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Next Big Ten Expansion Team Odds: 33% Chance Ducks Migrate To Big Ten

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com

Adam Thompson  | 4 mins

Next Big Ten Expansion Team Odds: 33% Chance Ducks Migrate To Big Ten

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The Big Ten has been at the forefront of college football realignment in recent years. We know USC and UCLA will join the conference, which used to be mostly made up of midwest schools but now spans most of the U.S., in 2024. Why stop now? 

Top athletic programs in conferences outside of the SEC and Big Ten – in football, chiefly, but in all sports – took note of the $7 billion TV deal the Big Ten signed recently and want a piece of that pie.

Nebraska school president Ted Carter predicted big things coming up in terms of expansion and the Big Ten. But the list of who wants in, and who gets in, aren’t in the same. 

Bookies.com veteran oddsmaker Adam Thompson has broken down the landscape. Here are his hypothetical college football odds as to which teams will be the newest members of the Big Ten. 

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RELATED: Next SEC Expansion Team Odds: FSU Bolting the ACC?


Next Big Ten Expansion Team Odds

TeamOddsImplied Probability
Oregon+20033.3%
Washington+25028.6%
North Carolina+30025%
Kansas+30025%
Virginia+55015.4%
Miami+60014.3%
Virginia Tech+70012.5%
Stanford+8509.5%
N.C. State+12007.7%
The Field+10009.1%

Odds are projected and do not reflect any odds that may be available at legal betting sites or betting apps. They will not add up to 100% most times because they are designed to simulate a sportsbook line.

*Note: Odds reflect that more than one team is likely to join at the same time

More Pac-12 Schools Being Targeted by Big Ten

With the Big Ten welcoming USC and UCLA into the mix in 2024, it only makes sense to continue a westward expansion, if only for scheduling ease. Oregon and Washington should be atop the list. The Ducks and Huskies are football-driven schools with huge fan bases and a lot of financial backing. 

Much more than the SEC, the Big Ten takes academics into strong consideration, and few universities can match Stanford in that respect. Its success in “non-revenue” sports doesn’t hurt. Stanford is a darkhorse right now, but if the Big Ten goes past Oregon and Washington, The Cardinal is the next likely target. 

The Big 12 is attempting to poach other leagues in a strong effort to be left standing as the SEC and Big Ten pick apart other leagues. That doesn’t mean its current members are safe. Kansas has especially been linked due to its proximity and its ability to add a blue-blood basketball program. In 2021, a move to the Big Ten was considered “imminent,” though it obviously didn’t happen. 

The ACC is in a flux as well, with revenues coming short of the neighbor SEC. Some programs, led by Florida State and Clemson, have looked into getting out of their current deal to get new ones elsewhere. When it comes to the Big Ten, North Carolina leads the charge for its strong academic standing (despite its decades long trend of offering fake classes for student-athletes). 

Virginia and Virginia Tech are also in the mix to join the Big Ten over the SEC, offering geographic rivals to Maryland and growing its footprint in the east. The Cavaliers are the more coveted of the two targets, with Tech eyeing the SEC if the ACC blows up. 

The Big Ten has reportedly been interested in getting into Florida. The best way to do so would be to take Miami, which has been enamored with getting into the SEC for a while, rather than Florida State.

The Field includes other Pac-12 schools that may be seeking a home after the Big Ten and Big 12 pick it apart, including California, Utah, Washington State and Oregon State

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About the Author

Adam Thompson for Bookies.com
Adam Thompson
NFL writer and expert Adam Thompson joined Bookies.com in 2019 after a successful run as senior handicapper for SportsLine and CBSSports.com. He's long been established as one of the nation's premier handicappers, specializing in the NFL where he's hit on more than 60% over the past three years. Adam's NBA, PGA and horse racing picks have also produced major winners over the last 12 months. His customized NFL and NBA odds for players and teams have been picked up by hundreds of websites over the past year.