Ascot Stakes tips – Jennies Jewel all set for sparkling display

Ascot Stakes tips – Jennies Jewel all set for sparkling display

Jennies Jewel

Jennies Jewel

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Betting Tip: Jennies Jewel @ 9/1 with bet365

The Ascot Stakes (due off 5.00pm) is a handicap run over the marathon trip of 2m4f, which perhaps explains the excellent record of jumps / dual purpose trainers. This year might be no different.

Who’s favourite?
Bookmakers have settled on Willie Mullins’ Pique Sous as favourite at around the 13/2 mark and they are clearly taking no chances with the nine-year-old given his connections – the stable has won two of the last four runnings – and the fact he was a winner the last time he turned up at the royal meeting; obliging at 11/4 in the 2014 Queen Alexandra Stakes. Ryan Moore was on board on that occasion and when the gelding reappeared after nearly two months off in a 1m4f handicap at the Curragh in May. Racing in rear and last two furlongs out, he was spotted making late headway into tenth over what was a wholly inadequate trip and that was just what was required ahead of this assignment.

Who else is fancied?
Mullins looks to have an interesting second-string in Sempre Medici, who has a 463-day absence to overcome but is unlikely to fail through lack of fitness. Dermot Weld’s Silver Concorde was last seen finishing a staying-on third in the Chester Cup, proving he was fully recovered from the injury he picked up in the Supreme Novices’, and boasting a 3-5 record on the Flat he needs giving maximum respect.

The Irish challenge is boosted further by the presence of Jarlath Fahey’s Jennies Jewel, who was taking advantage of a generous Flat mark when laughing at her ten rivals in a 2m handicap at the Curragh in May. A 147-rated hurdler who got to within four lengths of Vroum Vroum Mag and Diamond King at Ascot in January, she is a thorough stayer who will relish this marathon trip.

Any decent outsiders?
Charlie Appleby’s Galizzi has just a small penalty for his Goodwood win just nine days ago and, providing he doesn’t ‘bounce’ on his second quick run back after a layoff, he could go well at a double-figure price. Chester Cup winner No Heretic represents Nicky Henderson, who sent out 2011 winner Veiled, and the eight-year-old has to enter calculations off just a 4lb higher mark.

Others worthy of a mention in an open race are Gordon Elliott’s Eshtiaal, Sir Mark Prescott’s Moscato, an encouraging second on his reappearance at Haydock, and Hassle, who was last seen winning a maiden hurdle at Fakenham on his debut for Dr Richard Newland and has a 4-14 record on the level.

Who’s going to win?
The bookies are right to keep Pique Sous on their side – I certainly wouldn’t want to lay him – and he has to go well. However, connections of JENNIES JEWEL were quick to mention this race after her latest Curragh success and her impressive jumps record needs upgrading further given that she often spoiled her chance by slowing down into her hurdles. She’ll stay every yard of this and rates a solid each-way bet, but save a little for HASSLE too. His Ascot form figures read 12334 and his current trainer has a deserved reputation for improving horses switched to him from other yards. Neither selections will mind the resting conditions.

SELECTIONS

Jennies Jewel 1pt each-way @ 9/1 bet365 (¼ odds, 1.2.3.4)
Hassle 0.5pt each-way @ 18/1 Sky Bet (¼ odds, 1.2.3.4)

Betting Tip: Jennies Jewel @ 9/1 with bet365

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