Free NBA Expert Picks

Dig into the top betting lines every day in the NBA – from point spreads to over/unders to moneylines – with our expert picks.

Bookies Tipster Mark Strotman
Mark Strotman
15-8 (65.2%) O/U L23
Mark Strotman has covered NBA betting extensively for Bookies.com, Gambling.com and other sports betting sites, and has written about the NBA since 2012.
TOP PICK
Spread
Pacers over Bucks
The Bucks still feel like the team to beat in the East, but the Pacers have quietly put together an impressive start. They’re fifth in the NBA in NET rating and have raced out to 7-4 despite not having Victor Oladipo, Myles Turner and Domantas Sabonis for 20 combined games. Turner should return for this one. The Pacers are 4-1-1 ATS at home, and this is a massive amount of points for a talented team at home. The Bucks are tough to beat, but the Pacers should keep this one close.
Over/Under
Knicks-Hornets Under
The Knicks are a league-worst 3-9 hitting the over, and they’ve got the NBA’s least efficient offense. What’s more, they’re 0-5 hitting the over at home. The Hornets’ offensive efficiency has plummeted of late, ranking 29th during their four-game losing streak (the Knicks are dead last in that same span). Prepare for plenty of missed shots in this one. Plus, these two teams are below average in terms of pace this season.
Over/Under
Raptors-Mavericks Over
No team has hit the over in a higher percentage of their games than the Mavericks (8-3 O-U), and they enter Saturday’s game with the league’s second most efficient offense. The Raptors have averaged 112.2 points over their last five games and are 6-5 hitting the over this season. The Raptors are banged up, but they’re still getting solid offensive output, while Luka Doncic and the Mavericks are averaging 109.2 points per game at home. The winner of this one could flirt with the 120s, making this a solid play for the over.
Spread
Sixers over Cavaliers
What’s going on with the Sixers? They’re 7-5, have the league’s 14th best NET rating and have lost five of their last seven. One of those wins was a one-point victory over the Cavs at home, so this won’t be walk in the park. But we’re still banking on Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons and the rest of the Eastern Conference contenders to wake up sooner than later. They’re just too talented to be this average.
Spread
Lakers over Hawks
It’s good to be the Lakers these days. They’re 10-2 SU and have the league’s second best NET rating. They’ve also done this despite playing the league’s sixth-most difficult schedule, so it’s not like they’re just beating up on the little guys. But they will get that opportunity on Sunday. The Hawks are 4-7, including a 2-4 mark since John Collins’ suspension. The Hawks will be on the second of an LA back-to-back, making this an incredibly difficult spot to compete in.

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Why Should I Trust Bookies for NBA Expert Picks

Most bettors are confident in their picks. It’s why they’re willing to wager hard-earned cash on the belief that they know what will happen in a given game. But experts are experts for a reason. Our writers study the NBA on a daily basis, paying attention to past performance, trends, injuries and line movements specifically guided toward helping bettors make more informed decisions. There’s no such thing as too much information, and when that info comes from trusted sources dedicated to the game, it’s even more useful.

Are the Best Odds Always Shown for Each NBA Pick?

Not all odds are created equal. Certain oddsmakers will list different spreads or odds based on the public consensus at that sportsbook. It may not seem like much, but the difference between one-half point or the same spread costing you $110 to win $100 instead of $120 to win $100 adds up over time. It’s why Bookies.com provides the opportunity to compare spreads and odds between multiple sportsbooks in real time, showing you where the best value lies at any given moment.

How Can I Do My Own Research For NBA Picks?

There are myriad sports writers covering teams locally and nationally who continually provide insights and in-game analysis to help you understand the intricacies of the game when betting on it. Stay up-to-date with all the latest NBA trends by checking out their Twitter accounts for on-the-minute news and statistics.

At Bookies.com, our news and analysis articles are always tailored toward how specific information will affect the potential outcome of a game’s spread, moneyline or over-under. So much can happen in a short amount of time – a player is ruled out, a trade occurs, etc. – and Bookies.com will always have the latest analysis on how it can and will impact bettors.

What are NBA Picks Against the Spread?

Look, there are going to be some mismatches on a nightly basis in the NBA and you’re going to want to take advantage of them. Unlike in NCAA football and the NFL, moneylines rarely get super-high, but you will see your share of -600 lines, and you might be a touch skittish of laying down $600 to win $100 back on the Utah Jazz beating the Oklahoma City Thunder.

That’s why people will look to bet against the spread instead. That moneyline equates to about 10 points, meaning all you need is for the Jazz to win by 11 or more to cash your ticket. You only risk $110 or so to win $100. Less pain if you miss on the pick.

You can also do the reverse. Maybe you like the Thunder in that game but not enough to pick them outright. Instead of betting $100 to win $450, you take the 10 points and bet $110 to win $100. Less gain, but less pain if OKC loses by a bucket. You still cash.

Does Home-Court Advantage Really Matter?

Yes, it does. Bettors have dozens of factors to consider before making a bet, and one of the most significant is home-court advantage, which has always played a role in determining the outcome of a spread. Oddsmakers certainly take that into account, but bettors leaning one way or another on a line can feel confident in the home team to push them in one direction.

But context must be considered: Is the road team just beginning a long road trip or are they on the tail end of one? Is an East Coast team that just played at home now traveling across time zones to play out West? Or is it simply the Chicago Bulls taking a quick trip to Milwaukee? Like anything in gambling, context matters. But a home team is always going to have an advantage.

I’ve Made My NBA Pick, Now What?

You’ve made your decision after studying the trends, checking for late developments and evaluating the odds at Bookies.com. Your next step is to select the best odds, click on that spread, moneyline or over-under and head to the sportsbook to lock in your selection. For first-time bettors, remember that many sportsbooks provide promo codes for bonus offers/bets that will give you a little extra cash to throw around. After that, sit back, relax and cheer your side of the bet on.