BetMGM Review
DraftKings Review
Caesars Review
FanDuel Review
WynnBET Review
Unibet Review
TwinSpires Review
PointsBet Review
Bet365 Review
FOX Bet Review
UK
Australia
New Zealand
Ireland
Dan Kilbridge
@Dan_Kilbridge
Performance
| Sport | Last 7 Days | Last 30 Days | Current Season | Past Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
17-15 | 42-25 (+1273) | 42-25 (+1273) L67 | Best Bets 5-1 (83.3%), Season 10-6 (62.5%) |
|
|
Season: +1321 | |||
|
|
3-0 | 7-1 | 12-7 (+274) | |
|
|
||||
|
|
8-5 (62%) | 24-17 (59%) | 43-33-1 last 77 ATS (56.5%) | |
|
|
||||
|
|
3-1 (75%) | 10-10 (50%) | 43-35 Best Bets (55%); 76-59 (56.3%) ATS in 2020 | 114-105-3 (52%) |
About Dan Kilbridge
Handicapper Dan Kilbridge writes about college football, MLB and other sports for Bookies.com after spending three years covering Tiger Woods’ comeback and the PGA for Golfweek.
Dan Kilbridge's Picks
MLB
Angels righty Jaime Barria has had success lately, and he’s been much better in Los Angeles with a 2.88 home ERA in four starts. Houston’s Framber Valdez has given up four earned runs in each of his last two starts, including four earned runs and two homers against the Angels in his last assignment. The Astros have won five of seven, but that came against the Rangers and Diamondbacks. We think the Angels still have some life in the lineup and will be eager to bounce back after getting swept at home by the Athletics. We’re on Angels moneyline.
PAST PICKS
MLB
The Rays’ No. 1 prospect gets the call tonight with Shane Baz set for his MLB debut. The righty is an absolute flamethrower with strong command, and he’s been excelling in AAA after getting called up midseason. But this is a scary lineup to see for your first start in the bigs, and he’ll probably be on a tight pitch count. Robbie Ray is dialed in for the Blue Jays and Toronto’s lineup has more pop top to bottom. Blue Jays moneyline is the play.
MLB
We see some value on the underdog Pirates tonight. Pittsburgh lefty Dillon Peters has been impressive lately and just beat the Reds with five scoreless innings last week. Cincinnati’s Vladimir Gutierrez has been up and down, and he tends to struggle at Great American Ballpark with a 4.91 home ERA. We’re on Pirates moneyline.
MLB
We’ve been all over the Indians when Triston McKenzie starts, and we like him even more in the seven-inning games. McKenzie has made seven consecutive quality starts, and he’s gone at least six innings with no more than one earned run allowed in five straight assignments. He’s also 2-0 against the Royals this season with just two runs allowed in 21.2 innings. Kansas City’s Brady Singer gave up six earned runs his last time out, and the Royals have dropped 11 straight games against the Tribe. Indians moneyline is the play.
MLB
We’ve been on the Giants a lot lately, but we’re going the opposite direction today. Braves righty Charlie Morton went seven strong innings in his last two starts, and he’s made quality starts in seven of his last eight appearances. Giants righty Alex Wood has been getting hit hard lately and the Braves are desperate to snap a three-game losing skid and maintain an AL East lead that’s now down to just two games. We’re on Braves moneyline.
NCAAF
Forgive us if we’re not ready to believe in this Ole Miss defense after two games. The Rebels gave up 24 points in the second half against Louisville, during which the Cardinals scored on every drive. They also gave up 404 total yards against Austin Peay last week. This Tulane offense is no joke and might be among the most balanced in the country, with a deep group of skill position guys and strong freshman quarterback in Michael Pratt. Ole Miss is gonna do what it does on offense, but Tulane’s playmakers should keep it close. And the Rebels are the most undisciplined team in the nation with a ridiculous 26 penalties for 255 yards in just two games. That’s not how you cover two-touchdown spreads. Tulane +14 is the play.
NCAAF
There are certain games, in certain environments, where you turn on the TV about two minutes before kickoff and realize you’ve made a terrible mistake. I expect Auburn bettors to feel that regret on Saturday. Beaver Stadium at night with a top-10 Penn State squad taking on an SEC opponent is going to be an insanely loud, intimidating environment. Auburn quarterback Bo Nix tends to get rattled on the road regardless, and this is a new coaching staff that hasn’t been in the foxhole with these players before. There’s a certain trust level there, and it takes more than two games to build. We love this Penn State defense and think Auburn will struggle to simply get the snap off at times. Penn State -5 is the play.
