser Soze, with Richard Spencer’s charge set to exit from stall seven. Other than that, he has plenty going for him in that he’s won both his starts at this trip and ran well from a poor draw when a close up third in the Spring Cup (1m) on his reappearance. He remains unexposed after just eight starts and will appreciate the drop back to 7f, although he needs to be delivered as late as possible and that’s fraught with danger in big field handicaps like this one.

I could mention a dozen others and still not name the winner, so I’ll cut to my idea of the best value runner in the shape of George Scott’s GILGAMESH. He’s a 25/1 shot with bet365 currently and that is because he finished out with the washing on his first run back this season in the Spring Mile at Newbury. However, as we discovered in a Stable Tour last week, he was too fresh after his layoff and the ground was also too soft for him, with Scott also making him his ‘trainer’s pick’. If we forgive him that one bad run, he’s a real player having won four of his seven previous starts, thrice over this trip, with the scope for further progress this season. From a potentially advantageous draw in stall 23 and with the ground coming right for him, he will surely outrun his price tag.

Betting Tip: @ Gilgamesh each-way @ 25/1 with bet365

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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