York 3.30 (Dante) tips – Storm could do some damage

York 3.30 (Dante) tips - Storm could do some damage

Swiss Storm

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Betting Tip: @ 16/1 with bet365

John Gosden’s CRACKSMAN didn’t impress everyone when winning Epsom’s Derby Trial on his reappearance as he had to work hard to wear down the re-opposing Permian, with just a short head separating the pair at the line. But it was a better performance than it looked and, given his inexperience, he really should have been beaten in a slowly run race that turned into a sprint against a race-fit rival, who franked the form when winning a Listed contest at Newmarket next time.

We could see a much better performance from the son of Frankel this afternoon and he’ll need to win to justify 7/1 quotes of around 7/1 for the Derby, but he’s far from a certain runner at the time of writing with Gosden concerned about running him on soft ground and planning on walking the track in the morning. Owner Anthony Oppenheimer, whose colours were carried to carried to success by Golden Horn in 2015, seems less concerned about conditions, saying as long as the ground isn’t heavy he’s happy to run. If he gets his way, and he pays the bills, Cracksman’s class may well get him through, but I can hardly put him up as a bet here at the current 11/4.

Besides, there are plenty of others in the field with comparable form or better and Rekindling and Exemplar are two, judging by their Irish Group race efforts, while Nottingham maiden winner Crystal Ocean has been the subject of a Derby gamble this week, although his trainer Sir Michael Stoute has expressed doubts as to whether he will be ready to mix it with the best at this stage of his career.

But there a few others of interest and David Elsworth’s SWISS STORM, one of four runners in the Godolphin blue, could be worth a small each-way punt at bet365’s 16/1 (that price will be subject to a Rule 4 if Cracksman doesn’t run, but we may still beat the SP). Another Frankel colt, he won a Newbury maiden in good style last autumn and, having missed the 2000 Guineas due to not being quite ready, he has reportedly been pleasing his trainer at home of late. Elsworth (writing in a recent Stable Tour) reckons he’s one for the all the top 1m-1m2f races, with York’s Juddmonte International being mentioned as a possible target, and in which case he ought to put up a bold showing here.

UPDATE – Cracksman has been pulled out on account of the ground and that leaves the Saeed bin Suroor-trained Benbati as favourite at around the 7/2 mark, but I’m happy to stick to the selection to small stakes each-way.

Betting Tip: @ 16/1 with bet365

All odds were correct at time of posting.

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