By Jordan Horrobin | | 4 mins
Arizona State vs Utah Predictions, Picks & Betting Preview
No. 18 Arizona State carries its three-game win streak into a Pac-12 matchup with Utah on Saturday (7 p.m. local time, 10 p.m. ET), and the current college football odds view the game as a bit of a toss-up.
The Utes may be unranked, but they’re coming off the best performance of their young season - a 16-point win at USC (as 2.5-point underdogs). And Utah won, 21-3, when they last faced Arizona State in 2019.
Both defenses have impressed so far, and there’s a chance this one comes down to the final possession or two. Take a look at our college football picks for this matchup in the article below.
Betting sites may indicate odds changes closer to kickoff.
5 Keys to Arizona State vs Utah
Sack attack: Despite missing a pair of key contributors in their defensive front four, Arizona State has tallied 21 sacks through six games (first in Pac-12, eighth in NCAA). Fifth-year defensive end Tyler Johnson, who had two sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss and a forced fumble last week, is a big piece of that.
A common foe: Intra-conference teams have lots of common opponents, but few exist in the nonconference portion of the schedule. This year, Arizona State and Utah both faced BYU on the road, and both lost (the Sun Devils lost 27-17 as three-point favorites; the Utes lost 26-17 as seven-point favorites).
Surprise leader: An unsung key to Arizona State’s offense is fifth-year tight end Curtis Hodges. He leads the team with 257 receiving yards, and he’s getting touches when it counts. Nine of his 12 receptions have gone for first downs.
Totally good defense: Utah had its way with USC last week, stacking up over 300 passing yards and 486 yards total. But it might have a tougher time against Arizona State, who boasts the 14th-best total defense in the NCAA (298 yards allowed/game).
Trust restored in Tavion?: Cincinnati transfer Tavion Thomas could be a game-breaker for Utah, but his team has to trust him. The running back had fumble issues earlier in the season and his playing time was slashed accordingly. But last week, he rushed for 113 yards on 16 carries, asserting himself as the Utes’ lead back. If he protects the football, similar results could continue.
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Arizona State vs Utah Weather Forecast
The Sun Devils will be far from the desert for this game. Salt Lake City will be cool and clear, with mid-40s temperatures and virtually zero wind or rain.
Arizona State vs Utah Moneyline
Home-field advantage can be a difficult component to account for in one’s college football betting decisions, but it’s the only thing we really believe is working in Utah’s favor here.
Sure, this will be the coldest game of Arizona State’s season so far, but that shouldn’t make a huge difference. The Sun Devils have a better defense, a better star (all-purpose running back Rachaad White) and higher-quality wins. We’ll take the Sun Devils straight up, with -112 odds on betting apps and similar odds available across Arizona sports betting sites.
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Arizona State vs Utah Point Spread
This is a rare case where the moneyline is so tight that the point spread is deemed moot. FanDuel essentially has this game as a pick ‘em, with Utah being “favored” by 0.5 points. Other sportsbooks, like DraftKings and Caesars, have the Utes as one-point underdogs. BetMGM has locked its point spread for this matchup.
We liked the Sun Devils on the moneyline, and that’s basically what we’re looking at here. If you find slightly more favorable odds with Arizona State as a microscopic favorite, all the power to you.
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Arizona State vs Utah Totals
Last week’s outburst by the Utes may have falsely boosted this game’s point total up to 50.5. For how strong Arizona State’s defense has been, and the fact that this game hardly covered half of its 46-point total last season, we’re banking on the under to hit again.
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