Haydock 4.30 tips – pin your punting heart to The Tin Man

Haydock 4.30 tips - pin your punting heart to The Tin Man

The Tin Man

The Tin Man

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Betting Tip: The Tin Man @ 8/1 with coral

Will Limato, the current 9/4 favourite, take his place in the field? That’s the question we have to ask and it all depends on the weather as he’s a fast-ground horse and the forecast is not encouraging in that respect. I wouldn’t blame any punters for waiting until much nearer the time when will know for certain before investing. But even if he does take his place, I’d be loathe to take such stingy odds and especially as this race may come a bit for him after his fine second in the Nunthorpe just 15 days ago. His trainer Henry Candy has expressed his own concerns about that timescale based on the fact he has run flat in the past when returning within three weeks. Admittedly, that is based on a couple of runs at the beginning of last season when Candy was unsure over whether he’d trained on, but it’s still a worry nonetheless.

A drop of rain would be ideal for the three-year-old filly Quiet Reflection as she’s a different beast when able to get her toe in, while Stewards’ Cup winner Dancing Star is another to consider and seems pretty versatile when it comes to the ground. However, I’m going to pin my heart to THE TIN MAN after he returned to winning form in a Group 3 at Newbury last time without Tom Queally having to get get too serious in the saddle. He was disappointing in the Group 1 Golden Jubilee before that, but he had endured a troubled preparation and he is from a family that improve with age. Described by his trainer James Fanshawe as a “very exciting horse” after the Newbury run, I’ve a feeling we’ve yet to see the best of him and the stable has been ticking along nicely in recent weeks. A return to Ascot in October for the Champions Sprint, in which he finished fourth behind Muhaarar in 2015, beckons and he’s already as short as 8/1 (the same price as Limato) for that, so he looks value at the same price with Coral to land this contest.

Betting Tip: The Tin Man @ 8/1 with coral

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