MLB
Backing Adam Wainwright is a no-brainer these days, regardless of opponent. He’s 9-1 in his last 10 starts, and he’s even better at Busch Stadium with a 2.71 home ERA on the season. San Diego’s Yu Darvish is slumping big time, with a 9.95 ERA over his last three starts. In Wainwright we trust. Cardinals moneyline is the play.
MLB
Seattle’s Yusei Kikuchi runs hot and cold, but he’s been mostly hot lately. We’re backing him today against a weak Royals lineup. Kansas City has dropped three straight and lefty Kris Bubic hasn’t been pitching deep into games. The Mariners still have hope at 3.5 games back in the wildcard race, while the Royals have nothing to play for. Mariners moneyline is the play.
MLB
We’ve got two left-handed pitchers trending in the opposite directions here. Colorado’s Kyle Freeland has given up 11 earned runs over his last two starts, and the command is off with a 10-9 strikeout-walk ratio this month. Corbin has posted back-to-back quality starts and went seven innings in each. Washington also has a slightly better lineup and the slightly better bullpen. We’re on Nationals moneyline.
NCAAF
We really like this hook with the line staying at +14.5, and we think the Gators can do enough to cover. Quarterbacks Emory Jones and Anthony Richardson have game-changing speed and can break free on any play if the Tide defense isn’t completely in sync. Alabama quarterback Bryce Young has never played in a hostile SEC environment like this, and projected showers throughout the game will make it tough for him to sling it with authority. The crowd and the weather are the X-factors here, plus the fact that the Gators won’t be deer in headlights after giving Alabama all it could handle in last year’s SEC Championship game. We’re on Florida +14.5.
NCAAF
The P.J. Fleck rumors are swirling yet again thanks to the opening at USC, and this game at Colorado requires full attention from the Gophers. The Buffalos defense held Texas A&M to just 10 points last week, and they should shut down this Minnesota rushing attack. That’s trouble for a Gophers team averaging just 158.5 yards per game. Toss in the altitude factor at Folsom Field and this one looks like a no-brainer. Colorado -2.5 is the play.
NCAAF
Wake Forest transfer running back Kenneth Walker III is setting the tone for a Michigan State offense that hasn’t looked this good in a long time. Walker is already up to 321 yards and five touchdowns on 30 carries, creating exactly the type of balance Mel Tucker is looking for in this pro-style offense. Miami has been in two battles against Alabama and Appalachian State, while the Spartans cruised to easy wins over Northwestern and Youngstown State. That means Tucker hasn’t had to open up the playbook yet, so we expect the Spartans to throw a lot of new looks at the Hurricanes. We’re on Michigan State +6.5.
MLB
Win
Giants
-170
San Francisco’s Logan Webb hasn’t lost a game since May 5, and he’s ripped off nine quality starts in his last 10 outings. He also has the hottest lineup in the game behind him as the Giants have been crushing it at the plate for the last two weeks. This feels like a must-win game for San Francisco after back-to-back losses to the Padres. Now the Giants’ lead over the Dodgers in the NL West is down to one game, and they need to get rolling again tonight. We’re on Giants moneyline.
MLB
Loss
Marlins
-165
Marlins righty Elieser Hernandez has been giving Miami a chance and keeping them in ball games when he takes the mound. Pittsburgh’s Will Crowe has been going the opposite direction, giving up 18 earned runs over his last 16.2 innings. We likely won’t see either guy go past the fifth inning, and the Marlins have the big advantage in the bullpen department. Miami is actually four games over .500 at home this season, while the Pirates are the second-worst road team in the league at 20-51. Marlins moneyline is the play.
MLB
Loss
Dodgers
-180
The Dodgers have won eight of their last 10 games and get going with their most consistent starting pitcher tonight. Walker Buehler has made 11 quality starts in his last 12 appearances and should keep it up tonight against Cincinnati. Reds starter Luis Castillo has slowed down in recent months and Cincinnati has the third-worst team OPS in the league over the past two weeks. We’re on Dodgers moneyline.
