NBA Expert Picks

Dig into the top betting lines every day in the NBA – from point spreads to over/unders to moneylines – with our expert picks.

Bookies Tipster Adam Thompson
Adam Thompson
EPL: 5-2 L7 (+345), NBA '19-'20: 66.1%; NFL '19: 64.4%
Adam Thompson is the Bookies.com NFL, NBA and college basketball analyst/handicapper. Previously senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com, he has consistently produced profitable seasons.
TOP PICK
Spread
Clippers over Lakers
The Lakers are the team to beat in the West, but they have more reason to slowly bring their guys up to speed – and no reason to go all-out in the season opener. The Clippers have the Nuggets and Jazz not far behind in the race for No. 2. While seeding doesn’t constitute home-court advantage, it does mean being opposite LeBron James & Co. in the bracket. The Clippers are healthy, and they’re 10-1 when they have no injuries to report. When Kawhi Leonard and Paul George are both out there, they’re 23-7. Look for a bigger statement by the Clippers on Night 1 of the reboot.
Spread
Jazz over Pelicans
Zion Williamson is garnering headlines for his eye-popping physical transformation. New Orleans has all the public momentum here. But let’s get real for a moment. At the season halt, the Jazz were 13.5 games better than the Pelicans. They went 2-1 vs. the Pels, and that was with New Orleans’ Brandon Ingram pouring in 38 ppg in those matchups. Utah wants to show it belongs as a Western contender, not to mention show it is cohesive after the tumultuous way the season was paused. If any player has the physical and mental aggressiveness to slow a buffed Zion, it might be Rudy Gobert. Motivation typically will favor the team fighting for a playoff berth, but the Jazz have something to prove, too.
Bookies Tipster Mark Strotman
Mark Strotman
20-16 (55.6%) ATS L36, 12-8 (60%) O-U L20
Mark Strotman has covered NBA betting extensively for Bookies.com, Gambling.com and other sports betting sites, and has written about the NBA since 2012.
TOP PICK
Spread
Clippers over Lakers
The Lakers may be the team to beat in any seven-game series, but depth may be what wins out early on in the restart. The Clippers have more of that than the Lakers, and they also own a 2-1 season series lead on LeBron & Co. While we can’t use “momentum” from pre-shutdown to analyze anything 4.5 months later, it is worth noting the Clippers had won 8 of 12 – and 7 of 8, more recently – after acquiring Marcus Morris from the Knicks. Their rotation is legitimately 10 deep, and that will help early in the restart.
Spread
Pelicans over Jazz
Talk about two teams headed in different directions as the season resumes. The Pelicans were flying high before the shutdown thanks to all-everything rookie Zion Williamson, who averaged 23.6 points on 59% shooting in 19 games. The Pelicans are healthy, young and determined to chase the Grizzlies for the No. 8 seed. The Jazz, meanwhile, are without Bojan Bogdanovic (shoulder), who led the team in net rating, and it remains to be seen how the now-turbulent relationship of Rudy Gobert and Donovan Mitchell will play out on the floor. The Pelicans are the play here.
Over/Under
Clippers-Lakers Under
These two frontrunners have gone under in all three contests this season (214, 217, 215), and unders are going to be a popular pick in the opening week of the restart of the 2020 season. So, what gives? This total feels too small for a pair of top-4 offenses that play at the eighth (Clippers) and 12th (Lakers) fastest paces in the league. The Lakers swapped defensive ace Avery Bradley for a gunner in J.R. Smith, and the Clippers – who dealt with myriad injury issues pre-shutdown – are finally healthy.

Why Should I Trust Bookies for NBA Expert Picks

Most bettors are confident in their picks. It’s why they’re willing to wager hard-earned cash on the belief that they know what will happen in a given game. But experts are experts for a reason. Our writers study the NBA on a daily basis, paying attention to past performance, ATS trends and Over/Under trends, injuries and line movements specifically guided toward helping bettors make more informed decisions. There’s no such thing as too much information, and when that info comes from trusted sources dedicated to the game, it’s even more useful.

Are the Best Odds Always Shown for Each NBA Pick?

Not all odds are created equal. Certain oddsmakers will list different spreads or odds based on the public consensus at that sportsbook. It may not seem like much, but the difference between one-half point or the same spread costing you $110 to win $100 instead of $120 to win $100 adds up over time. It’s why Bookies.com provides the opportunity to compare spreads and odds between multiple sportsbooks in real time, showing you where the best value lies at any given moment.

How Can I Do My Own Research For NBA Picks?

There are myriad sports writers covering teams locally and nationally who continually provide insights and in-game analysis to help you understand the intricacies of the game when betting on it. Stay up-to-date with all the latest NBA trends by checking out their Twitter accounts for on-the-minute news and statistics.

At Bookies.com, our news and analysis articles are always tailored toward how specific information will affect the potential outcome of a game’s spread, moneyline or over-under. So much can happen in a short amount of time – a player is ruled out, a trade occurs, etc. – and Bookies.com will always have the latest analysis on how it can and will impact bettors.

What are NBA Picks Against the Spread?

Look, there are going to be some mismatches on a nightly basis in the NBA and you’re going to want to take advantage of them. Unlike in NCAA football and the NFL, moneylines rarely get super-high, but you will see your share of -600 lines, and you might be a touch skittish of laying down $600 to win $100 back on the Utah Jazz beating the Oklahoma City Thunder.

That’s why people will look to bet against the spread instead. That moneyline equates to about 10 points, meaning all you need is for the Jazz to win by 11 or more to cash your ticket. You only risk $110 or so to win $100. Less pain if you miss on the pick.

You can also do the reverse. Maybe you like the Thunder in that game but not enough to pick them outright. Instead of betting $100 to win $450, you take the 10 points and bet $110 to win $100. Less gain, but less pain if OKC loses by a bucket. You still cash.

Does Home-Court Advantage Really Matter?

Yes, it does. Bettors have dozens of factors to consider before making a bet, and one of the most significant is home-court advantage, which has always played a role in determining the outcome of a spread. Oddsmakers certainly take that into account, but bettors leaning one way or another on a line can feel confident in the home team to push them in one direction.

But context must be considered: Is the road team just beginning a long road trip or are they on the tail end of one? Is an East Coast team that just played at home now traveling across time zones to play out West? Or is it simply the Chicago Bulls taking a quick trip to Milwaukee? Like anything in gambling, context matters. But a home team is always going to have an advantage.

I’ve Made My NBA Pick, Now What?

You’ve made your decision after studying the trends, checking for late developments and evaluating the odds at Bookies.com. Your next step is to select the best odds, click on that spread, moneyline or over/under and head to the sportsbook to lock in your selection. For first-time bettors, remember that many sportsbooks provide promo codes for bonus offers/bets that will give you a little extra cash to throw around. After that, sit back, relax and cheer your side of the bet on.