Newmarket 3.50 (Cambridgeshire) tips – Nafaqa one of three against the field

Newmarket 3.50 (Cambridgeshire) tips - Nafaqa one of three against the field

Nafaqa

Nafaqa

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Betting Tip: Nafaqa @ 25/1 with betvictor

This has to be the toughest handicap to solve all season with a maximum field of 35 set to go to post and it’s a job to know where to start. Unfortunately, the draw doesn’t really help on this occasion as there are no strong trends have emerged and there’s been little separating the two groups in the last two runnings, with the first and second last year racing on different sides of the track.

What does seem essential is a positive performance last time out. Since 1981, only four winners finished out of the first four on their previous start, though somewhat strangely they have all come in the last 11 years. Proven stamina is another plus as the field can get competitive from a long way out and the race is often won by a horse who stays further than the big-race trip of 1m1f. When you also consider that only one horse has successfully carried a penalty in the last ten runnings, which rules out several fancied runners including Bronze Angel, who is bidding for an unprecedented third win, you are left with a much more manageable list of possibles.

Indeed, only five ‘survive’ the above criteria and they are in no particular order: Polar Forest, Prince Gagarin, Express Himself, Forgotten Hero and Nafaqa. The first two have shown their best form on softer ground than they will encounter here and are weighted up to their best besides. So, that leaves three and it’s Barry Hills’ NAFAQA who is exciting me most as a Listed winner making his handicap debut, but there’s no harm in punting the other two as well with BetVictor, who are obligingly top or joint-top price on the trio: 25/1 Nafaqa and Express Himself, 40/1 Forgotten Hero. There are five places up for grabs for each-way backers.

Betting Tip: Nafaqa @ 25/1 with betvictor

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