Meydan 5.00 (Dubai World Cup) tips – Chrome tough to beat if on his mettle

Meydan 5.00 (Dubai World Cup) tips - Chrome tough to beat if on his mettle

California Chrome

California Chrome

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Betting Tip: @ 15/8 with betfair

Saturday’s Dubai World Cup at Meydan (due off 5.00pm) is the world’s richest race and is the latest chapter in the rags-to-riches story of the remarkable CALIFORNIA CHROME.

Bred on a shoe-string budget, he has now won 11 of his 20 starts under Rules and they include a couple of North American Triple Crown races, the 2014 Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes. The five-year-old is just about the biggest name the organisers could have wished to attract and they will be keen to see him make amends for what looked an unlucky defeat in last year’s race and restore some respectability to what is the main event of their Dubai Carnival.

Sent off the 5/4 favourite 12 months ago, his jockey Victor Espinoza got the race tactics badly wrong by chasing a too strong pace and covering more ground than any of his rivals, leaving 14/1 shot Prince Bishop to pick up the pieces late on. The winner was promptly whisked off to stud and California Chrome was kept off the track for nearly 10 months, making a winning return to action at Santa Anita and then following up in a handicap over track and trip last month.

Connections seem convinced he’s better than ever (no reason to doubt them) and having had some local match practice, he is again the one they all have to best and it’ll be disappointing if he can’t end the drought of favourites going back to Curlin eight years ago – Sky Bet are one of three firms offering a top price of 7/4 on that happening.

A wide draw in stall 11 of 12 is not ideal – he was the 11th of 12 names to emerge in the draw ceremony, leaving his trainer Art Sherman with the choice of only the two widest stalls – but he’s in a different league to all bar one of his rivals and has the tactical speed to cope.

His compatriot Frosted looks the most likely runner-up as he had some solid Grade 1 form in the US last year and, like the favourite, he proved he handles Meydan with a cosy handicap success last time, lowering the course record over a trip just shy of 1m2f. Mubtaahij may not have been suited by the steady pace of the third round of the Maktoum Challenge last time and he can improve to take third, making him the each-way bet of the race at BetVictor’s 16/1 (1/5 odds, 1.2.3).

SELECTION

California Chrome @ 15/8 Betfair

Betting Tip: @ 15/8 with betfair

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