Perfect Gentleman has right style for success

Perfect Gentleman looks to have the right credentials

Perfect Gentleman

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Betting Tip: Perfect Gentleman @ 12/1 with williamhill

The Irish Grand National is Ireland’s most valuable chase and is traditionally run at Fairyhouse on Easter Monday over the marathon trip of 3m5f.

The brilliant Desert Orchid carried 12st to victory and the current Grand National favourite Shutthefrontdoor won it 12 months ago, but it has largely been a nightmare race for punters with several unfathomable big-priced winners, with Liberty Counsel’s 50/1 success in 2013 the most recent kick in the teeth for punters.

With bookmakers betting 10/1 the field we could well see another shock result, but some strong trends provide a possible lifeline for punters and, using them as a guide, it’s clear we’re looking for a lightly-raced improver with a racing weight below 11st. We can narrow the field down even further by concentrating on those horses who ran at the Cheltenham Festival, with four of the last eight winners taking that route and either competing in the National Hunt Chase (4m) or Kim Muir.

All three of the recent British-trained winners – Shutthefrontdoor, Niche Market and Butler’s Cabin – had run in the four-miler previously, and that points to big runs from this year’s National Hunt Chase third and fourth, The Job Is Right and PERFECT GENTLEMAN. The latter has six lengths to make up and the weights are identical, but there’s a suspicion he was ridden more handily than ideal at Cheltenham and he might therefore turn the tables. Prior to that run he had looked seriously progressive in landing his first two chase starts this term, including a Grade 3 at Cork, and when you add all that up it makes him a bet at the current 20/1.

Betting Tip: Perfect Gentleman @ 12/1 with williamhill

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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