Free NCAAF Expert Picks

Dig into every Top-25 betting line from this week in college football – from point spreads to over/unders to moneylines – with our expert picks.

Bookies Tipster Dan Kilbridge
Dan Kilbridge
24-22 (52.2%) L48 ATS
Veteran journalist Dan Kilbridge is Bookies.com’s NCAA football analyst/handicapper. He has covered sports betting and college sports for more than decade.
TOP PICK
Spread
Ohio State over Rutgers
The combined score from the last three OSU-Rutgers games is 166-3. Yikes. The Buckeyes are 8-1 against the spread this season because they play like a team that wants to cover every week. They covered a 42-point spread last week against Maryland with ease, and Rutgers is even worse. The Knights are averaging four points per game against Big Ten opponents, haven’t held a team under 30 points since Week 2 and gave up 34 to Liberty in Week 9. Liberty! The Buckeyes can name their score here, and they’ll want a big number with all eyes on LSU and little attention on OSU’s dominant 9-0 start.
TOP PICK
Spread
Georgia over Auburn
This Bulldogs team is clearly playing with a chip on its shoulder after the South Carolina loss. You could see it in their performance against Florida and hear it from quarterback Jake Fromm after the game. A win this week all but guarantees a spot in the SEC title game, and it’s a good matchup for UGA. Auburn quarterback Bo Nix has been awful against good teams this season, completing less than 43% against Oregon, Florida and LSU. He has five TDs and six INTs in those three games. Auburn’s offense thrives on balance, and it won’t find much against this Bulldogs defense. If they struggle to run the ball and ask too much of Nix, it’ll go south in a hurry.
Spread
Florida over Missouri
The line is almost enough to scare us off, but we’re gonna bite on the Gators anyway. We were equally confused when Florida was just -3.5 at South Carolina in Week 8, but they covered that line no problem. Maybe it’s a lack of respect for a two-loss Florida team, or a lingering effect from the Tigers’ 5-1 start. Either way, the Gators are just better, and Missouri has looked awful for three straight weeks. Tigers QB Kelly Bryant is expected to return after sitting out against Georgia, but he averaged just 135 passing yards in his last two starts against Vanderbilt and Kentucky.
Spread
South Florida over Cincinnati
Statistically these teams aren’t far apart, and the Bulls are working on extra rest after a Thursday night game against Temple. This is a bit of a contrarian play with most spread tickets on the Bearcats and a line that seems like it should be a little higher. Couple things we do like, including USF needing to win two of its last three for bowl eligibility. Always helps to have something to play for. South Florida has also won three of the last four matchups and lost a 12-point game last year in Cincinnati. We’re fading the public and running with the Bulls.
Spread
Utah over UCLA
The Utes are 6-3 against the spread this year and putting up big numbers every week on offense. They should continue to roll against a Bruins defense giving up 431.6 yards per game. Utah ranks third in the country in total defense at 246.3 yards per game. It’s a bad matchup for UCLA coming off a three-game winning streak, and Utah has won its last two games against the Bruins by a combined score of 89-27. We’re expecting more dominance from the Utes on Saturday.
David Caraviello has covered college football betting extensively for Bookies.com and has reported from every SEC football stadium during his career.
TOP PICK
Spread
Alabama over Mississippi State
Have the Crimson Tide so fallen out of favor that they’re barely three-TD favorites against one of the most disappointing programs in SEC? Evidently so. After pushing LSU to the brink last weekend in a loss at Tuscaloosa, the Tide travels to a Mississippi State team that has covered just one of its past five, that against awful Arkansas. Alabama beat Duke by 39, South Carolina by 24, Ole Miss by 28 and Tennessee by 22 — and now has something to prove.
TOP PICK
Spread
Auburn over Georgia
The Tigers have been among the most reliable bets against the spread at 7-2, one game behind national co-leaders Ohio State and Louisiana-Lafayette. That includes a 3-1 mark against ranked opponents, the lone setback being an outright loss at Florida as a slight favorite. While Georgia has rebounded from its stumble against South Carolina to win three straight (two of those against the spread), Auburn’s defense and ground game are good enough keep the Tigers in it.
Over/Under
TCU-Texas Tech Over
Though these Big 12 teams are quite mediocre, they’re also averaging over 30 points per game, and have a penchant for going over the total — the Horned Frogs six times in their last seven games, the Red Raiders four times in their last six (with a push thrown in). TCU has gone over a total greater than 56.5 twice in its last three games, Texas Tech in five of its last six.
Spread
Minnesota over Iowa
The Golden Gophers’ stunner last week over Penn State marked their sixth consecutive victory against the spread. Two of those ATS wins have come as underdogs, which Minnesota will be again Saturday when it travels to Iowa. The Hawkeyes have one of the most anemic offenses in the Big Ten, a reason they’ve covered in just two of their last five outings. Tanner Morgan has evolved into the league’s most efficient quarterback, and the Gophers have the pieces to cover in what will likely be a low-scoring game.
Spread
Baylor over Oklahoma
The Sooners aren’t inspiring confidence these days, having lost four of five against the spread and nearly dropping two straight outright — Oklahoma was saved week only by a two-point conversion stop against Iowa State. Baylor continues to win close games behind the best defense in the Big 12, which allows an average of just 19 points per outing. The Sooners have so many weapons, it’s hard to envision Baylor winning outright — but not covering that number, given the vulnerabilities Oklahoma has shown of late.

