NFL Expert Picks

Dig into every betting line from this week in the NFL – from point spreads to over/unders to moneylines – with our expert picks.

Bookies Tipster Adam Thompson
Adam Thompson
8-2 Best Bets (80%); +636 MNF props (11-5); +525 NFL parlays
Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com as its NFL analyst/handicapper in 2019. Previously senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com, he hit on 64.4% of his best bets in 2019, and was +$1,791 on parlays and +$1,634 on prime-time props for $100 bettors.
TOP PICK
Spread
Steelers over Texans
The Texans lost by 14 and 17 points in their first two games and didn’t come close to covering, albeit against the Chiefs and Ravens. Houston has lost its last four games as a posted underdog, each by at least two TDs. The Steelers defense is as good as any unit in the NFL, and a one-dimensional Texans offense isn’t going to cut it. The favorite has covered the last five matchups between these teams. Look for a sixth here. (Locked in at PIT -4)
TOP PICK
Spread
Browns over Washington
The Browns have the No. 1 rushing attack in the NFL. Washington had no answer for Kenyan Drake and Kyler Murray in Week 2, and this is another tough matchup. Even tougher for Washington is its horrible pass defense. Cleveland should rack up the points at home. Meanwhile, Washington’s offense has sputtered through two games, and now its three-time Pro Bowl OG is out. Dwayne Haskins may get some looks against Cleveland’s inconsistent secondary but not enough of them.
TOP PICK
Spread
Colts over Jets
No team has allowed fewer yards than the Colts. No team has amassed fewer yards than the Jets. And now not only is Le’Veon Bell out, their top passing target (Breshad Perriman) is also likely out, meaning poor Sam Darnold is in for a long day. Indy’s offense has its own injury issues, but Philip Rivers, TY Hilton and Jonathan Taylor aren’t among them. This is a big spread, but the Jets may not get past 10-14 points. Taylor could cover the spread (-10.5 at posting) by himself.
Over/Under
Texans-Steelers Under
The Under has hit in eight of Pittsburgh’s last 10 games and in its last five home games vs. sub-.500 teams. The Under is also 4-1 in Houston’s last five on the road and 5-0 following a loss. Houston is going to struggle to consistently find paydirt against the second-ranked Steelers defense. We’ll offer some love to Houston’s third-ranked pass defense, as well.
Spread
Chargers over Panthers
The Chargers offense came alive with rookie Justin Herbert under center. But Tyrod Taylor is slated to start at QB here. That hurts L.A.’s offense, but Carolina’s defense has allowed 34 and 31 points so far. The Chargers defense will make up the difference – only the Ravens and Cardinals have allowed fewer points. Teddy Bridgewater is slinging, but he’ll find fewer options without Christian McCaffrey for defenses to worry about. Grab LAC at -6 while it’s still there.
Bookies Tipster Marcus Mosher
Marcus Mosher
3-3 (50%) L6
Marcus Mosher has covered and made picks on the NFL and Daily Fantasy for nearly a decade, including extensive coverage of the Dallas Cowboys.
TOP PICK
Spread
Eagles over Bengals
While both teams have started the season at 0-2, the Eagles have the more talented roster and are better equipped to beat lesser teams. The Bengals have struggled lately against NFC teams as of late, losing six straight. They've also lost 13 straight on the road, and with a rookie quarterback, don't expect this game to be all that close. Expect Philadelphia's defensive line to create a ton of pressure on Joe Burrow, which should lead to a few turnovers.
Spread
Patriots over Raiders
The Raiders are coming off an impressive Week 2 victory over the Saints, but they will now face the Patriots in Foxboro on a short week. Making matters worse, they will play the early game on the East Coast, which has historically been a problem for teams traveling from the West Coast. The Patriots rarely lose two games in a row, and Bill Belicheck's record at home against AFC opponents is astonishing. Look for Las Vegas to hang around got a while due to their potent rushing attack but for the Patriots to expose its secondary and young linebacker corps. It's worth noting that the Raiders have failed to cover in all five of their last games against AFC East opponents. Take New England to cover with confidence.
Spread
Buccaneers over Broncos
After nearly beating the Steelers with a backup quarterback and multiple injuries on defense, the Broncos find themselves as big home underdogs to the Buccaneers. While Tampa Bay is still trying to find its identity with Tom Brady at QB, it is the significantly more talented team. Look for Tampa Bay to score close to 30 points in this contest and for their defense to clamp down on whatever is left of Denver's offense. With the Buccaneers getting back Chris Godwin this week, they should be able to attack Denver's young secondary with a ton of success.

NFL Parlays & Props

Parlays & prop bets can be fun part of your betting strategy, when done in moderation. Check out our top plays.

Adam Thompson's NFL Week 3 Picks

Want to see what our NFL expert thinks of every main market for this week's games? Here are his picks:
GAME
Spreads Pick
Moneyline Pick
Over/ Under Pick
Houston Texans
HST
@Pittsburgh Steelers
PIT
Tennessee Titans
TEN
@Minnesota Vikings
MIN
San Francisco 49ers
SF
@New York Giants
NYG
Washington Football Team
WAS
@Cleveland Browns
CLV
Las Vegas Raiders
LV
@New England Patriots
NE
Los Angeles Rams
LAR
@Buffalo Bills
BUF
Chicago Bears
CHI
@Atlanta Falcons
ATL
Cincinnati Bengals
CIN
@Philadelphia Eagles
PHI
Carolina Panthers
CAR
@Los Angeles Chargers
LAC
New York Jets
NYJ
@Indianapolis Colts
IND
Detroit Lions
DET
@Arizona Cardinals
ARZ
Dallas Cowboys
DAL
@Seattle Seahawks
SEA
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TB
@Denver Broncos
DEN
Green Bay Packers
GB
@New Orleans Saints
NO
Kansas City Chiefs
KC
@Baltimore Ravens
BLT

Why our NFL Picks Can Be Considered Real Expert Picks

Our NFL betting experts have decades of experience covering the NFL and handicapping games. They know the latest trends, team tendencies and coaches’ philosophies. You can trust that they have taken a deep dive into each game they are picking to try to give you the best advice and tips they can.

Are the Odds Displayed the Best Odds for Each Pick?

Odds displayed at Bookies.com are the best odds available and are compiled from the best regulated sports betting sites in the US, giving you the opportunity to compare sportsbooks odds – and offers if you are a first-time bettor. Our NFL betting lines are updated constantly in real-time, so you know they are the best odds available at any given moment.

Should I Do My Own Research When Making NFL Picks?

Even though our experts have years of experience covering the NFL and making picks, it is always best to do your own research so that you can feel confident in making your NFL picks. Circumstances change, and keeping on top of the latest news and developments is essential, so go to trusted news sources, follow the key influencers on Twitter and during games keep tabs on our Live NFL Betting Blog for the latest in trends, in-game odds, injury news and more. It is the second screen you need when making NFL picks.

RELATED: Use our Parlay Calculator and Betting Odds Calculator to see ho much you’d win from our recommendations above.

What to Consider When Making an NFL Pick

When considering the best NFL picks to make, several factors should be considered. How do the teams match up? If you’ve got two great defenses – or two lousy offenses manned by rookie quarterback – you’re going to be giving a long look at the under. Is one team rested off of a bye week? Are there any lingering injuries to consider? Has one team dominated the series? Is it a rivalry game between two division foes and have their games been close? Our experts weigh all these factors and look at all the data, and so should you.

You also want to make sure to shop around for the best odds once you have made your pick, which is why comparing the top sportsbooks at Bookies.com and their real-time odds should be part of the equation.

I’ve Made My NFL Pick, Now What?

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