Goodwood 3.00 (Golden Mile) tips – Escobar’s rivals don’t have a sniff

Goodwood 3.00 (Golden Mile) tips - Escobar's rivals don't have a sniff

Escobar

View Odds

Betting Tip: @ Escobar @ 13/2 with coral

ESCOBAR and South Seas both caught the eye in the same handicap at Sandown last time, finishing second and sixth respectively, but the former horse has fared much better with today’s draw having been handed stall two, whereas South Seas will exit from 13. That’s not to say Andrew Balding’s charge can’t win from there but with the field completing a turn of more than 90 degrees during the journey, it’s best to be drawn near the inside running rail and past results back that up as eight of the last ten winners emerged from stall eight of lower (the first four home last year were drawn in stalls 3, 6, 2 and 7). So Escobar, who might have won with a more positive ride, should go close and especially as his trainer David O’Meara has been in such striking form of late.

He’s going to need some luck in running of course but you can say that about them all and given his liking for quick ground, the return of the hot weather is another thing in his favour. He’s not favourite, with that honour going to Seniority, who was perhaps turned out again too quickly under a penalty when a beaten favourite in the Royal Hunt Cup. He still ran respectably in eighth and Ryan Moore, who won on him at Chelmsford previously, is back on board and he can make the most of a good draw in stall three. But I just prefer the chance of Escobar and he’s a bigger price.

The selection’s stablemate Mythical Madness could go well at a price as he has the plum draw in stall one is best in big fields where they go a decent pace. He wasn’t beaten far into ninth in last year’s race from a high draw and could reward each-way backers at bet365’s 16/1. Last year’s winner Master The World is also worth a favourable mention as he was also a head second in the 2016 renewal off the same mark as today’s.

You can read the rest of my tips for today here.

Betting Tip: @ Escobar @ 13/2 with coral

All odds were correct at time of posting.

Leave a Reply