NBA Expert Picks

Dig into the top betting lines every day in the NBA – from point spreads to over/unders to moneylines – with our expert picks.

Bookies Tipster Adam Thompson
Adam Thompson
NBA: 81-39 (67.5%), 16-6 L22 O/U
Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com as its NBA analyst/handicapper in 2019. Previously senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com, he hit on 70.6% of his March picks before the stoppage.
TOP PICK
Over/Under
Nuggets-Lakers Over
These teams combined for 240 points in Game 1, more than 20 over the posted total. The line didn’t move much for Game 2, and LeBron James is angry he didn’t get more MVP votes. Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray were each held down to an extent, but Murray especially needs to up his game here. Look for both teams to come out firing.
Bookies Tipster Mark Strotman
Mark Strotman
66-49 (57.4%) ATS L115, 34-25 (57.6%) OU L59
Mark Strotman has covered NBA betting extensively for Bookies.com, Gambling.com and other sports betting sites, and has written about the NBA since 2012.
TOP PICK
Spread
Lakers over Nuggets
The Lakers earned a 12-point win in Game 1 that wasn’t nearly as close as the final score indicated. The reality is that the Denver defense has no answer for the Lakers and their LeBron James-Anthony Davis combination. The Lakers are firing on all cylinders and are much more put together than the Clippers were when the Nuggets upset them. This doesn’t have the same feel, even though Denver finds itself in yet another hole. Expect another double-digit win for the Lakers, who feel poised to get back to the Finals in short order.
Over/Under
Lakers-Nuggets Under
The Lakers shot lights out and also got to the free throw line a whopping 37 times in Game 1 to help the over fly by. But we’re expecting a much slower game with fewer free throws and the Lakers shooting less than 42% from beyond the arc. The only way for Denver to compete in this series is to shorten the game, meaning fewer possessions and fast-break attempts. We expect they’ll make those adjustments, leading to a game played in the 100s instead of the 120s. The under feels safe here after a big jump from Game 1 (208.5).

Why Should I Trust Bookies for NBA Expert Picks

Most bettors are confident in their picks. It’s why they’re willing to wager hard-earned cash on the belief that they know what will happen in a given game. But experts are experts for a reason. Our writers study the NBA on a daily basis, paying attention to past performance, ATS trends and Over/Under trends, injuries and line movements specifically guided toward helping bettors make more informed decisions. There’s no such thing as too much information, and when that info comes from trusted sources dedicated to the game, it’s even more useful.

Are the Best Odds Always Shown for Each NBA Pick?

Not all odds are created equal. Certain oddsmakers will list different spreads or odds based on the public consensus at that sportsbook. It may not seem like much, but the difference between one-half point or the same spread costing you $110 to win $100 instead of $120 to win $100 adds up over time. It’s why Bookies.com provides the opportunity to compare spreads and odds between multiple sportsbooks in real time, showing you where the best value lies at any given moment.

How Can I Do My Own Research For NBA Picks?

There are myriad sports writers covering teams locally and nationally who continually provide insights and in-game analysis to help you understand the intricacies of the game when betting on it. Stay up-to-date with all the latest NBA trends by checking out their Twitter accounts for on-the-minute news and statistics.

At Bookies.com, our news and analysis articles are always tailored toward how specific information will affect the potential outcome of a game’s spread, moneyline or over-under. So much can happen in a short amount of time – a player is ruled out, a trade occurs, etc. – and Bookies.com will always have the latest analysis on how it can and will impact bettors.

What are NBA Picks Against the Spread?

Look, there are going to be some mismatches on a nightly basis in the NBA and you’re going to want to take advantage of them. Unlike in NCAA football and the NFL, moneylines rarely get super-high, but you will see your share of -600 lines, and you might be a touch skittish of laying down $600 to win $100 back on the Utah Jazz beating the Oklahoma City Thunder.

That’s why people will look to bet against the spread instead. That moneyline equates to about 10 points, meaning all you need is for the Jazz to win by 11 or more to cash your ticket. You only risk $110 or so to win $100. Less pain if you miss on the pick.

You can also do the reverse. Maybe you like the Thunder in that game but not enough to pick them outright. Instead of betting $100 to win $450, you take the 10 points and bet $110 to win $100. Less gain, but less pain if OKC loses by a bucket. You still cash.

Does Home-Court Advantage Really Matter?

Yes, it does. Bettors have dozens of factors to consider before making a bet, and one of the most significant is home-court advantage, which has always played a role in determining the outcome of a spread. Oddsmakers certainly take that into account, but bettors leaning one way or another on a line can feel confident in the home team to push them in one direction.

But context must be considered: Is the road team just beginning a long road trip or are they on the tail end of one? Is an East Coast team that just played at home now traveling across time zones to play out West? Or is it simply the Chicago Bulls taking a quick trip to Milwaukee? Like anything in gambling, context matters. But a home team is always going to have an advantage.

I’ve Made My NBA Pick, Now What?

You’ve made your decision after studying the trends, checking for late developments and evaluating the odds at Bookies.com. Your next step is to select the best odds, click on that spread, moneyline or over/under and head to the sportsbook to lock in your selection. For first-time bettors, remember that many sportsbooks provide promo codes for bonus offers/bets that will give you a little extra cash to throw around. After that, sit back, relax and cheer your side of the bet on.