Carlisle 4.10 tips – Tipsy to lead a merry way

Carlisle 4.10 tips - Tipsy to lead a merry way

Tipsy Dara

Tipsy Dara

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Betting Tip: Tipsy Dara @ 5/1 with betvictor

Sue Smith sent out Bennys Well to win the bookies-com-sponsored 2m4f handicap chase (4.10pm) 12 months ago and she fields the likely favourite this time round in the shape of Swing Hard, who is coming off a respectable third at Catterick and been running well for a while now without winning. However, the eight-year-old seems to reserve his best for that tight North Yorkshire track – he’s also a winner at the similarly sharp Musselburgh – and he’s opposable for that reason.

Anything Venetia Williams runs here has to be respected and her John Louis, a Bangor winner two starts back, is running over his best trip and is proven on heavy. However, he has to give weight away all round and narrow preference is for the 12-year-old TIPSY DARA, who gave notice that he was about to take advantage of a tumbling mark when third at Newcastle last time. A winner over track and trip on heavy and off 3lb higher, he is taken to roll back the years with Stephen Mulqeen’s 5lb claim possible making the difference here.

Of the rest, Martin Todhunter’s Pekanheim looks a real danger having shown something like his old form when third at Newcastle last time, showing the benefit of being treated for ulcers. He’s undoubtedly well handicapped again, being 3lb lower than when recording his sole chase win at Hexham, but he might want better ground than he encounters today. Abbey Storm will surely need his first run back after a 508-day absence.

Betting Tip: Tipsy Dara @ 5/1 with betvictor

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