Free NBA Expert Picks

Dig into the top betting lines every day in the NBA – from point spreads to over/unders to moneylines – with our expert picks.

Bookies Tipster Mark Strotman
Mark Strotman
23-17 (57.5%) O/U L40, 29-18 (61.7%) L47 ATS
Mark Strotman has covered NBA betting extensively for Bookies.com, Gambling.com and other sports betting sites, and has written about the NBA since 2012.
TOP PICK
Spread
Timberwolves over Thunder
When are the Timberwolves going to start getting some love? They're 5-2 ATS as road underdogs - and 5-2 SU in those games. Though they've been average as a whole - 10-10 SU with the No. 17 NET rating in the league - they're a talented team, and certainly better than the 8-12 Thunder who have lost five of eight. OKC plays well at home, but the Timberwolves have been even more impressive on the road.
TOP PICK
Over/Under
Suns-Rockets Over
This is going to be fun. The Rockets are third in offensive efficiency, and the Suns aren't far behind at No. 5. Houston is third in pace and the Suns are No. 10. That equals plenty of points between two of the most exciting offenses in basketball. Houston still isn't all that great hitting the over, but the Rockets have gone over in five of their last eight. The Suns, meanwhile, have gone over in 13 of 21 games, the second-highest over percentage in the league. This is a massive total, but one that these two teams could certainly surpass.
Spread
Magic over Cavaliers
The Magic are starting to put it together. They've won four of their last five and are creeping back toward .500 for the first time since they were 2-2. We're expecting them to get there against a depleted Cavaliers team that has lost 10 of their last 11 and is just 3-8 ATS in that span. These teams are headed in different directions and that trend won't stop on Friday.
Spread
Bulls over Warriors
Are the Bulls starting to put it together? At the very least they're beating up on struggling teams and on their first win streak of the season with wins over Sacramento and Memphis. They should make it three straight against a Warriors team that has lost four in a row on the road in uninspiring fashion. Now, on the last leg of a long road trip, they could mail it in against a Chicago team that's got some momentum going right now.
Over/Under
Mavericks-Pelicans Over
Mavericks point totals keep increasing, likely because they've gone over in 14 of their 21 games, the highest over percentage in the league. And while the Pelicans are just 11-11 hitting the over this season, they're playing at the fifth-highest pace and are above league average in offensive efficiency. They'll need to string together some solid offense to hang with the Mavericks' lethal league-leading offense. This will be a high-scoring affair.
Over/Under
Jazz-Grizzlies Under
The Jazz defense has really scuffled of late – they have plummeted from No. 1 to No. 10 in efficiency over the last few weeks – and it has resulted in the over hitting six of the last eight games. But our guess is we'll see the Utah defense of old against a Grizzlies team playing without injured star rookie Ja Morant on the road (Memphis has gone under in 2 of 3 since Morant's exit from the lineup). That's a tall order for an inexperienced team, and Utah's offense (22nd overall) won't do all that much damage to have this one come close to hitting the over. First one to 100 points could win this one.

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Mark Strotman for Bookies.com
Mark Strotman
23-17 (57.5%) O/U L40, 29-18 (61.7%) L47 ATS
More About Mark Strotman

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Why Should I Trust Bookies for NBA Expert Picks

Most bettors are confident in their picks. It’s why they’re willing to wager hard-earned cash on the belief that they know what will happen in a given game. But experts are experts for a reason. Our writers study the NBA on a daily basis, paying attention to past performance, trends, injuries and line movements specifically guided toward helping bettors make more informed decisions. There’s no such thing as too much information, and when that info comes from trusted sources dedicated to the game, it’s even more useful.

Are the Best Odds Always Shown for Each NBA Pick?

Not all odds are created equal. Certain oddsmakers will list different spreads or odds based on the public consensus at that sportsbook. It may not seem like much, but the difference between one-half point or the same spread costing you $110 to win $100 instead of $120 to win $100 adds up over time. It’s why Bookies.com provides the opportunity to compare spreads and odds between multiple sportsbooks in real time, showing you where the best value lies at any given moment.

How Can I Do My Own Research For NBA Picks?

There are myriad sports writers covering teams locally and nationally who continually provide insights and in-game analysis to help you understand the intricacies of the game when betting on it. Stay up-to-date with all the latest NBA trends by checking out their Twitter accounts for on-the-minute news and statistics.

At Bookies.com, our news and analysis articles are always tailored toward how specific information will affect the potential outcome of a game’s spread, moneyline or over-under. So much can happen in a short amount of time – a player is ruled out, a trade occurs, etc. – and Bookies.com will always have the latest analysis on how it can and will impact bettors.

What are NBA Picks Against the Spread?

Look, there are going to be some mismatches on a nightly basis in the NBA and you’re going to want to take advantage of them. Unlike in NCAA football and the NFL, moneylines rarely get super-high, but you will see your share of -600 lines, and you might be a touch skittish of laying down $600 to win $100 back on the Utah Jazz beating the Oklahoma City Thunder.

That’s why people will look to bet against the spread instead. That moneyline equates to about 10 points, meaning all you need is for the Jazz to win by 11 or more to cash your ticket. You only risk $110 or so to win $100. Less pain if you miss on the pick.

You can also do the reverse. Maybe you like the Thunder in that game but not enough to pick them outright. Instead of betting $100 to win $450, you take the 10 points and bet $110 to win $100. Less gain, but less pain if OKC loses by a bucket. You still cash.

Does Home-Court Advantage Really Matter?

Yes, it does. Bettors have dozens of factors to consider before making a bet, and one of the most significant is home-court advantage, which has always played a role in determining the outcome of a spread. Oddsmakers certainly take that into account, but bettors leaning one way or another on a line can feel confident in the home team to push them in one direction.

But context must be considered: Is the road team just beginning a long road trip or are they on the tail end of one? Is an East Coast team that just played at home now traveling across time zones to play out West? Or is it simply the Chicago Bulls taking a quick trip to Milwaukee? Like anything in gambling, context matters. But a home team is always going to have an advantage.

I’ve Made My NBA Pick, Now What?

You’ve made your decision after studying the trends, checking for late developments and evaluating the odds at Bookies.com. Your next step is to select the best odds, click on that spread, moneyline or over-under and head to the sportsbook to lock in your selection. For first-time bettors, remember that many sportsbooks provide promo codes for bonus offers/bets that will give you a little extra cash to throw around. After that, sit back, relax and cheer your side of the bet on.