Carlisle Bell Consolation Handicap tips – improving Qaffaal should go well in open renewal

Carlisle Bell Consolation Handicap tips - improving Qaffaal should go well in open renewal


View Odds

Betting Tip: Qaffaal @ 9/1 with williamhill

The Carlisle Bell Consolation (due off 3.00pm) has also drawn a maximum field of 17 and they are headed by Iain Jardine’s Cymraeg Bounty, who is bidding for a hat-trick after back-to-back wins at Ayr. However, both successes came over longer trips and his trainer went on record as saying that the key to his improved form was stepping up from a mile and even suggested he would have no problem staying 1m4f. This is a stiff mile and he was in front a long way from home last time but, even so, this shorter trip might just find him out. The stable has yet to have a winner at this track in 18 attempts.

Just Be Lucky is another hat-trick chaser dropping back in trip following wins at Haydock (1m) and Wetherby (1m1f) last time. His trainer Ivan Furtado, who is paying his first visit to the track, has clearly got the four-year-old in peak form and, while up another 5lb here, he is respected in first-time blinkers. Likewise Artful Prince who is running under a 6lb penalty for his success over 1m1f here nine days ago, half of which is negated by his rider’s claim. But his trainer James Given said afterwards that nine furlongs is his optimum trip, so he too has a question to answer back over shorter.

Mick Easterby’s QAFFAAL is going in the other direction as he is stepping up from 7f after winning over that trip at Musselburgh last time. However, he was doing all his best work at the finish on that occasion and we know he stays at least this far as he was successful over 1m1/2f at Wolverhampton on his reappearance in April, despite not getting a clear run. Now 2-3 for 2016, he looks to have improved again since last season and reverting to a mile could see him produce a career-best performance. He’s just 3lb higher this afternoon and that is more than taken care of by his rider Nathan Evans’ 5lb claim.

His veteran trainer doesn’t have a great strike rate here (4% since 2012), admittedly, but he has an awful lot of runners and is in form with six winners in the last fortnight. In which case, I’m more than happy to take a punt on the improving five-year-old at the current odds in a wide open renewal.

Betting Tip: Qaffaal @ 9/1 with williamhill

All odds were correct at time of posting.

Leave a Reply