MLB
Win
Rockies
-115
Washington’s Josiah Gray is having serious trouble keeping the ball in play, with five home runs allowed over his last 12 innings pitched. He also struggles in this park with a 6.75 home ERA. Colorado’s German Marquez has been very sharp in his last two starts and the Rockies have won five of their last six. We’re on Rockies moneyline.
MLB
Loss
Giants
-110
We cashed on the Giants in the first two games of this series and are going back to the well tonight. San Francisco has won nine straight and is scoring nearly nine runs per game over the past two weeks, with at least six runs scored in all nine games. They’re going with a bullpen game tonight, but they have the best bullpen in the league. San Diego’s Joe Musgrove is pitching well, but the Padres bats are cold and the Giants are riding a serious wave of momentum. We’re on Giants moneyline.
MLB
Win
Indians
-110
We’re riding Cal Quantrill tonight in Minnesota. The Indians righty has been dialed in ever since the All-Star break with just one loss since June 6. He also gave up just one earned run in 7.2 innings in a win over the Twins last week. Minnesota’s Griffin Jax has been getting shelled, allowing 23 earned runs over his last 19.1 innings pitched. Cleveland also has the better bullpen. We’re on Indians moneyline.
MLB
Win
Rockies
+170
The Rockies have a lot going for them tonight as +170 underdogs. Colorado starter Antonio Senzatela has enjoyed six quality starts in a row, and he earned a win over the Braves with seven strong innings earlier this month. The Rockies have won four of their last five games and we like them to keep it rolling tonight. Rockies moneyline is the play.
MLB
Win
Cardinals
+145
It’s been a rough season for Jon Lester, but man is he finishing strong. The veteran lefty who was traded to the Cardinals midseason has gone at least five innings with no more than two runs allowed in four consecutive starts. He also held the Mets to two earned runs over six innings earlier this season. Mets rookie Tylor Megill is coming off his best start of the year, but the Cardinals have won four straight and we’re expecting another steady showing from Lester. Cardinals moneyline is the play.
MLB
Win
Giants
-170
We’ll take every opportunity to fade Jake Arrieta these days. The Cub-turned-Padre has not won a game since May 25, and he’s getting shelled early and often when he takes the mound. Giants starter Anthony DeSclafani has had struggles of his own lately, but this San Francisco lineup is stupid hot. The Giants have scored an average of 8.9 runs throughout their eight-game winning streak, and we expect more crooked numbers tonight against Arrieta. We’re on Giants moneyline.
MLB
Loss
Athletics
-170
Kansas City’s Jackson Kowar has had a rough go in the first four starts of his career, and he’s got another tough matchup tonight against an Athletics lineup that chased him out after just 1.1 innings earlier this season. Oakland’s Frankie Montas has been outstanding lately and this is a must-win game for the Athletics, who are now 2.5 games back in the wild-card race after dropping two of three against the lowly Rangers. Athletics moneyline is the play.
MLB
Loss
Marlins
+120
The Marlins have won four of their last five against the Nationals. We expect that trend to continue tonight. Miami lefty Jesus Luzardo has settled in with his new team over the last three starts and should have more success tonight. Nationals starter Erick Fedde has given up at least four earned runs in each of his last three starts, and Miami has the far better bullpen. Marlins moneyline is the play.
MLB
Win
Indians
+100
Cleveland’s Triston McKenzie has had six consecutive quality starts. He’s also allowed just three earned runs over his last 27 innings. Somehow the Indians are still an underdog in Game 1 of today’s doubleheader against Joe Ryan and the Twins. Ryan, a 25-year-old rookie, gave up just one hit in seven scoreless innings against the Tribe last week. We expect the Indians lineup to fare much better today now that they’ve seen him. We’re on Indians moneyline.
MLB
Loss
Red Sox
-125
Boston’s Eduardo Rodriguez has been inconsistent for most of the season, with a few ugly box scores over the past month. But when he’s on, he’s really on, and we think that’ll be the case tonight in Seattle. The Mariners have the fifth-worst team OPS against left-handed pitching and Rodriguez has had good command with just three walks over his last four starts. Mariners righty Logan Gilbert posted a 9.13 ERA in August and hasn’t been hanging around past the fourth or fifth inning. Red Sox moneyline is the play.
MLB
Win
Giants
-110
The Giants lineup has been on an absolute tear and opposing pitchers should proceed with caution. San Francisco has won seven in a row and scored an average of 8.9 runs per game in that stretch. Padres starter Yu Darvish hasn’t been nearly as sharp in recent weeks, and he tends to struggle away from San Diego with a 5.40 road ERA. The Giants are going with a bullpen game, but they’ve got the best bullpen in the league and smoking hot bats. We’re on Giants moneyline.
