NBA Same Game Parlay: Warriors vs Clippers - April 15, 2026

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NBA Warriors vs Clippers Picks
This loser-eliminated Western Conference Play-In game pits a surging Clippers squad against a wounded Warriors team that limped to a 5-15 record over their final 20 games. Los Angeles went 3-1 against Golden State in the regular season, including a 115-110 win on April 12 without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. The Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against the Warriors and have won 10 of the past 11 meetings overall. ESPN's win probability model gives the Clippers a 67.3% chance of advancing, with the winner earning a Friday Play-In rematch against the Phoenix Suns for the West's No. 8 seed.
Tonight's Best Bets
| Pick | Line | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Pick 1: Kawhi Leonard Over 27.5 Points | o27.5 | -115 |
| Pick 2: Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Three-Pointers Made | o4.5 | +125 |
| Pick 3: Game Under 221.5 | u221.5 | -110 |
*Lines sourced from major US sportsbooks and are subject to change before tip-off.
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Pick 1: Kawhi Leonard Over 27.5 Points (-115)
Kawhi Leonard averaged 27.9 points per game this season on 50.5% shooting — career highs in scoring — and his presence has been the driving force behind Los Angeles going 36-19 since December 20. He sat out the April 12 regular-season finale with an ankle issue but has been fully cleared for tonight, making this a statement moment on the biggest stage available to him. In a loser-goes-home format with Golden State missing Butler, Moody, and Cryer, Leonard will face a depleted Warriors perimeter defense with no incentive to pace himself. His usage rate of 33.5% leads the team, and the matchup demands he be aggressive from the opening tip.
Pick 2: Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Three-Pointers Made (+125)
Stephen Curry is 10-5 in 15 career elimination games, averaging 28.9 points while shooting 36.5% from three, and he has returned from his knee injury shooting 15-for-36 (41.7%) from deep over four games back, including nine three-point attempts per game. The Clippers rank only 16th in opponent three-point frequency and percentage since James Harden departed the rotation, leaving Curry with favorable defensive looks all night. In the April 12 meeting — his third game back — Curry hit four of nine threes in just 29 minutes on a minutes restriction. As that restriction eases in a must-win environment, volume and efficiency both trend upward, making o4.5 at +125 a genuine value.
Pick 3: Game Under 221.5 (-110)
The total has gone under in seven of the Clippers' last eight games against the Warriors, and only one of the four regular-season meetings between these teams went over 220.5. The total has also gone under in four of Golden State's last six games and five of Los Angeles' last seven overall. Golden State is missing four rotation players, compressing their offensive options to Curry on a minutes restriction and Podziemski as a secondary creator. The Clippers thrive in half-court possessions; Leonard and Garland account for the bulk of their sets, which naturally slow the pace. The total opened at 220 and has crept to 221.5, creating even more under value given the historical matchup data.
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Warriors vs Clippers Same-Game Parlay
Kawhi Leonard Over 27.5 Points + Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Three-Pointers Made + Game Under 221.5
Leonard controls the Clippers' half-court offense while Garland pushes pace selectively, keeping Golden State scrambling to find enough offensive output without their full rotation. Curry gets his threes — elimination-game adrenaline ensures that — but a minutes restriction and Golden State's depleted supporting cast limit overall scoring volume. Both teams grind through a physical, deliberate second half that plays well under the total, with Leonard shouldering the individual scoring load that tips his prop over in a controlled Clippers win.
Injury Report
Golden State Warriors
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | Out | Torn ACL |
| Moses Moody | Out | Ruptured patellar tendon |
| LJ Cryer | Out | Ankle |
| Quinten Post | Out | Foot |
| Stephen Curry | Active (minutes restriction) | Patellofemoral pain syndrome / bone bruise, right knee |
Los Angeles Clippers
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal | Out | Left hip fracture |
| Yanic Konan Niederhauser | Out | Right Lisfranc ligament tear |
| Isaiah Jackson | Questionable | Ankle |
| Kawhi Leonard | Active | Ankle (cleared) |
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Final Prediction
The Clippers win a deliberate, defensive-minded Play-In game that stays well under the total as Golden State's shortened rotation struggles to generate consistent half-court offense without Butler, Moody, or Cryer. Leonard leads all scorers and validates his cleared status with a dominant individual performance, while Curry hits five or more threes but cannot singlehandedly close the gap. Los Angeles advances to Friday's Play-In game as the final score reflects the same kind of controlled, grind-it-out victory that defined their 36-19 run since December.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Clippers 112, Golden State Warriors 101
Game Details
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Matchup | Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers |
| Date | Wednesday, April 15, 2026 |
| Tip-Off | 10:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Intuit Dome, Inglewood, California |
| TV | Prime Video |
| Spread | LAC -5.5 (-105) / GS +5.5 (-115) |
| Total | Over 221.5 (-110) / Under 221.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | LAC -205 / GS +170 |
*Lines sourced from major US sportsbooks and are subject to change before tip-off.
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