Doncaster 3.00 tips – Thesme to gain just reward for consistency

Doncaster 3.00 tips - Thesme to gain just reward for consistency

Scarbrough Stakes

Thesme

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Betting Tip: Thesme @ 4/1 with betfair

It’s tempting to give Muthmir another chance in the day’s feature as he’s the top-rated runner (albeit not by much) and is proven at a much higher level. However, he’s becoming expensive to follow and was beaten in a blanket finish at Beverley last time, a race he was entitled to win on the official figures. The current 4/1 is a decent carrot but I’m going to resist.

Nigel Tinkler’s supplies his the main market rival in the shape of THESME and she thoroughly deserves to get her head in front after a string of fine efforts in defeat this season, including when finishing fifth in the Group 1 Nunthorpe behind Mecca’s Angel last time. The worry with her, though, is the ground, as she was well beaten the only time she ran on a soft surface. However, there’s a fair chance the ground could dry out to good given the forecast and we should have a better idea of the conditions after the jockeys have come in after the first two races on the card. I’ll wait to back her until then.

Pearl Secret has struggled in top company since finishing an encouraging fourth on her reappearance at Haydock in May and she could do a lot better now dropping back in class. She’s likely got the Prix de l’Abbaye on his agenda, having finished fourth in that French Group 1 last year, and she’ll be carrying my money if the word ‘soft’ remains in the going description.

Equimou is most interesting of the rest as the sole juvenile runner in receipt of the weight-for-age allowance, but he too needs the ground to dry out as all his form is on good or faster.

Betting Tip: Thesme @ 4/1 with betfair

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