York 4.05 tips – Lubinka is too big a price

York 4.05 tips - Lubinka is too big a price


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Betting Tip: @ Lubinka @ 6/1 with bet365

This race usually goes to an odds-on favourite, with that applying to four of the last five winners, but this is a more open renewal and John Gosden’s Highgarden, the mount of Frankie Dettori, heads the market at around the 5/2 mark. That’s probably more to do with her connections – Gosden and Dettori have combined for the last three winners – than what she’s shown on track, as she failed to land the odds in a Sandown maiden on her reappearance last month.

I’m inclined to take her on and the Sandown second Give And Take has to be considered as she should come on for that run and holds all the right entries. But at the odds I’m going to take a chance on LUBINKA, with bet365 going 6/1 on Peter Chapple-Hyam’s filly. That looks too big given she ran some eye-catching races at two, including when third to Nell Gwyn winner Soliloquy in a novice at Ascot and was far from disgraced when sixth in the Fillies’ Mile won by Laurens.

Given her stamina-laden pedigree, she was always going to relish middle distances and that proved the case on her first try over 1m4f at Lingfield last month, with Jack Mitchell not needing to get serious in the saddle to see off subsequent winner Amourice. This is tougher of course but all her rivals are stepping up in class too and we know she won’t fail through lack of stamina.

Betting Tip: @ Lubinka @ 6/1 with bet365

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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