By Dan Kilbridge | | 5 mins
How You Should Bet LSU vs Clemson National Championship 2020
It’s a good thing New Orleans is hosting the 2020 National Championship. How many other cities would you trust to handle the swarm of Clemson and LSU fans set to take over every watering hole in and around the French Quarter?
This matchup is worth all the pregame insanity and should lead to a wild season finale in the Big Easy Monday night as Clemson looks for its 30th straight win and second consecutive national championship. LSU is a significant favorite thanks to quarterback Joe Burrow’s Heisman season and the way the Tigers dismantled Oklahoma in the College Football Playoff semifinal.
The college football betting public loves LSU in this one, and it’s easy to see why, with the vast majority of action coming on the Bayou Bengals in the days leading up to the title showdown. Should bettors look at fading the public here? Would it be unwise to bet against Burrow and the best offense in college football?
As you shop odds at the best betting sites, here’s how we see the National Championship shaping up. If you want to make a bet, just click on the blue box with the odds and you'll be sent to the online sportsbook.
Clemson-LSU Best BetsPick Expired
Pick 1: LSU Moneyline
It’s hard to bet against Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence. He’s never lost a college game and is every bit as much an elite NFL prospect as Burrow. He also rises to the occasion when doubted, dominating Alabama in the 2019 title game and carrying Clemson past Ohio State in a brutally violent Fiesta Bowl showing.
Having said that, it’s even tougher to bet against Burrow. He’s coming off the most accurate single-season passing performance in history, which almost betrays his ability to create with his legs and hit explosive play after explosive play. This isn’t a possession system but a relentless downfield charge that puts defensive coordinators on their heels for 60 minutes.
Clemson is better poised than most to try to slow the Bayou Bengals. Dabo Swinney’s defense is first in the nation in points allowed and second in total defense, and it held a dominant Buckeyes unit to just 23 points. OSU still racked up 516 yards but had trouble in the red zone, settling for three field goals in the first half when it had a chance to pull away early.
That’s the name of the game against LSU. You can’t shut this offense down, but you can force turnovers and hold them to field goals and take advantage of a good-but-not-great LSU defense. Clemson executed that game plan well against the Buckeyes. But this is an even bigger ask. Especially considering OSU quarterback Justin Fields didn’t have his usual mobility.
Clemson’s defense made a big statement in the Fiesta Bowl, no question. But they’ll need to be nearly perfect against Burrow in order to pull off the upset in New Orleans. LSU simply has too many weapons on offense. Clemson’s unbeaten run comes to an end at the Superdome.Pick Expired
Pick 2: Over 69
The overs that look the best on paper don’t always hit. Remember that 2011 title game with Auburn and Cam Newton taking on an Oregon team averaging 47 points per game? The total of 74 never came close to going over, with Auburn taking a 22-19 win.
This one looks different. We’ve seen teams come out slow in title games with nerves playing a factor, offenses struggling to get back in rhythm following a lengthy two-week break. We don’t see it happening for either squad with Burrow and Lawrence at the helm.
These are unquestionably the two best offensive teams in the country, with LSU averaging 48.9 points per game and Clemson 45.3 points. Forget about slowing the game down, these teams want to crank the gas and leave the tank on empty. OSU exposed some flaws in Clemson’s defense and LSU has been gettable on that side of the ball when teams haven’t instantly fallen into a three-score deficit like Oklahoma did.
Even if there’s a feeling-out period to start this one, both teams can score almost instantly. Clemson went 94 yards in 1:18 for the game-winning touchdown against OSU. This has the makings of an all-time shootout with Burrow and Lawrence trading shots down the stretch. Over definitely looks like the play here.Pick Expired
Pick 3: LSU ATS
We’re hesitant to back a pick this popular, but LSU has been the public play most of the season. The Tigers finished 9-5 against the spread and have covered three straight in laughable fashion. They just have so many pieces on offense. As good as Burrow’s been, he’s got a ton of talent at receiver and one of the best running backs in the nation in Clyde Edwards-Helaire. It’s so hard for defenses to account for everyone with playmakers like Ja’Marr Chase (1,559 receiving yards, 18 touchdowns), Justin Jefferson (1,434 yards, 18 touchdowns) and Terrace Marshall Jr. (625 yards, 12 touchdowns).
LSU has seven players with at least one touchdown catch this season and Burrow is a master at staying patient and taking what the defense gives him. Rush four and he’ll pick apart a zone; send pressure and he’s liable to slip away for a big gain or hit a bomb downfield while on the move. There’s a level of comfort you don’t often see from college quarterbacks.
Clemson has covered eight of its last nine games and did so again with that late touchdown against the Buckeyes. Questioning the Tigers’ competition doesn’t really work after they knocked out OSU, but that game did expose a few of Clemson’s flaws on defense. Fields threw for 320 yards against this secondary and J.K. Dobbins found rushing lanes.
LSU can do the same and finish drives where OSU settled for field goals. The Tigers are extremely balanced, playing with tons of confidence and momentum. And they barely had to break a sweat in that Oklahoma game. Clemson had to endure a 60-minute brawl and took some big lumps in the process.
Clemson will continue to play the underdog card up until kickoff, and that’s fine. LSU has been playing at a different level all season long and will prove it with a no-sweat cover in the Big Easy.Pick Expired