Royal Ascot 5.00 (Royal Hunt Cup) tips – Keyser Soze ticks all boxes

Royal Ascot 5.00 (Royal Hunt Cup) tips - Keyser Soze ticks all boxes

Keyser Soze

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Betting Tip: @ Keyser Soze @ 14/1 with ladbrokes

This is one of the big betting races of the week and with 29 set to go to post we can use past results to help narrow down the field to a more manageable size. Tellingly, all of the last ten winner had had no more than three runs that turf season, suggesting freshness is a key factor, and four-year-olds are most definitely the age group to side with, having won seven of the renewals since 2008. That’s because they tend to more progressive types on their way up the handicap and a light weight is handy too, as six winners have carried no more than 9st 1lb since 2009.

There are seven qualifiers based on the above and the pick of these in my mind are Settle For Bay, Medahim and KEYSER SOZE, with the latter getting the pick. He’s not the most straightforward of horses and needs holding up, but he’s got bags of raw talent, as he showed when winning twice from three starts last season and finishing third in the Spring Cup on his reappearance. Subject of a gamble for last year’s Britannia Stakes at this meeting, he could never land a blow from his high draw (now drawn better in stall seven) and he again let down his backers when last seen out in the Victoria Cup. However, he missed the break by six lengths on that occasion, which was uncharacteristic of him, and I remain convinced there is a big handicap in him off his current mark of 96. His trainer Richard Spencer said recently he’d have a “serious chance” in this race if making the cut and the small stable is going great guns with four winners from just 15 runners in the last fortnight.

So, he’ll be carrying my money at Ladbrokes’ 14/1 and the same firm’s 18/1 and 25/1 on Settle For Bay and Medahim is also worth snapping up, with the former horse in particular catching the eye when fourth over 7f in a 16-runner field on turf last time, having rattled off a four-timer over this trip at Dundalk previously.

Betting Tip: @ Keyser Soze @ 14/1 with ladbrokes

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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