MLB
Win
Cardinals
-115
Adam Wainwright has been electric for the Cardinals since the All-Star break. He’s had quality starts in nine of his last 10 assignments and always gives St. Louis a great chance to win. This is a bit of a letdown game for the Mets after an emotional three-game series against the Yankees, and starter Rich Hill has been slowing down lately. Cardinals moneyline is the play.
MLB
Win
Marlins
-110
Miami’s Sandy Alcantara is coming off a complete game with just one earned run allowed against the Mets. He’s gone at least 6.1 innings in six consecutive starts and the Marlins have been a competitive team for the past few weeks. Nationals starter Paolo Espino hasn’t gone more than 5.1 innings since moving into a starting role, and Washington’s bullpen is not good. We’re on Marlins moneyline.
MLB
Loss
Mariners
-170
The Mariners are suddenly just one game back in the AL wildcard race, and they will take care of business this afternoon against the Diamondbacks. Seattle righty Chris Flexen has been on point and should cruise through this Arizona lineup with another quality start. Diamondbacks Humberto Castellanos is a very promising kid, but the 23-year-old isn’t pitching that deep into games yet and the Diamondbacks have the worst bullpen in the league. Mariners moneyline is the play.
MLB
Win
Yankees
-125
This feels like a make-or-break game for the entire Yankees season. They’ve lost 11 of 13 games and are suddenly just 0.5 games ahead of Toronto for the second AL wildcard spot. Corey Kluber gets the ball for just the third time since coming back from a shoulder injury. He’s had some time to settle in and should ramp up the pitch count today. Mets starter Taijuan Walker is having a rough go and hasn’t won a game since July 3. We’re on Yankees moneyline.
MLB
Loss
Royals
+115
Kansas City’s Brady Singer has been dialed in over his last four starts, giving up just two earned runs over his last 18 innings pitched. The Twins bats have been cold lately and starter Michael Pineda hasn’t lasted more than four innings in three of his last four starts. The Royals have also won 10 of their last 15 road games. The underdog Royals are the play on the moneyline.
NCAAF
Call us crazy, but we think the Razorbacks are a frisky home dog here. The offensive line looks great and paces a strong rushing attack that will allow them to sustain some clock-eating drives. Quarterback KJ Jefferson is an electric talent who’s still finding his feet entering his fourth career start. He’s struggled with accuracy but remains a serious threat as a runner, capable of generating instant offense. The Longhorns are feeling good after a 38-18 win over Louisiana, but they could be in for a four-quarter fight Saturday. We’re on Arkansas +7.
MLB
Loss
Athletics
-180
The Rangers are 20-52 on the road this season and starting pitcher Kolby Allard has had serious trouble keeping it in the ballpark lately. The lefty has given up at least two home runs in five consecutive starts and could be in for another rough afternoon. Oakland’s Cole Irvin has seen his outings cut short in recent weeks, but we expect him to bounce back today against a Rangers lineup with the worst team OPS in the league against left-handed pitching. And this is a massive series for an Oakland team that’s now just one game out of a playoff spot in the wildcard race. We’re on Athletics moneyline.
NCAAF
We’re officially putting the Huskers on upset alert this weekend. The glory days in Lincoln are long gone and Nebraska can’t overlook any opponent, especially this Buffalo squad. Buffalo had the No. 2 rushing offense in the nation last year at 287.1 yards per game on the ground, and the Bulls picked up right where they left off with 312 rushing yards in last week’s 69-7 win over Wagner. That’s bad news for Scott Frost’s Huskers, who gave up nearly five yards per carry last week against Fordham. We expect the Bulls to sustain drives and score on this defense, shortening the game in the process. Bulls +14 is the play in Lincoln.
NCAAF
We think the Ducks have enough pieces on offense to avoid a boat race in Columbus. Ohio State’s secondary is still suspect and it’s considerably thinned out due to injuries. The Buckeyes will need to be much sharper than they were in the first half against Minnesota, and the Horseshoe might be a touch more low-key than normal with a noon kickoff. This Ducks defense has been playing well and a strong showing from the front seven will be essential. We expect a competitive showing from Oregon and love this hook. We’re on Oregon +14.5.
