Goodwood 3.45 tips – make the bookies Take Cover

Goodwood 3.45 tips - make the bookies Take Cover

Take Cover

Take Cover

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Betting Tip: Take Cover @ 16/1 with betfair

Three-year-olds fill two of the first three places in the betting and 13 winners from that age group is a far from shoddy record. However, their task seems to have become harder in more recent times with Moviesta their sole success story since 2002, and with doubts over whether the Sir Mark Prescott-trained Marsha, the current 6/1 favourite, will handle this track, I’m inclined to look to to the older brigade for the winner.

Last year’s winner Muthmir is a good place to start as he appears to be coming back to the goal, as evidenced by a close third over 5f at York earlier this month. He may well reverse form with the pair who finished in front of him on the Knavesmire, the aforementioned Marsha, who cannot afford to give up so much ground at the start here, and another three-year-old in Easton Angel. He escapes a penalty for last year’s success due to the race conditions and must go well now reunited with Paul Hanagan, who has guided him to three wins including in last year’s renewal.

He’s put in at a best-priced 7/1, which is only fair when you consider he went off at 3/1 12 months ago, but there’s arguably even more value in the 16/1 on offer for last year’s head runner-up TAKE COVER. Now a nine-year-old, he looked as good as ever when comfortably beating the re-opposing Cotai Glory at Haydock on his penultimate start before running a respectable race in Royal Ascot’s King’s Stand on ground softer than ideal. This is his first run back at Goodwood since last July and you just know he’s going to run another screamer as he’s tailor-made for the downhill 5f here, with his form figures over track and trip reading ’12’, with the victory coming in the 2014 version of this race.

A few firms are offering enhanced place terms and Sky Bet are paying out on five places, albeit at one fifth the odds. They are 11/1 on the selection but I’d rather take Betfair’s 16/1 (Coral are just 9/1) and three places (1/4 odds) as I think he’ll go very close.

Betting Tip: Take Cover @ 16/1 with betfair

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