Golden Jubilee Stakes tips – The Tin Man can show he’s all heart

Golden Jubilee Stakes tips – The Tin Man can show he's all heart

The Tin Man

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Betting Tip: @ 7/2 with bet365

The highlight on day five of the royal meeting is the Diamond Jubilee Stakes, a race promoted to Group 1 status in 2002 and contested by four-year-old runners and up over the straight 6f.

Who’s favourite?
Charlie Hills’ Magical Memory has gone from strength to strength since beating 26 rivals in last year’s Stewards’ Cup off a mark of 102, and further wins at Newmarket and York this term have taken his record under Frankie Dettori to 4-4. He’s a horse who doesn’t do a great deal in front, which perhaps explains why he’s still a bit behind some of his main rivals on the official ratings, but his turn of foot is lethal and there may be more to come from him. He’s disputing favouritism with James Fanshawe’s The Tin Man.

Who else is fancied?
Like Magical Memory, The Tin Man has come up through the handicap ranks and those days are way behind him now as he’s rated 115 (1lb ahead of the Hills runner) after making rapid progress at the end of last season, culminating in fourth place (of 20) behind Muhaarar in the Group 1 Champions Sprint run here in October. His tidy reappearance win in a Listed represented further improvement and especially when you consider he looked in need of the run after a interrupted preparation. He wouldn’t need to improve much more to win a race that is perhaps not quite as strong as usual.

Twilight Son was a revelation last season, soaring from a mark of 77 to 117 after landing the Group 1 Haydock Sprint Cup, and he was only beaten by Muhaarar on his final start on Champions Day. His reappearance fifth in the Duke Of York, won by Magical Memory, can be upgraded as he was lumbered with a Group 1 penalty and would have needed the run on ground quicker than ideal. With that run under his belt and on level terms, he may well reverse the form with the Hills runner under Ryan Moore, who partnered him into second here last autumn.

Any decent outsiders?
Despite the smallest field since 1975, we have a truly international line-up with runners from Hong Kong, Australia, USA and France. Holler in particular is an interesting contender for Australian trainer John O’Shea as he has already won at this level Down Under and this front runner may well get an uncontested lead.

Last year’s 14/1 winner Undrafted is back for more and arrives in good form, though ground conditions will be far easier this time around and he faces some promising sprinters for the home team. The ground also looks to have gone against Hong Kong raider Gold-Fun.

Best bookie offer?
Back the winner at 3/1 or bigger with Betfair and they will give you a free bet token to the same value of your stake (up to £25).

Who’s going to win?
Holler looks set to cut a dash but he may set it up for THE TIN MAN who wants dropping in and being ridden for a turn of foot – which he’s certainly got! Ground just on the easy side of good is perfect for him and he can emulate his half-brother Deacon Blues, who won at this meeting in 2011.


The Tin Man @ 7/2 Betfair

Betting Tip: @ 7/2 with bet365

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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