NCAAF
Tennessee might suck. It took three quarters for the Vols to finally put down a terrible Bowling Green team in last week’s 38-6 win, and this Pittsburgh squad is tough as nails under Pat Narduzzi. The Panthers have a balanced offense and sound defense that should be able to keep pace with the Vols’ up-tempo attack. Tennessee quarterback Joe Milton III, a Michigan transfer, has a big arm but hasn’t yet proved that he can put all the pieces together. We don’t expect that lightbulb to go off Saturday. Pittsburgh -3 is the play.
NCAAF
The Illini have a solid offensive line and rushing attack behind a deep pool of versatile tailbacks. That should open things up and provide a few opportunities for the Illini passing game against a Cavs secondary that ranked dead last in the ACC against the pass last season. Freshman wideout Isaiah Williams has also emerged as a go-to guy, with 142 yards and one score on 14 catches so far. We expect Illinois to gain more confidence and compete at a high level against Virginia, covering +10 in the process.
MLB
Loss
Cardinals
+110
As bad as Jon Lester was to start this season, he’s settling in nicely with the new team. The Cardinals veteran has given up just one earned run in four of his last five starts and is consistently giving St. Louis a great chance to win. We expect them to do so tonight against a Reds team that just dropped two of three to the lowly Cubs. We’re on Cardinals moneyline.
MLB
Win
Brewers
-145
Milwaukee’s Adrian Houser went the distance in a complete-game shutout over the Cardinals last week, giving up just three hits. We like him to stay hot tonight against a Cleveland team that’s only scored six runs over its last four games. Indians rookie Eli Morgan has steadily improved all season, but he still gets the early hook and typically doesn’t last more than four or five innings. The Brewers have won eight of their last 11 and should get it done again tonight. We’re on Brewers moneyline.
MLB
Win
Royals
+110
Twins starter Griffin Jax has been throwing batting practice lately. He’s given up 19 earned runs over his last 14.1 innings pitched and is really fighting the command. The Minnesota bullpen isn’t terrible, but it definitely doesn’t instill any confidence. Kansas City lefty Daniel Lynch has a 3.47 ERA on the road and the Twins struggle against southpaws. Royals moneyline is the play.
MLB
Loss
Rays
-155
Rays righty Michael Wacha appears to have settled down after a rough month of August. He went six strong against the Twins last week and we like him to get it done tonight at Comerica Park. Tigers southpaw Matthew Boyd is making just his third start since June, and he’s only lasted four innings the past two outings. That’s a problem with this Detroit bullpen. Rays moneyline is the play.
MLB
Loss
Yankees
-120
New York southpaw Nestor Cortes takes the mound as the Yankees look to snap a five-game losing streak. We like their chances behind the 26-year-old southpaw. Cortes has a 1.72 ERA at Yankee Stadium and he’s pitching deeper into games with success. This Blue Jays lineup is slightly worse against lefties and Toronto starter Jose Berrios has been giving up a lot of contact in recent starts. Toronto’s seven-game win streak ends tonight in the Bronx. We’re on Yankees moneyline.
MLB
Loss
Phillies
-180
Phillies southpaw Ranger Suarez has been good enough lately that we’re very confident taking Philadelphia at this number. He’s made seven starts since moving out of the bullpen and owns a 1.89 ERA in that time. The Rockies are 18-50 away from Coors Field this season and while starter Antonio Senzatela has been good, Colorado’s bullpen is one of the worst in the league. Phillies moneyline is the play.
MLB
Win
Marlins
+155
There’s a reason Mets starter Marcus Stroman is just 9-12 on the year despite that 2.93 ERA. He tends to fade around the fifth inning, rarely pitches deep into games and often lacks run support. We think there’s value on the underdog Marlins tonight behind Jesus Luzardo. The 23-year-old has struggled a bit since he was traded from the Athletics, but he’s looked good the past two starts and the Mets are one of the worst lineups in the league against left-handed pitching. Marlins moneyline is the play.
MLB
Win
Indians
-145
We like the Indians to snap a four-game losing streak tonight and get it done against the Twins. Cleveland righty Cal Quantrill posted a 1.42 ERA over six starts in August and should bounce back from a rough outing his last time out against Boston. Twins starter Randy Dobnak has been nothing more than a sacrificial lamb lately and the Cleveland bats should wake up. We’re on Indians moneyline.
