York 2.30 tips – look to Reflection for each-way value

York 2.30 tips - look to Reflection for each-way value

Queen Mary

Quiet Reflection

View Odds

Betting Tip: Quiet Reflection @ 14/1 with betvictor

The favourite for this Group 2 is the Mark Johnston-trained Lumiere, who impressed many when winning by six lengths on his debt at Newmarket. However, the form of that race has not worked out – the third, fourth, fifth and sixth have all been beaten since – and I’m inclined to swerve him at just 11/8.

The form of the Queen Mary, won by Acapulco, looks stronger so the second and third, Easton Angel and Besharah, have to be considered and it’s worth noting that the Ascot race has proved a good pointer in recent years, with eight winners since 1978 following up on the Knavesmire and three runners-up also winning. Easton Angel got no sort of run when fourth (promoted from fifth) to Illuminate in a Group 2 at Newmarket last time and she may well show her true colours here.

At bigger odds, though, I like the look of Kevin Ryan’s QUIET REFLECTION. She beat only five rivals at Hamilton last time, admittedly, but did it in the style of a very smart filly in the making and the five-length second Farkle Mingus has won since to frank the form. A daughter of Showcasing, who also sired the same stable’s Toocoolforschool, who won the Mill Reef by seven lengths last season, she’s clearly inherited a lot of his ability and may well outrun her bet365 odds of 12/1 (one quarter the odds).

Betting Tip: Quiet Reflection @ 14/1 with betvictor

Leave a Reply