York 3.40 (Juddmonte International) tips – Mutakayyef cracking each-way value

York 3.40 (Juddmonte International) tips - Mutakayyef cracking each-way value


View Odds

Betting Tip: Mutakayyef @ 11/1 with bet365

A cracking renewal of this Group 1 and it’s the first time since 1999 that a double-figure field (13) will go to post. They are headed by the Roger Varian-trained Postponed, who has been put in around the 13/8 mark. The five-year-old is the best horse in the race according to the official ratings having extended his winning sequence to five in the Group 1 Coronation Cup at the Epsom Derby meeting, but he’s opposable here for several reasons. For one, he’s going to be at or near his very best with four other Group 1 winners in opposition and there has to be a question over that as he missed Royal Ascot with a respiratory infection and his stable has been going through a quiet spell of late. Varian has been very sparing with his runners in the last few weeks and while some of those to have run have performed up to their best, others have been below-par. Couple that with the fact he is dropping in trip from his ideal 12 furlongs and I’d rather be layer than a backer at the odds in a race that has historically been a tough one for short-priced favourites.

Hawkbill is next in the betting and the Godolphin runner showed he was up to this class when showing a willing attitude to deny The Gurkha in the Eclipse at Sandown last time out. He is preferred to Highland Reel, who is most unlikely to get the easy lead he enjoyed when making all in the Group 1 King George under a masterful ride from Ryan Moore, who is replaced by Seamie Heffernan.

However, it could be worth taking a chance on William Haggas’ MUTAKAYYEF with 11/1 on offer at bet365. That looks good value considering he has looked much improved for a gelding operation, winning both his starts this season in smooth style, including a Group 2 at Ascot last time when he had subsequent winners Dutch Connection and Richard Pankhurst among his victims. That was over a mile but he’s won over this far, albeit at lower level, and he appears to be getting stronger now that he has grown into himself and matured. A consistent sort who has never finished out out the first three in 12 starts, he can run into a place at the least to reward each-way support.

Betting Tip: Mutakayyef @ 11/1 with bet365

All odds were correct at time of posting.

Leave a Reply