Newmarket 3.40 (Cesarewitch) tips – call an Uber for value

Newmarket 3.40 (Cesarewitch) tips - call an Uber for value

Low Sun

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Betting Tip: @ Low Sun @ 12/1 with bet365

Bookmakers are keeping Willie Mullins’ Stratum firmly on their side for Saturday’s Cesarewitch and no wonder as the five-year-old would surely have gone close to winning the Ebor at York had he not been trapped on the far rail with nowhere to go whilst full of running, with Robert Winston giving up the ghost late on. However, he is just 6/1 and did go up a lot in the weights for winning at Newbury previously, when everything went his way, so I’m inclined to look elsewhere.

His stablemates are a good starting point and, indeed, I’m very much warming to the chances of LOW SUN, who is available at twice the odds of Stratum and fair value at that. His profile is that of an improving sort under both codes as he has won twice over hurdles, including over 2m7f at the Galway Festival in August, and a 2m handicap on Irish Derby Day since the turn of the year. His two defeats in the space of four days at the Punchestown Festival also read well as he wasn’t beaten far and might have done better still if things had gone his way, while you can ignore his latest run over 1m4f at Bellewstown as that was too sharp a test for him.

He’s now rated 141 over hurdles, which by my reckoning gives him a fair few pounds in hand now back on the level off a mark of 97 (I subtract 35lb between codes), and there may well be more to come given he’s a lightly-raced five-year-old who appears to be thriving for his powerful stable. There cant be any stamina concerns either for the Cesarewitch trip of 2m2f and I also like the booking of Jason Watson as the apprentice continues to impress since losing his claim, which has clearly not been lost on Mullins. I just hope he gets a low to middle draw on Thursday as those drawn higher have a little further to travel due to the configuration of the track.

But such is the open nature of the race that I can hardly stick with one horse and the other one to back at bigger odds is Jane Chapple-Hyam’s improving stayer UBER COOL, who is available at 33/1 at the time of writing. The same comment about the draw applies to him of course but there’s plenty to like about him besides given that he’s now won six of his 12 starts and twice over 2m to suggest he has the necessary stamina for this.

Certainly, the way he travelled and stuck to his task when scoring at Yarmouth (1m6f) last month suggests he’s got more to give and that effort can be upgraded further as he had been off since injuring himself at Royal Ascot. The Cesarewitch was mentioned by connections after that race (rightly so) and it’s good that they are staying loyal to apprentice Ray Dawson as he clearly gets on well with the four-year-old, while his 5lb claim comes in very handy.

I’ll post an update on Thursday’s draw here but one thing we can be fairly certain about is the ground being no slower than good, unless the weather forecast is hopelessly wrong. Indeed, it might be on the fast side come the day and that’s no concern for either of my two selections as they are proven on such a surface.

SELECTIONS

Low Sun @ 12/1 bet365
Uber Cool each-way @ 33/1 Betfred (1/4 odds, 1.2.3.4.5)

Betting Tip: @ Low Sun @ 12/1 with bet365

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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