NFL Over/Under Trends

Get O/U records for the 32 NFL teams to see how each one of them performs in totals betting.

GLOSSARY

Over/Under Record: The number of times that the point total has gone over, under, or pushed for a specific team.

Over %: The percentage of games in which the OVER hits for a specific team, not including pushes.

Under %: The percentage of games in which the UNDER hits for a specific team, not including pushes.

Total +/-: The average amount of points in which the game goes over or under the point totals. The (+) sign represents the number of points over the spread, while the (-) symbol represents the number of points under the spread.

21+ Terms Apply.

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NFL Over/Under Betting

How Does NFL Over/Under Betting Work?

Understanding NFL over under bets is incredibly simple, which is part of the reason they are so popular with new bettors. Sportsbooks will set a specific number of points that are expected to be scored in a given NFL game, and the bettor must predict whether there will be more (OVER) or fewer (UNDER) points scored.

Choose right and they win the bet, no matter which team comes out on top. Betting lines on over/under bets are typically the same (around -110) for each side as sportsbooks try to draw equal action from each side of the bet

Here’s an example:

  • The over/under for the Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens is 53.
  • The final score is Vikings 31, Ravens 27
  • Total points scored: 58

If you bet the under, you lose; if you bet the over, you win. Simple, right?

Why is Over/ Under NFL Betting So Popular?

There are several reasons why the over/under point total is so popular for people who bet on NFL games. Players aren't forced to pick an underdog or favorite or deal with point spreads. Instead, bettors wager on just how many points will be scored in a given contest. So, in a game between the favored Green Bay Packers and underdog Miami Dolphins, they don’t care if there is an upset or a rout. All they care about is the final score.

It’s about as easy as it gets to betting football, so much so that the newest player doesn’t have to study NFL odds and other betting lines. Over-under bets are one of the most popular Super Bowl bets as well, as many more fans wager on football during the title game than on a typical week during the season or even the NFL playoffs.

Another advantage when betting on the over/under is that players don’t need to know much about specific players or injuries to enjoy these bets. While more knowledge is always helpful, this type of information isn't always required to enjoy and profit from NFL over under bets.

Another appeal to over/under betting is that it’s easy to track how a bet is going. A player simply needs to add the points scored by the two teams to see how their bet is fairing. Over/under bets are quick and easy to keep track of during the NFL week.

What we have been discussing so far is the most common over/under betting: game totals. However, you should not that the same concept applies to prop bets, especially the player props that are prevalent throughout the season and especially in the Super Bowl.

Here’s an example of a two player props in Super Bowl 54:

  • Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes Over/Under 300.5 yards passing
  • 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo Over/Under 20 Passing Attempts

In both prop bets, the odds will typically be the same (around -110) no matter which side you back. You can see why player props are so popular for people who bet on NFL games, which is why you’ll see a ton of them week-in and week-out.

Does Overtime Affect NFL Over/ Under Bets?

One thing that is important to know about NFL over/under bets is that any points that are scored in overtime count towards the point total. The final score is all that matters. With more and more games coming down to the final few minutes of the fourth quarter and overtime, it's essential to plan for the fact that overtime is possible, especially in games with close point spreads.

And with the changes in overtime rules in which each team can potentially possess the ball multiple times after field goals, it’s important to remember this possibility when placing an NFL over/under bet.

Calculating NFL Betting Totals

Another reason why over/under bets are so popular is that sportsbooks do most of the research when it comes to making these NFL odds. Before setting an over/under total, they will gather information on previous meetings, advanced stats and weather conditions to try to correctly nail the number of points scored in a game. More often than not, oddsmakers do a great job of placing the over/under total within a few points of the game's outcome (or in the case of player props, those totals).

NFL Over/ Under Betting Tips

Shop the Top Sportsbooks

While NFL over/under bets is incredibly easy to understand, they are incredibly challenging to master due to oddsmakers often placing close point totals. However, the best advice any new player can get is to shop for the best line. The point total can differ from site to site as well as the payout on each side. Before placing an NFL over/under bet, make sure to check out at least three different sportsbooks and the different payouts on each side before playing your final bet.

Research Betting Trends

One way to gain an advantage in NFL over/under betting is to research betting trends. There are specific teams that will attract more action from the betting public, such as the Dallas Cowboys, Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots. Be mindful that the casual bettor often wagers on the over to hit, as that is the more "fun" bet because it's always more enjoyable to root for scoring.

These public bets on popular teams can often inflate point totals, making the "under" a more valuable bet in the right situation. Be sure to check out any available betting trends to see how often the public bets on the over or under for a particular team before making your bet.

Know the Playing Styles

Another sound strategy is to get familiar with both teams before placing an NFL over/under bet. If both sides are more likely to pass when they are behind, that can lead to more scoring. If another team prefers to be more aggressive on third and fourth down, that can also lead to more points as well.

Teams that run early and often, especially on first and second down, are more likely to play a ball-control style of offense that limits the total number of possessions in a game. Make sure you feel comfortable in your understanding of both team's style of play before placing an over/under bet.