The Oaks tips – Clarity’s chance is perfectly clear

The Oaks tips – Clarity's chance is perfectly clear

Perfect Clarity

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Betting Tip: @ Perfect Clarity @ 7/1 with bet365

Unsurprisingly, the horse with the best form is heading the market with Charlie Appleby’s Wild Illusion bidding to go three better than her fourth in the Irish 1000 Guineas on her return to action, while she is the only filly in the field with a success at the highest level. That came in a French Group 1 last October, when she appeared to relish soft ground, which is no surprise given her high knee action, and it was to her credit that she ran so well at Newmarket as conditions were pretty quick. With the ground very much in her favour and with the step up in trip expected to suit given her pedigree – her dam won over 2m – she probably deserves to be favourite.

She may well win too but current odds of 5/2 don’t really excite and especially when you consider the market has been a poor guide in recent years, with six of the last ten winners outside the top three in the betting (priced at 9/1, 20/1 three times, 33/1 and 50/1). And it’s not as if the 1000 Guineas has been a good guide either, with most Oaks winners these days tending to have made quieter progress. Minding was the exception two years ago when becoming the first filly to achieve the Newmarket/Epsom double in 14 years, but she was exceptional and this year’s fillies’ mile classic didn’t look the strongest renewal by any means.

Aidan O’Brien had eight of the 13 entries at the five-day stage and these have have now been whittled down to five, with Ryan Moore sticking with Cheshire Oaks winner Magic Wand. She’s the shortest priced of the quintet currently, with 9/2 up for grabs, but I’m no taker as she had everything go her way on the Roodee, whereas her stablemate and runner-up Forever Together was caught in a pocket turning in and by the time she extracted herself, the winner had gone. It therefore wouldn’t be a huge surprise if she overturned the form here, but I doubt there is a standout number one amongst the Ballydoyle runners and I’m happy to give them all a swerve.

That leaves just three fillies and they include the Musidora first and third, Give And Take and EJTYAH, with the former finishing two and a half lengths ahead at the line and winning a shade cosily. However, Ejtyah was the least experienced runner in the field and also lacked race fitness. It didn’t help her cause either that she was racing away from the main action on the far side of the track, whereas the front two had a battle nearer the stands’ rail. By Frankel out a half-sister Hong Kong Vase winner Darykana, she is going to relish stepping up to 1m4f and she is the each-way value of the race in my mind, with 20/1 on offer at bet365, who are going one quarter the odds.

If her stable were in better form (0-25 in the last fortnight), she might have been the headline selection but that goes instead to Clive Cox’s PERFECT CLARITY, the only unbeaten filly in the line up. The form of her debut success at Nottingham hasn’t really worked out, admittedly, but she has clearly done very well from two to three judging by the way she dispatched her rivals in the Lingfield Oaks Trial. That track isn’t too dissimilar to Epsom, hence they run the trial there, and she has since had a slighter around here at last week’s Breakfast With The Stars. Seemingly blessed with a good mix of speed and stamina and with further improvement likely after just two starts, she looks well worth chancing at the available 7/1.

SELECTIONS

Perfect Clarity @ 7/1 bet365
Ejtyah each-way @ 20/1 bet365 (1/4 odds, 1.2.3)

Betting Tip: @ Perfect Clarity @ 7/1 with bet365

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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