Ludlow 4.10 tips – Bailey runner back at favourite track

Ludlow 4.10 tips - Bailey runner back at favourite track

Ludlow

Ascotdeux Nellerie

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Betting Tip: Ascotdeux Nellerie @ 7/1 with betfair

Just five horses have been declared for the novices’ limited handicap chase but there are some progressive sorts amongst them, including Master Dee and I’dliketheoption, who were separated by just half a length when first and second at Newton Abbot on August. The winner has been beaten since at Bangor off his revised mark (made too many mistakes) and, up another 1lb since, he now meets the runner-up on 3lb worse terms.

It should be close between them but I’m going to take a chance on Kim Bailey’s ASCOTDEUX NELLERIE being fit enough on his return to action after 166 days off. A similar absence didn’t stop him winning a novices’ hurdle at this track last October, having won a bumper on his debut here previously, and he also ran well to finish third in another novice at the track in March after a four-month layoff. He can be forgiven his only poor run at Doncaster in November, when strongly fancied, as he broke a blood vessel. On that evidence, he looks the type who is best fresh.

Another summer at grass would have done the now six-year-old the power of good and it’s interesting that his trainer is pitching him straight into handicap for his chasing debut, rather than start him off in a beginners’ chase. It’s just a theory but Bailey must think he’s on a fair opening mark (125) and may well have prepared him to win what is a decent pot (£8,758 first prize) at a track he clearly likes (form figures of 113), with no worries over the ground either. At 7/1, I’m happy to pay to find out.

Betting Tip: Ascotdeux Nellerie @ 7/1 with betfair

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