The well-treated Kudu Country is value against the favourite

Kudu Country is a value 5/1 shot

Betting Tip: Kudu Country @ 5/1 with paddypower

Just six runners will go to post for the feature 2m handicap chase at Ludlow but none are easily discounted.

Philip Hobbs provides the likely favourite in Mountain King and he perhaps possesses the most scope for improvement after just two starts over fences. The winner of a bumper and two hurdle races, he should be up to winning in this sphere too judging on his latest second to a good sort at Huntingdon last month, although he rather spoiled his chance by running too free (as he did on his debut at Newbury) and making some novicey errors.

At the forecast odds of 13/8, he’s not for me, whereas Evan Williams’ KUDU COUNTRY looks real value at 5/1. A good novice in his younger days, winning twice and finishing third in a Grade 1 at Aintree behind Sprinter Sacre no less, he has got himself well handicapped again over fences. After a couple of creditable runs in handicap hurdles, he was well backed to take advantage at Chepstow last time and was running a blinder when capsizing at the last. He was two lengths down at the time and may have finished second but, still, he’s clearly back to somewhere near his best and, normally a safe jumper, I’m willing to give him another chance with conditions to suit. More encouragement is provided by his trainer’s healthy 21% strike rate with his chasers here since 2011.

Betting Tip: Kudu Country @ 5/1 with paddypower

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