Free NBA Expert Picks

Dig into the top betting lines every day in the NBA – from point spreads to over/unders to moneylines – with our expert picks.

Bookies Tipster Mark Strotman
Mark Strotman
52-42 (55.3%) O/U L94, 79-72 (52.3%) L151 ATS
Mark Strotman has covered NBA betting extensively for Bookies.com, Gambling.com and other sports betting sites, and has written about the NBA since 2012.
TOP PICK
Spread
Spurs over Bulls
There are a handful of trends that we like with the Spurs giving just two points on the second half of a back-to-back. For starters, San Antonio is 3-1 ATS this season on zero days rest, 7-5-1 ATS with a rest disadvantage, and a respectable 3-2 ATS as a road favorite. The Bulls thumped the Cavaliers on Saturday but it will be tough for them to hang with the Spurs given they’re without Wendell Carter and Lauri Markkanen. San Antonio just went toe-to-toe with the Raptors in Toronto. We like their chances of beating up on a below average Bulls team.
TOP PICK
Spread
Heat over Celtics
Let's play the trends here. There hasn't been a better home team in the NBA this season than the Heat, who are 21-2 SU and 16-6-1 ATS. They're battling some injuries right now but have played well against some of the league's elite; they've got plenty of marquee wins and nearly knocked off the Clippers late last week. Boston is dealing with its own injuries and, despite being 13-8-1 ATS on the road, hasn't played in a setting quite like this one. We like the Heat to roll in this potential playoff matchup.
Over/Under
Cavs-Pistons Over
These two teams have already played three times this season and hit the over in each, totaling 221, 228, and 227 points. The Pistons have quietly become one of the better over teams in the NBA, hitting the over in 61.7% of their games (only the Heat have a higher over percentage). Cleveland’s not half bad either, hitting the over 25 of 46 games this season (that’s eighth best in the NBA). Cleveland has the NBA’s worst defense in January. That screams over for a fourth straight matchup.
Spread
Timberwolves over Kings
The Timberwolves have lost nine straight games. They haven’t covered as a favorite since January 7th. They’re an NBA-worst 5-17-1 ATS at home. And yet, we like them to get the job done against an abysmal Kings team that stopped a six-game losing streak (and was 0-5-1 ATS in that span) with a win over a shorthanded Bulls team. But this is the end of a five-city, 10-day road trip for a team that’s not all that great to begin with. Minnesota should be able to take advantage.

Featured NBA Stories

NBA Betting Power Rankings & NBA 2020 Title Odds
Mark Strotman for Bookies.com
Mark Strotman
52-42 (55.3%) O/U L94, 79-72 (52.3%) L151 ATS
More About Mark Strotman

NBA Betting Power Rankings & NBA 2020 Title Odds

Are Sportsbooks Underpricing Milwaukee Bucks NBA Title Odds?
Mark Strotman for Bookies.com
Mark Strotman
52-42 (55.3%) O/U L94, 79-72 (52.3%) L151 ATS
More About Mark Strotman

Are Sportsbooks Underpricing Milwaukee Bucks NBA Title Odds?

Why Should I Trust Bookies for NBA Expert Picks

Most bettors are confident in their picks. It’s why they’re willing to wager hard-earned cash on the belief that they know what will happen in a given game. But experts are experts for a reason. Our writers study the NBA on a daily basis, paying attention to past performance, trends, injuries and line movements specifically guided toward helping bettors make more informed decisions. There’s no such thing as too much information, and when that info comes from trusted sources dedicated to the game, it’s even more useful.

Are the Best Odds Always Shown for Each NBA Pick?

Not all odds are created equal. Certain oddsmakers will list different spreads or odds based on the public consensus at that sportsbook. It may not seem like much, but the difference between one-half point or the same spread costing you $110 to win $100 instead of $120 to win $100 adds up over time. It’s why Bookies.com provides the opportunity to compare spreads and odds between multiple sportsbooks in real time, showing you where the best value lies at any given moment.

How Can I Do My Own Research For NBA Picks?

There are myriad sports writers covering teams locally and nationally who continually provide insights and in-game analysis to help you understand the intricacies of the game when betting on it. Stay up-to-date with all the latest NBA trends by checking out their Twitter accounts for on-the-minute news and statistics.

At Bookies.com, our news and analysis articles are always tailored toward how specific information will affect the potential outcome of a game’s spread, moneyline or over-under. So much can happen in a short amount of time – a player is ruled out, a trade occurs, etc. – and Bookies.com will always have the latest analysis on how it can and will impact bettors.

What are NBA Picks Against the Spread?

Look, there are going to be some mismatches on a nightly basis in the NBA and you’re going to want to take advantage of them. Unlike in NCAA football and the NFL, moneylines rarely get super-high, but you will see your share of -600 lines, and you might be a touch skittish of laying down $600 to win $100 back on the Utah Jazz beating the Oklahoma City Thunder.

That’s why people will look to bet against the spread instead. That moneyline equates to about 10 points, meaning all you need is for the Jazz to win by 11 or more to cash your ticket. You only risk $110 or so to win $100. Less pain if you miss on the pick.

You can also do the reverse. Maybe you like the Thunder in that game but not enough to pick them outright. Instead of betting $100 to win $450, you take the 10 points and bet $110 to win $100. Less gain, but less pain if OKC loses by a bucket. You still cash.

Does Home-Court Advantage Really Matter?

Yes, it does. Bettors have dozens of factors to consider before making a bet, and one of the most significant is home-court advantage, which has always played a role in determining the outcome of a spread. Oddsmakers certainly take that into account, but bettors leaning one way or another on a line can feel confident in the home team to push them in one direction.

But context must be considered: Is the road team just beginning a long road trip or are they on the tail end of one? Is an East Coast team that just played at home now traveling across time zones to play out West? Or is it simply the Chicago Bulls taking a quick trip to Milwaukee? Like anything in gambling, context matters. But a home team is always going to have an advantage.

I’ve Made My NBA Pick, Now What?

You’ve made your decision after studying the trends, checking for late developments and evaluating the odds at Bookies.com. Your next step is to select the best odds, click on that spread, moneyline or over-under and head to the sportsbook to lock in your selection. For first-time bettors, remember that many sportsbooks provide promo codes for bonus offers/bets that will give you a little extra cash to throw around. After that, sit back, relax and cheer your side of the bet on.