York 3.05 tips – back Extremity to take a hand

York 3.05 tips - back Extremity to take a hand

Extremity

Extremity

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Betting Tip: Extremity @ 25/1 with betvictor

This is hugely competitive and that’s reflected in the betting with bookmakers going 6/1 the field. That brings in Godolphin’s Musaddas, who continued his progress when running second to Birdman here last month, and Lady Cecil’s Western Reserve, who looked a Listed performer in the making when winning at the Newmarket July meeting. Of the pair, Musaddas is just preferred as he will be less inconvenienced by any dig in the ground.

However, I’m chasing bigger odds with Hugo Palmer’s EXTREMITY, who is back on a winning mark and is sporting blinkers for the first time. I fancied him for the International at Glorious Goodwood only for him not to make the cut and I’m convinced that there is a big handicap in him. He looked sharply progressive in landing three races especially last term and looked on the way back to his best, after a spell in the doldrums, when finishing fourth at Nottingham last time.

Palmer ran four horses at last year’s Ebor meeting and three finished in the money, with Short Squeeze hitting the target. He’s likely laid out Extremity for this and I’m not going to be out off by his wide draw in stall 20. Granted, low numbers tend to be favoured on the round course here and the first two home in this season’s John Smith’s Cup were drawn one and two. But in bigger fields higher drawn horses can benefit if the pace is too strong and there is every chance some of these will go off too fast. Besides, the 25/1 on offer with Paddy Power helps to compensate for any concerns over the draw.

Betting Tip: Extremity @ 25/1 with betvictor

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