Doncaster 3.35 (Lincoln) tips – two horses against the field

Doncaster 3.35 (Lincoln) tips – two horses against the field

Lincoln

Donncha

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Betting Tip: @ Donncha @ 16/1 with ladbrokes

Die-hard jumps fans won’t give a stuff about the Lincoln, the feature race at Doncaster on Saturday, which heralds the start of the turf Flat season, but I’m a fan of backing winners under all codes and can’t resist a crack.

I’m going to start by putting a tentative line through one of the favourites Lord Glitters. He showed improved form on his first three starts for David O’Meara at the end of last season, the highlight being a valuable handicap win at Ascot. However, he starts this season on a career-high mark as a result and while that’s not insurmountable, carrying top weight of 9st 10lb on the forecast soft ground might be enough to stop him. Besides, his stable has been struggling for winners so far in 2018 (0-72).

Just behind him in the betting are a couple of lightly-raced four-year-olds – namely Fire Brigade and Addeybb – who look to have been trained for this and may well be Group horses masquerading as handicappers. However, they haven’t been missed by bookmakers and plenty of similar types have been stuffed in this in recent renewals. Indeed, the race is now routinely won by more exposed sorts (the last seven winners had all run at least 14 times) who have dropped down the ratings.

Which brings me nicely on to my main fancy, the Robert Eddery-trained DONNCHA, who is a relative veteran after 28 starts and is on his lowest mark for two years. Furthermore, he has run cracking races in defeat when reappearing at this meeting for the last two seasons, finishing third, just half a length behind the winner, in last year’s renewal, and a neck second in the 2016 consolation race off the same mark as today’s. Clearly, this straight mile suits him well and as the ground was riding on the soft side of good on each occasion, we have no worries on that score either.

But what really makes him interesting, and worthy of a bet at the current 16/1, is that he’s been gelded over the winter, an operation that often eeks out some improvement, and the presence of Andrea Atzeni on his back. The Italian is absolutely mustard on Town Moor, winning back-to-back St Legers and the Racing Post Trophy four years running, so he’s just the man to bring the selection with a well timed run to land the spoils, hopefully.

It never hurts having a couple running for you in a race of this nature and LEADER WRITER is also worth backing at the current 14/1. Henry Spiller’s six-year-old sneaks into this on joint-bottom weight and made an eye-catching return to action on the all-weather last month. Returning after 133 days off, he was slow to break and also ran very wide off the bend, so it was to his credit he finished better than anything into fourth. When you factor in his penchant for soft ground and that the cheek-pieces he wore when winning at Ascot last September (1m, soft) are back on, he has to be worth an interest.

The selections are drawn 15 and 21 respectively and certainly a middle to high draw has looked an advantage for the last three runnings, with the winners coming out of boxes 20 (last year), 22 and 15. However, that might be a red herring and, with previous winners emerging from all over the shop, the best advice is to ignore the draw.

SELECTIONS

Donncha @ 16/1 Ladbrokes
Lead Writer @ 14/1 Ladbrokes

Betting Tip: @ Donncha @ 16/1 with ladbrokes

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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