Scotland a value outsider for stayers’ prize by country mile

Scotland a value outsider for stayers' prize by country mile

Ascot Gold Cup


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Betting Tip: @ 10/1 with bet365

Ed Dunlop’s Trip To Paris has burst into the staying scene this season with victories in the Chester Cup and the Ascot Gold Cup last time out. He’s now no bigger than 4/1 to add this Group 2 prize to his impressive CV and follow in the footsteps of the 11 Ascot winners to do the double during the past 40 years under a penalty. However, only one horse – Yeats – has achieved that feat since Double Trigger in 1995 and, given this year’s Gold Cup looked a weak renewal with the first nine home covered by around five and a half lengths, I’m inclined to take him on at that price.

That said, the Ascot race may still provide the winner, as it has done seven times in the last ten years, and SCOTLAND, who ran better than his finishing position of sixth suggests, looks the one to be on at 11/1 with bet365, who are offering one quarter the odds (a fifth elsewhere). Andrew Balding’s charge was noted staying on from the back of the field, having been given a lot to do turning into the straight with his jockey perhaps mindful of the fact he was running over six furlongs more than he had gone previously. With his stamina now proven, he could benefit from a more positive ride and he does have some course form in the book too, having run creditably in a Group 2 over an inadequate 1m4f at last year’s meeting.

UPDATE – Scotland has been scratched from the race and that could leave the way for Roger Charlton’s Quest For More, a 9/2 shot with bet365, to continue his remarkable progress this season.

Betting Tip: @ 10/1 with bet365

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