Carlisle Bell Handicap tips – Lavetta has solid claims in bookies-com-sponsored feature

Carlisle Bell tips - Lavetta has solid claims in bookies-com-sponsored feature

Lavetta

Lavetta

View Odds

Betting Tip: Lavetta @ 11/1 with bet365

Here at bookies.com we’re proud sponsors of the historic Carlisle Bell Handicap (due off 3.35pm), the feature race at the Cumbrian track this afternoon run over a trip just short of a mile (47 yards to be exact), and the generous prize money has helped attract a maximum field of 17.

Four were winners last-time-out, including last year’s fourth Woody Bay. He narrowly edged a three-way finish over 1m1f at York just 11 days ago and is just 3lb higher here. However, he’s 8lb higher than 12 months ago and may again find one or two too good. The same comment applies to last year’s sixth, Ginger Jack, although the nine-year-old arrives here in great nick after posting his 10th career success on his 60th start at Thirsk last time. Kalk Bay was a winner over 7f at Musselburgh earlier this month and that is arguably his best trip, while he’s never won off this high a mark on turf.

The remaining last-time-out winner, the Alan Swinbank-trained LAVETTA, makes far more appeal and I think she’ll win. Why? She’s a lightly-raced sort and was scoring for the third time in just 11 starts in a higher grade at Doncaster at the beginning of June under today’s pilot Darryll Holland, who is now an eye-catching 2-5 (40%) on the stable runners. That was over 7f, as were her two previous wins, but she shapes like she will get a mile no problem and her stamina-laden pedigree – she’s by Arc winner Peintre Celebre – also provides plenty of encouragement for that. All ground seems to come alike to her and I’ll be amazed if she’s not rated a good deal higher than her current 81 come the season end.

The icing in the cake is her draw in stall two as low numbers were heavily favoured last year, when the first five home were drawn 2-5-4-1-3 in that order. Of course, much depends on where the pace is but with Jacbequick, who made most when winning at Beverley two starts back, and Muntahaa, another prominent racer, in stalls one and five respectively, she might just be in the ideal place.

Others worthy of a mention are top weight Dubai Dynamo, who is looking as good as ever at the age of 11 and is running under a 6lb penalty for last week’s Hamilton success. A winner of a charity race under his trainer Ruth Carr previously, he’s clearly in rude health and could give the selection most to do – he’s worth a saver, perhaps?

He’s preferred over Funding Deficit, who has done most of his winning over shorter and is on a career-high mark, and Hard To Handel, who looks the pick of David O’Meara’s trio of runners and has been running well on the all-weather at Newcastle. He looks the type of horse that needs a bit of luck, though, and is 11lb higher than when last winning on turf.

Betting Tip: Lavetta @ 11/1 with bet365

Leave a Reply