Windsor Castle Stakes tips – Halford charge can reward each-way support

Windsor Castle Stakes tips – Halford charge can reward each-way support

Windsor Castle

Yulong Baobei

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Betting Tip: Yulong Baobei @ 20/1 with bet365

The Windsor Castle Stakes is for juveniles and is run over 5f; with fillies getting a 5lb allowance. It gives the smaller yards the chance to shine on the big stage, with Aidan O’Brien having to make do with just one success; Washington DC 12 months ago.

Who’s favourite?

This is the race in which California-based Wesley Ward first burst on to the Royal Ascot scene seven years ago with Strike A Tiger and his Hootenanny made it two for the stable in 2014. So, when he says that Big City Dreamin has been pointed at this race since she won the first juvenile race of the year over 41/2f at Keeneland and will be “very tough” to beat under Frankie Dettori, you have to take notice. But the recent rain is a worry for her and she’s an uneasy favourite.

Who else is fancied?
Drafted is another Keeneland winner (in a faster time than the Ward runner) making the trip over from the States, where he is trained by Eoin Harty for Godolphin. A grey half-brother to Keep The Money, who won five times between 5f and 6f, he has been described as “the perfect horse” to travel across the Atlantic by his trainer, who is reaching for first-time blinkers and a tongue-tie.

A big run from Caravaggio in the Coventry Stakes (3.05pm) would be a strong pointer to Mister Trader, who finished second to him at the Curragh last time, following a comfortable debut success at that track in March. He made all on that occasion and tried the same trick last time, only to be collared in the last 100 yards, so expect him to show up early.

Any decent outsiders?
Plenty. Battaash, Fayez, Ardad and Kananee are all unbeaten and therefore merit plenty of respect. Pedestal, Aidan O’Brien’s sole representative, was an impressive winner at Tipperary last time and will have the services of Ryan Moore – he could be over-priced at 16/1 given his connections, though he finished well beaten on his debut on soft ground.

Mick Halford’s Yulong Baobei finished second to Cuff, who is a possible for Friday’s Albany, at Naas last time, where she may have seen too much daylight causing her to run green. An impressive winner of a Dundalk maiden on her debut and out of smart sprinter Choisir – a dual Royal Ascot winner – she could go well at a price.

Trainer quote: “He worked on turf over five furlongs at Arlington, and it was a fantastic piece of work” – Eoin Harty on Drafted.

Best bookie offer?
Several firms are offering four places instead of the standard three, with bet365, Betfred and Winner also going one quarter the odds.

Who’s going to win?
This is not a race to overboard on and the market could prove to be the best guide, but there seems to be plenty of confidence behind Drafted and he’s tempting at around 6/1. At bigger odds, though, I’m going to take a chance on YULONG BAOBEI, with bet365 dangling a carrot of 20/1 and four places (5/1 a place then).

SELECTION

Yulong Baobei each-way @ 20/1 bet365 (¼ odds, 1.2.3.4)

Betting Tip: Yulong Baobei @ 20/1 with bet365

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