The 2022 College Football Playoff already featured two of the best games we’ve seen all year, with TCU upsetting Michigan and Georgia melting face in a second-half comeback win over Ohio State. It all adds up to one of the more intriguing National Championship matchups we’ve seen in recent years, with the Horned Frogs taking on the Bulldogs at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. 

TCU’s mere presence is fascinating, with the Horned Frogs now just one win away from a national title after finishing 5-7 a year ago. But oddsmakers on college football betting sites aren’t giving them much of a chance. This is the most lopsided point spread of any title game in the CFP era at Bulldogs -12.5. 

RELATED: 2023 CFP National Championship Predictions, Best Bets And Picks

Some bettors might not bite on a double-digit spread and that’s just fine. In games like this, there’s usually more value to be found on prop bets on sports betting apps that won’t receive a fraction of the point spread/moneyline action. 

From player props to team-specific wagers, the betting board is absolutely loaded with alternative options. Here are a few of our favorite college football picks for the game.

Best TCU-Georgia National Championship Prop Bets to Back

Prop	Odds
Max Duggan Over 230.5 Passing yards	-114 at FanDuel
Kenny McIntosh Over 68.5 Rushing Yards	+100 at DraftKings
Stetson Bennett Under 272.5 Passing Yards	-114 at FanDuel
Georgia To Win By 13-18 Points	+425 at DraftKings
Under 7.5 Total Touchdowns	+100 at DraftKings

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Max Duggan, Over 230.5 Passing Yards

Odds: -114 at FanDuel

This one-year turnaround for the Frogs starts with Duggan, who fielded 188 first-place votes for the Heisman Trophy after an electric season in Fort Worth. We expect him to keep it going with a few more big plays on the biggest stage. That’s in part because Georgia is so good against the run that TCU is likely better off chucking it early and often against a Bulldogs secondary that looked vulnerable against the Buckeyes. It probably won’t be enough to get a win, or even a cover, but Duggan has surpassed this total in 9 of 13 games this year and has a good chance again given the matchup.

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Kenny McIntosh Over 68.5 Rushing Yards

Odds: +100 at DraftKings

We expect the exact opposite approach from the Bulldogs. They saw the Wolverines get in trouble when they went off-script against this 3-3-5 defense. Michigan should have stuck with the run and embraced its identity. Hindsight is 20/20, yada, yada, yada. It’s been clear all year that TCU’s secondary is dangerous and the front seven struggles at times. The Horned Frogs basically lured Michigan into a Big 12 game and the Wolverines took the bait. We expect a more run-heavy approach from the Bulldogs, starting with McIntosh. He’s the type of player who could surpass this total on a single play at any moment, or grind away for four quarters. Either way, we like McIntosh to go over 68.5 yards on the ground.

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Stetson Bennett Under 272.5 Passing Yards 

Odds: -114 at FanDuel

See above. Bennett had another great year to finish third in the Heisman voting and just went off for 398 yards against the Buckeyes. TCU’s secondary shows a completely different look, one that has rattled opposing quarterbacks at times all season. Somewhere in the neighborhood of 25 passing attempts seems right here given we expect the Bulldogs to pound the rock – especially after such a slow start in the first half against Ohio State. 

Georgia To Win By 13-18 Points 

Odds: +425 at DraftKings

We’re on the Bulldogs to cover -12.5, but the Frogs have more than enough talent to keep it interesting for a while – especially considering they really have nothing to lose. Georgia’s secondary made a lot of mistakes early against the Buckeyes and TCU’s wide receivers are SEC-caliber in terms of size and speed. This should be fun early before the Bulldogs establish a two-score lead and put the clamps down, at which point a winning margin between 13-18 should be very much in play.

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Total Touchdowns Under 7.5 

Odds: +100 at DraftKings

Oddsmakers have the over/under right around 62, and we’re on the Under for all the reasons listed above. Georgia should be able to move the chains consistently and run clock with a power attack up front. TCU should have success through the air at times, but we don’t see them having any success in the rushing attack. Both kickers are solid and if the total goes over 62, it’ll likely be their doing. The Frogs and Dogs aren’t trading touchdowns for 60 minutes. We’re on Under 7.5 total TDs.

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