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This Week's NCAAF Top-25 Schedule & Dan Kilbridge's Picks

Want to see what our NCAAF expert thinks of every Top-25 game and each market? Our picks below reveal the best bets for every game in the NCAAF this week.
Game
Spreads Pick
Moneyline Pick
Over/ Under Pick

Why our NCAAF Picks Can Be Considered Real Expert Picks

Our college football betting experts have decades of experience covering the game at the highest level and in some of the country’s most iconic stadiums. From the ACC to the SEC to the Big Ten, our experts have studied the trends and the teams inside and out. You can trust that they have taken a deep dive into each game they are picking to try to give you the best advice and tips they can.

What to Look For When Making NCAAF Picks and Parlays

Our experts’ advice should just be part of your research. Follow the latest betting news, keep tabs on the Twitter feeds of reporters who cover the teams week-in and week-out for the latest injury news or roster changes, study the stats and trends. Use all the information, and your own instincts, in making your college football picks. Parlays are also a ton of fun in college football, as you can piece together several large favorites’ moneyline odds to boost what would otherwise be a smaller return. And when it comes to college football Saturday, keep Bookies.com’s Live College Football Betting Blog as your second screen for in-game trends, injuries, the latest odds and more.

What Are NCAAF Picks Against The Spread

The team you like is favored to win big, and you like that bet but don’t want to risk $900 to win $100. That’s where our expert college football picks against the spread come in to play. Betting against the spread in college football means not only are you betting on a team to win, you need them to win by a certain amount in order to cash your ticket. Say Alabama has a moneyline of -900 against Texas A&M. That equates to point spread of about 16 points, meaning Alabama would need to win by 17 or more for you to win. You only risk $110 to win $100, which might make you more comfortable.

You can also do the reverse. Maybe you like Texas A&M in that game. A $100 bet would win you $510 on the moneyline. Not a bad return. But if you’d rather be a bit more cautious, you can take Texas A&M and the points, giving you a much better chance at cashing a ticket, even if it is for a smaller payout.

I’ve Made My College Football Pick, Now What?

Once you have made your decision, it’s important to shop around for the best odds, which is why comparing the top sportsbooks at Bookies.com and their real-time odds should be part of your betting routine. Then click on the odds you like and you will be taken to the sportsbook to go make your bet. If you are a first-time bettor at that site, make sure to use the promo code to get the best bonus offer. If you already have an account, just sign in and make your bet.