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Army-Navy Game Predictions, Picks & Army vs Navy Betting Preview

Jordan Horrobin for Bookies.com

Jordan Horrobin  | 4 mins

Army-Navy Game Predictions, Picks & Army vs Navy Betting Preview

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A hectic conference championship weekend has come and gone, but the bowl season is still another week away. In between, college football fans have just one FBS game to dedicate their attention to: The 122nd edition of Army vs. Navy.

Current college football odds see the Army Black Knights as touchdown-plus favorites over their rival Navy Midshipmen in Saturday’s matchup (3 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey).

The point total is predictably low. The bowl fates for both teams are already decided. But hey, it’s football, and it’s literally the only game in town this weekend. Here’s a look at our college football picks and preview for this matchup.

Odds subject to change.

5 Keys to Army vs Navy

Ball hogs: As you might think, these two run-heavy offenses both rank in the top five in the nation in time of possession. Army leads the way, averaging approximately 36 minutes per game (out of 60), while Navy is fifth with 34 minutes per game.

Balanced running: Army has the second-most rush yards in the FBS, and it has more than just a couple of players to thank. A dozen Black Knights have scored a rushing touchdown this year, and five players have accumulated 340 or more rush yards. Navy ranks seventh nationally in rushing offense, largely because of Isaac Ruoss and Carlinos Acie (954 yards combined).

Fourth down efficiency: If we see any critical fourth down situations in this game, don’t be surprised by either offense staying on the field. Navy ranks 17th in fourth down conversion rate (67.6%), and Army ranks eighth (71.4%). Then again, Army is also eighth in fourth down defense (67.9% stoppage rate).

Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy stays put: Regardless of Saturday’s result, the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy - fought for by Army, Navy and Air Force - will remain in Army’s control. Army beat Air Force, 21-14 (OT) last month, while Navy lost to Air Force, 23-3, in September. If Navy wins on Saturday, each team would earn a share of the trophy for the first time since 1993.

Historic edge vs. recent results: Navy still holds the overall edge in this matchup (61-53-7), but Army is gaining ground. Including last year’s 15-0 win, the Black Knights have won four of the past five meetings. Army is also 5-1-1 against the spread in the past seven meetings.

Army vs. Navy Weather Forecast

Expect MetLife Stadium to see temperatures in the mid-to-high 50s on Saturday afternoon with light rain throughout the day.

Army vs Navy Point Spread

The one place the Midshipmen posted a winning record this year is at sportsbooks, where they’ve gone 7-4 against the spread. As a single-digit underdog, however, they’re just 1-2 this season.

Army enters the weekend on a four-game win streak, with three wins against the spread in that span. We like the Black Knights to cover 7.5 points.

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Army vs Navy Moneyline

Army and Navy operate with extremely similar styles. Army just happens to be better at it.

The Black Knights rush for more yards and with more efficiency. Their defense was stronger in both points and yards allowed. They’ve won more games in the past five weeks (four) than Navy has won all season (three).

A -303 moneyline wager on Army doesn’t do much in an otherwise barren college football betting slate this week. But it’s the pick that makes the most sense.

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Army vs Navy Totals

Yes, we see how low the point total is at betting apps. Some teams score 36 in a half without blinking. But the run-heavy style that both of these teams possess makes for far fewer scoring opportunities.

Keep in mind that each of the past 10 meetings between Army and Navy has hit the under. We bet they’ll make it 11.

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About the Author

Jordan Horrobin for Bookies.com
Jordan Horrobin
Jordan Horrobin has created sports betting content since 2019, covering everything from the NFL to KBO. Based in Toronto, he has written for MLB.com, The Athletic and Sportsnet.