York 3.40 (Ebor) tips – Nakeeta can stage a repeat

York 3.40 (Ebor) tips - Nakeeta can stage a repeat

Nakeeta

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Betting Tip: @ Nakeeta @ 10/1 with paddypower

This hugely valuable handicap is at the mercy of Stratum according to bookmakers who agree on making Willie Mullins’ five-year-old favourite at around the 7/2 mark. That’s quite understandable as he hacked up at Newbury last time, in a race that is working out, and a subsequent 8lb is fair given that he won with a ton in hand. But he’s hardly value at that price and when you consider the shocking record of favourites – just one has won since 1998 – and his low draw in stall four – only Litigant in 2015 has defied a single-figure draw since 2004 – I have to look elsewhere for the winner.

It’s a shame that BLAKENEY POINT has an even worse draw in stall two as he has a very attractive profile and looks to have been laid out for this by his trainer Roger Charlton, who will have a good idea of where he stands with some of these stayers having won the Cesarewitch and Northumberland Plate with Withold. He’s leaving nothing to chance by applying blinkers for the first time and if any jockey can find a safe passage through the field it’s Jamie Spencer, so I’m not going to put anyone off backing him at Betfair’s 10/1.

But it makes sense to go in double-handed and last year’s winner NAKEETA must have every chance of staging a repeat. Iain Jardine’s charge showed a tremendous attitude 12 months ago to get the better of the favourite Flymetothestars in a driving finish (the pair clear) and showed his versatility when finishing fifth (of 23) in the Melbourne Cup on his next outing. He hasn’t reached the same heights in three runs this term but he shaped as though coming to hand at Newbury last time and while he’s 4lb higher in the weights this time round, most of that is taken care of by the claim of talented apprentice Callum Rodriguez. His high draw in stall 15 clinches the bet and if you decide to back just one horse, I’d suggest this fellow, each-way of course and at Paddy Power’s 11/1 as they are paying out on six places.

SELECTIONS

Blakeney Point @ 10/1 Betfair
Nakeeta each-way @ 11/1 Paddy Power (1/5 odds, 1.2.3.4.5.6)

Betting Tip: @ Nakeeta @ 10/1 with paddypower

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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