College football coaches are strictly forbidden from betting on sports and especially on college football futures odds. Realistically, they gamble every single day on players they sign, transfers they bring in, and tactics they use to lure top recruits. 

Miami was all-in on five-star 2023 quarterback prospect Jaden Rashada and went bust when the Pittsburg, California prospect de-committed despite a reported $9.5 million NIL deal. Florida tried to up the ante and secured his letter of intent with a reported $13 million NIL deal via the Gator Collective that has since fallen through. 

The good news is this is now out in the open. Anyone blaming this situation on new rules that allow college athletes to profit from their NIL is entirely misguided – boosters and some coaches have always bent the rules behind closed doors. Now it’s made public when teams and bagmen go back on their word or financial promises. 

It’s not difficult to see why Rashada wanted out. There was an agreement in Gainesville that came off the table at some point after he signed his letter of intent, and now he’s free to explore other options with the Gators granting his release. 

The only question is where the incoming freshman will ultimately land for the 2023 season. 

Jaden Rashada College Team Odds

Odds above are projected and not currently available at legal sportsbooks or betting apps. This page will be updated should odds become available.

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Way back before Rashada committed to Miami, the Hurricanes were in his top five along with Cal, Ole Miss, Texas A&M and Oregon. But things move quickly in recruiting these days and of those five schools, Cal seems like the only one with a fraction of a chance. 

Ranked the No. 6 quarterback in the 2023 class, Rashada passed for 3,055 yards and 32 touchdowns as a senior at Pittsburg High, and he’s a true running threat as well. 

It’s not hard to see why so many programs have bent over backwards trying to get him on campus. But it seems only a few are still in the mix – including two frontrunners in Arizona State and TCU.

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Arizona State Taking the Lead

Arizona State is our slight college football betting favorite to land Rashada for a few reasons. First and foremost, his dad, Harlen Rashada, played defensive back for the Sun Devils in the early 1990s. 

Second, this program doesn’t look anything like it did when Rashada was first going through the recruiting process. Herm Edwards is gone, 32-year-old Kenny Dillingham is the new head coach and the Sun Devils reportedly lead the nation with more than 40 new players coming in via recruiting or the transfer portal. 

Dillingham, the former Oregon offensive coordinator, had a great relationship with Rashada when he was recruiting him at Eugene. He can sell a vision of a once-proud program restored, with Rashada leading the way at quarterback. 

Considering how things went down at Florida and Miami, Rashada’s decision could come down to trust. And it sounds like there’s more than enough with Cunningham, and Arizona State in general. 

Rashada took a visit to Arizona State the weekend after he was released by the Gators, but there’s another suitor he will reportedly check out the weekend before National Signing Day (February 1).

Three More Possibilities 

TCU is set to welcome the top-ranked signal-caller for an on-campus visit less than a month after it beat Michigan in the College Football Playoff semifinals before a blowout loss to Georgia. There’s a big need here with Heisman Trophy candidate Max Duggan off to the NFL Draft. 

And there’s a tempting pitch for Rashada in this offense after Duggan, another dual-threat quarterback, totaled 3,698 yards and 32 passing touchdowns along with 423 rushing yards and nine additional scores last season. 

We see Arizona State and TCU as the clear top two based on his travel schedule and past ties. But we expect Washington to make a strong pitch as well. The Huskies are another program on the rise with an offense tailor-made for mobile quarterbacks. 

We don’t know if Rashada hopes or intends to start as a true freshman, which would definitely hurt the Huskies’ chances – Indiana transfer Michael Penix Jr. had a stellar junior season in Seattle. And we don’t know how much money there is at Washington for NIL deals compared to other schools, which certainly seems significant given how things have gone to this point. 

That’s why we also have Cal so far down the board. There’s the local connection and the fact that the Bruins were one of the first to offer Rashada in high school. He has relationships with the staff, but it seems unlikely the school’s NIL Collective would offer anything in the same universe as the reported agreement with Miami. 

This is obviously a fluid situation, with Rashada already looking to commit for a third time. This one will have to stick, at least for a year, no matter how long it’s taken to get here. Top suitors are betting Rashada will be worth the wait.  

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